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Bush's Job Growth WORST in 50 Years (Roll out the red carpet for this “staunch Bush supporter.”)
bopnews ^ | Hale Stewart

Posted on 01/03/2006 8:29:33 AM PST by intruder alert

Bush’s giant Right Wing Noise Machine (RWNM) loves to preach about the Bush economic miracle. In fact, the RWNM’s current thinking is Bush doesn’t spend enough time talking about his economic triumphs. If only he did, then everyone would fall in line and believe in the great Bush economic miracle. There is one problem with this argument: it’s a lie. Any way you look at the Bush economy, it comes up short. Today, I want to compare Bush’s job creation record with other economic recoveries. As usual, Bush comes up way short.

The national Bureau of Economic Research has identified 8 recessions since May 1954. For comparison purposed, I only used 5 of these periods because they are longer than the current expansion. Next, I used the total nonfarm employment numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). I measured the jobs created from the trough (lowest point) to the next identified highest economic point. (The NBER states a “peak marks the end of an expansion and the beginning of a recession.”) I compared the total number jobs created for the entire expansion as well as the total number of jobs created 49 months into the expansion (According to the NBER, the lowest point of the last trough was in November 2001, making December 2005 the 49th month of this expansion). Here’s how the numbers (in millions) compare.

The expansion of 2/61 – 12/69 created 17,684 total jobs and 6,244 at 49 months.

The expansion of 3/75 – 7/80 created 13,183 total jobs and 12,831 at 49 months.

The expansion of 11/82 – 7/90 created 21,003 total jobs and 11,510 at 49 months.

The expansion of 3/91 – 3/01 created 23,969 total jobs and 8,266 at 49 months.

The current expansion which started in November 2001 has created a total of 3,410 jobs.

In other words, at 49 months into an expansion, Bush’s job creation record is last. While we don’t know when this expansion will end, the Bush economy would have to triple the total number of jobs created in order to get to 4th place on this list.

What’s going on here? The basic problem is some areas of the economy are creating jobs. The BLS tracks 13 different job sectors. 7 (a little over half) have created jobs since November 2001 – natural resources/mining (37,000), construction (539,000), financial (550,000), professional services (238,000), education/health (2.1 million), leisure/hospitality (803,000) and governmental employees (1 million). Of all the jobs created three areas – government, education/health account for 57% of job growth. Of the jobs created outside of education, health and governmental employees (2,167,000), construction, professional services and financial services account for about 60% of the jobs created. Real estate is obviously related to all of these areas. Construction is obviously related to real estate, as are financial services (mortgage lending etc…) and professional services (real estate agents, appraisers etc…) So, real estate, governmental employees and health/education jobs are doing just fine.

6 areas – a little under half of the sectors the BLS tracks – have had a net loss in number of jobs: manufacturing (-2,800,000), information (-565,000), trade/transport/utilities (-353), whole sales trade (-107), retail (-157), and transportation/warehousing (67,000). Manufacturing and information are obviously the two biggest areas of job losses. Some of the information service jobs are the result of natural attrition from Y2K. However, I somehow doubt that is the only reason for the losses. While there is no information regarding outsourcing losses (because the government does not keep any statistics on the subject), I fell safe in assuming outsourcing is a big factor involved in the losses.

In summation, sum people are doing well. They can find jobs and are probably financially somewhat secure. However, others have seen their jobs literally disappear overnight and are hurting to find new jobs that pay commensurate levels. These people are hurting from the current “expansion”. Of course, Bush and the RWNM has forgotten about them.


TOPICS: Business/Economy
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To: Ultra Sonic 007
Um...am I the only one here who thinks the 'zotted' person in question is actually looking for answers? I think this isn't a troll here.

Yep, you're the only one. He was looking only for trouble.
321 posted on 01/03/2006 2:06:20 PM PST by NonLinear (He's dead, Jim)
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To: Darksheare

The folks at the U T will bail you out......no problem.


322 posted on 01/03/2006 2:11:27 PM PST by stephenjohnbanker (Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to all our troops at home and abroad!!)
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To: stephenjohnbanker

What if I end up in some horrible experiment by the mods?
Kept in a big jar in the basement..
*shudder*

Nobody would find me.


323 posted on 01/03/2006 2:13:44 PM PST by Darksheare (Bezerky Jerky the funky Turkey jerky strips! Yum!)
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To: Darksheare

No worry, we have WAY too much dirt on too many mods. They wouldn't dare.


