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Bush's Job Growth WORST in 50 Years (Roll out the red carpet for this “staunch Bush supporter.”)
bopnews ^
| Hale Stewart
Posted on 01/03/2006 8:29:33 AM PST by intruder alert
Bushs giant Right Wing Noise Machine (RWNM) loves to preach about the Bush economic miracle. In fact, the RWNMs current thinking is Bush doesnt spend enough time talking about his economic triumphs. If only he did, then everyone would fall in line and believe in the great Bush economic miracle. There is one problem with this argument: its a lie. Any way you look at the Bush economy, it comes up short. Today, I want to compare Bushs job creation record with other economic recoveries. As usual, Bush comes up way short.
The national Bureau of Economic Research has identified 8 recessions since May 1954. For comparison purposed, I only used 5 of these periods because they are longer than the current expansion. Next, I used the total nonfarm employment numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). I measured the jobs created from the trough (lowest point) to the next identified highest economic point. (The NBER states a peak marks the end of an expansion and the beginning of a recession.) I compared the total number jobs created for the entire expansion as well as the total number of jobs created 49 months into the expansion (According to the NBER, the lowest point of the last trough was in November 2001, making December 2005 the 49th month of this expansion). Heres how the numbers (in millions) compare.
The expansion of 2/61 12/69 created 17,684 total jobs and 6,244 at 49 months.
The expansion of 3/75 7/80 created 13,183 total jobs and 12,831 at 49 months.
The expansion of 11/82 7/90 created 21,003 total jobs and 11,510 at 49 months.
The expansion of 3/91 3/01 created 23,969 total jobs and 8,266 at 49 months.
The current expansion which started in November 2001 has created a total of 3,410 jobs.
In other words, at 49 months into an expansion, Bushs job creation record is last. While we dont know when this expansion will end, the Bush economy would have to triple the total number of jobs created in order to get to 4th place on this list.
Whats going on here? The basic problem is some areas of the economy are creating jobs. The BLS tracks 13 different job sectors. 7 (a little over half) have created jobs since November 2001 natural resources/mining (37,000), construction (539,000), financial (550,000), professional services (238,000), education/health (2.1 million), leisure/hospitality (803,000) and governmental employees (1 million). Of all the jobs created three areas government, education/health account for 57% of job growth. Of the jobs created outside of education, health and governmental employees (2,167,000), construction, professional services and financial services account for about 60% of the jobs created. Real estate is obviously related to all of these areas. Construction is obviously related to real estate, as are financial services (mortgage lending etc
) and professional services (real estate agents, appraisers etc
) So, real estate, governmental employees and health/education jobs are doing just fine.
6 areas a little under half of the sectors the BLS tracks have had a net loss in number of jobs: manufacturing (-2,800,000), information (-565,000), trade/transport/utilities (-353), whole sales trade (-107), retail (-157), and transportation/warehousing (67,000). Manufacturing and information are obviously the two biggest areas of job losses. Some of the information service jobs are the result of natural attrition from Y2K. However, I somehow doubt that is the only reason for the losses. While there is no information regarding outsourcing losses (because the government does not keep any statistics on the subject), I fell safe in assuming outsourcing is a big factor involved in the losses.
In summation, sum people are doing well. They can find jobs and are probably financially somewhat secure. However, others have seen their jobs literally disappear overnight and are hurting to find new jobs that pay commensurate levels. These people are hurting from the current expansion. Of course, Bush and the RWNM has forgotten about them.
TOPICS: Business/Economy
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I've been posting this at various places looking for someone who can refute it. As a staunch Bush supporter, I am disappointed no one has done so yet.
To: intruder alert
I like cheese. Do you like cheese?
2
posted on
01/03/2006 8:30:28 AM PST
by
TheBigB
(Never banned or suspended even once! Ask me how!)
To: intruder alert
3
posted on
01/03/2006 8:30:30 AM PST
by
tx_eggman
(If we had some bacon we could have bacon and eggs ... if we had some eggs.)
To: intruder alert
As a staunch Bush supporter,More like a starched athletic supporter for Hillary.
4
posted on
01/03/2006 8:30:56 AM PST
by
dirtboy
(u)
To: intruder alert; Darksheare; Paul_Denton; darkwing104
5
posted on
01/03/2006 8:31:00 AM PST
by
MikefromOhio
(Happy New Year)
To: intruder alert
6
posted on
01/03/2006 8:31:01 AM PST
by
Dead Corpse
(Anyone who needs to be persuaded to be free, doesn't deserve to be. -El Neil)
To: intruder alert
Unemployment is at its lowest level ever in history.
7
posted on
01/03/2006 8:31:05 AM PST
by
edcoil
(Reality doesn't say much - doesn't need too)
To: intruder alert
IBTZ
I love cheese and ozone
8
posted on
01/03/2006 8:31:22 AM PST
by
Alexander Rubin
(Octavius - You make my heart glad building thus, as if Rome is to be eternal.)
To: intruder alert
9
posted on
01/03/2006 8:31:30 AM PST
by
Paul_Denton
(The U.S. should adopt the policy of Oom Shmoom: Israeli policy where no one gives a sh*t about U.N.)
To: intruder alert
"sum people are doing well"Those that can spell and add are...
10
posted on
01/03/2006 8:31:37 AM PST
by
eureka!
(Hey Lefties and 'Rats: Over 3 more years of W. Hehehehe....)
To: intruder alert
To: intruder alert
Welcome to Free Republic. Goodbye!
12
posted on
01/03/2006 8:31:43 AM PST
by
MineralMan
(godless atheist)
To: intruder alert
13
posted on
01/03/2006 8:31:50 AM PST
by
rightinthemiddle
(I might be wrong, but I'm always right.)
To: intruder alert
14
posted on
01/03/2006 8:32:03 AM PST
by
Cyber Liberty
(© 2006, Ravin' Lunatic since 4/98)
To: intruder alert
ZOT!
15
posted on
01/03/2006 8:32:06 AM PST
by
Paul_Denton
(The U.S. should adopt the policy of Oom Shmoom: Israeli policy where no one gives a sh*t about U.N.)
To: intruder alert
16
posted on
01/03/2006 8:32:13 AM PST
by
ncountylee
(Dead terrorists smell like victory)
To: intruder alert
17
posted on
01/03/2006 8:32:23 AM PST
by
FMBass
(“Now that I’m sober I watch a lot of news” – Garofalo: From “Treason” by Coulter)
To: intruder alert
As a staunch Bush supporterYou are about to be staunched.
18
posted on
01/03/2006 8:32:33 AM PST
by
Fierce Allegiance
(There is water at the bottom of the ocean.)
To: intruder alert
Yes, please tell us what other sites you've been kicked off of.
19
posted on
01/03/2006 8:32:56 AM PST
by
Cinnamon Girl
(OMGIIHIHOIIC ping list)
To: intruder alert
I've been posting this at various places looking for someone who can refute it. As a staunch Bush supporter, I am disappointed no one has done so yet. Hahahahaha.....NOT.
IBTZ?
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