324 posted on 01/03/2006 2:18:21 PM PST by stephenjohnbanker (Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to all our troops at home and abroad!!)
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To: stephenjohnbanker

Yeah they would.
*chuckel*

They have most of the conspiracies of the past century under their belts.
/ end bad joke.


325 posted on 01/03/2006 2:19:25 PM PST by Darksheare (Bezerky Jerky the funky Turkey jerky strips! Yum!)
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To: intruder alert
teehee, intruder alert in my diappy

326 posted on 01/03/2006 2:29:12 PM PST by kanawa (Freaking panty wetting, weakspined bliss-ninny socialist punks)
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To: darkwing104
FYI Kitties, he's still alive!

He's dead Jim.


327 posted on 01/03/2006 3:27:03 PM PST by glock rocks ("God's gift to you is life itself. What you do with it is your gift to God." - Leo Buscaglia)
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To: quantim

Thanks for the kitties.


328 posted on 01/03/2006 5:41:29 PM PST by Bigg Red (Do not trust Democrats with national security!)
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To: nutmeg

See #108! ;-D

**
LOL!
#110 is great, too.


329 posted on 01/03/2006 5:44:50 PM PST by Bigg Red (Do not trust Democrats with national security!)
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To: nutmeg

Correction:

Look at #161

(#110 was my post- duh!)


330 posted on 01/03/2006 5:52:17 PM PST by Bigg Red (Do not trust Democrats with national security!)
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To: nutmeg

Correction:

Look at #161

(#110 was my post- duh!)


331 posted on 01/03/2006 5:52:27 PM PST by Bigg Red (Do not trust Democrats with national security!)
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To: Darksheare
Kept in a big jar in the basement..

Don't worry the denzens of the UT would hunt high and low until we found you.... and made sure that your jar had holes punched in the lid and some grass and twigs for your comfort.

332 posted on 01/03/2006 5:55:38 PM PST by Harmless Teddy Bear (Proud member of the Free Republic Humility Club. We are twice as humble as you are.)
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To: Harmless Teddy Bear

Okay!
Thanks!


333 posted on 01/03/2006 5:59:49 PM PST by Darksheare (Bezerky Jerky the funky Turkey jerky strips! Yum!)
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To: intruder alert
I fell safe in assuming outsourcing is a big factor involved in the losses.

In summation, sum people are doing well.

Your spelling is as astute as your economic analysis.

334 posted on 01/03/2006 6:01:23 PM PST by Hardastarboard
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To: intruder alert
In summation, sum people are doing well.

Yes if you know how to sum you are doing well. If you are actually literate you are doing even better.

That explains why you are not doing so good.

335 posted on 01/03/2006 6:05:56 PM PST by Harmless Teddy Bear (Proud member of the Free Republic Humility Club. We are twice as humble as you are.)
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To: dljordan

LOL...I thought so, but they jumped on you pretty quickly!


336 posted on 01/03/2006 6:48:30 PM PST by rlmorel ("Innocence seldom utters outraged shrieks. Guilt does." Whittaker Chambers)
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To: rlmorel

"LOL...I thought so, but they jumped on you pretty quickly!"

Didn't they though. You'd have thought I shot their Grannies or something.


337 posted on 01/03/2006 7:11:58 PM PST by dljordan
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To: intruder alert

Considering that this President has endured a major terrorist attack, the near total destruction of a major city by a natural disaster, disruption of fuel refining by that same disaster and a two wars and reconstructions, I'd say he's doing fairly well with what he's got.


338 posted on 01/04/2006 10:21:52 AM PST by jmcenanly
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To: intruder alert
I don't understand the jargon here. Does anybody have a direct response to this?

You knew enough economic jargon to write this collection of drivel but not enough to understand our refutation? Yeah, sure...do you have a bridge to sell us, too?

339 posted on 01/04/2006 10:36:09 PM PST by Mr. Silverback ("Right, who's got a boil on his semprini, then?")
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To: My Favorite Headache
("Scientology is dangerous stuff,it's like forming a religion based around Johnny Quest and Haji."

I must ask...where'd you get that quote?

340 posted on 01/04/2006 10:45:34 PM PST by Mr. Silverback ("Right, who's got a boil on his semprini, then?")
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