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Donald Trump has overtaken Kamala Harris in the final DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners national poll before Election Day, with the former president holding a three-point lead over the vice president. Both candidates have shored up their bases, but Trump has done better at picking up support from independents and undecided voters in the final push, according to the data. The poll of 1,000 likely voters, which has margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent, shows that Trump is trending up, with the support of 49 percent to Harris' 46 percent. The race is still close. Yet, with five days to...

CNN’s data analyst Harry Enten suggested Friday that Donald Trump could be on course to win the popular vote on November 5th.That hasn’t happened for a Republican candidate for 20 years.If it happens, Trump will almost certainly win the electoral college and the election.Enten noted that a New York Times/Siena College poll was released last week showing Trump tied with Kamala Harris at 48% in the national popular vote.“Everyone has been talking about this idea that Trump may win in the Electoral College, but Kamala Harris may win the popular vote, but Trump may finally get his great white whale,”...

Winning the popular vote means having more people vote for you than against you. Anything else is winning a plurality of the vote or just losing.

I wrote about the latest HarrisX/Forbes poll on Wednesday, which was bad for Vice President Kamala Harris, and how that's started to bring even the popular vote within potential reach of former President Donald Trump. But the new Wall Street Journal poll is even more devastating for her and great for Trump. That poll now has Trump up by three, head-to-head, 49 to 46 percent. It's moved four points toward Trump over the past month. In the full field, that's 47 to 45 percent. That's in line with HarrisX (+2 for Trump) and Rasmussen (+3 for Trump), and that's not...

Democrats should brace for a shock four weeks from now — the possibility not just of a victory for former President Donald Trump, but a win so big that Trump beats Vice President Kamala Harris in the popular vote. Trump doesn’t need to do that, of course: He can return to the White House just by winning enough battleground states. But if he does get more votes than Harris nationwide, it will prove he is more popular, and his message even more powerful, than when he overcame former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in 2016. Trump’s path to this next...

Popular-vote pact picks up steam A once-sleepy movement that would upend the Electoral College, reverse two centuries of constitutional practice and elect presidents by direct popular vote has quietly picked up momentum in recent days, with Republican Party leaders scrambling to stanch a steady stream of defections by GOP state lawmakers to the plan. *snip* Under the idea introduced in 2006 by Stanford University consulting professor John Koza, states that join the NPV compact pledge to give all of their electoral votes to the presidential candidate who wins the national popular vote - even if a majority of the state’s...

Former President Trump leads President Joe Biden by six points in the probability of winning the popular vote in November, Nate Silver’s election model forecasted June 30 after the first presidential debate. The last Republican to win the popular vote was George W. Bush in 2004 with 50.73 percent. Silver’s election model’s forecast is the first time it predicted Trump would defeat Biden with the popular vote. Trump was previously behind by two points one day before the debate, the forecast predicted.

Donald Trump could receive a major boost to his political authority if he's selected as the Republican presidential candidate and wins the popular vote in November, according to a prominent political scientist. Professor James Vike, an expert in United States politics who teaches at Widener University, told Newsweek such a victory would enable Trump to "wield the popular mandate card in hopes of convincing legislators and rivals to consent to presidential wishes."

Democracy stinks. History is littered with short-live democracies that cratered between the bloodlettings of factions going at each other’s throats. Our Framers were well aware of their shortcomings from the lessons of history and their personal experiences since 1776. Popular election, the democratic element in the Framers’ Constitution, was limited to the House of Representatives. This satisfied the Declaration’s maxim that consent of the governed serves as the just basis of government. In Article II, the sovereign people assigned their Natural Right to elect their chief executive to another body, their state legislatures. As discussed in a recent blog post...

Michigan voters have long played a pivotal role in presidential elections, until now. The House Elections Committee in Lansing recently approved House Bill 156, legislation which would enroll Michigan in the so-called “National Popular Vote Interstate Compact,” which could soon be taken up on the House Floor. It may sound innocent, but National Popular Vote is a left-wing scheme to take over states’ elections and fundamentally transform our constitutional system for electing presidents. If implemented, it would surrender Michigan’s considerable influence in this process to large population centers of the East and West coasts of the country.

Republicans appear primed to win the narrowest of House majorities — around 220-215 or 219-216 — despite winning a majority of the votes nationwide and edging Democrats by around four percentage points. If they do ultimately win by around four points, it would mean Republicans improved on their margin from the 2020 election by around seven points, but they were only able to add about 2 percent of seats, as the Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman notes. This has understandably led to some griping and head-scratching among Republicans who wonder how they’re struggling to win the House despite that swing....

I’ve seen a lot of rationales being tossed around for why the Republicans didn’t win more despite what all the polls and data points suggested.I must confess, I’m not particularly satisfied with any of the answers I’ve seen.Yes, could some candidates have been better? No doubt. But Democrats got John Fetterman in and even voted for a dead man. So let’s not even pretend the quality of the candidate or even being alive truly matters. If you voted in Fetterman, it’s all based on wanting power for your party, no matter what.Did Sen Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) take some...

The reactions to last week, titled with the question “Is It Time for Conservatives to Support A National Popular Vote?”, was basically a resounding, “HELL NO! It is NOT time for conservatives to support a national popular vote, there will NEVER BE a time for conservatives to support a national popular vote, and you are an IDIOT for even bringing it up! Now, go back to the Democrat-infested hellhole you crawled out of!” Or something along those lines.To be fair, it wasn’t unexpected, and I completely understand. When I first encountered a case for the issue coming from a conservative...

117th CONGRESS 1st Session H. J. RES. 14 Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to abolish the electoral college and to provide for the direct election of the President and Vice President of the United States. IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES January 11, 2021 Mr. Cohen (for himself, Ms. Lofgren, Ms. Eshoo, Ms. Schakowsky, Ms. Brownley, Mr. DeFazio, Mr. Espaillat, Mr. Garamendi, and Mr. Cooper) submitted the following joint resolution; which was referred to the Committee on the Judiciary JOINT RESOLUTION Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to abolish the electoral college...

Surely the journalist class should be intrigued by the historic implausibility of Joe Biden’s victory. That they are not is curious, to say the least.In all the excitement among objective journalists for Joe Biden’s declared victory, reporters are missing how extraordinary the Democrat’s performance was in the 2020 election. It’s not just that the former vice president is on track to become the oldest president in American history, it’s what he managed to accomplish at the polls this year.Candidate Joe Biden was so effective at animating voters in 2020 that he received a record number of votes, more than 15...

Abolishing the Electoral College would be a disaster for freedom and the constitutional imperative to prevent the concentration and abuse of power.If former Vice President Joe Biden prevails in the 2020 election by scoring a victory in both the electoral and popular vote tallies, it will not curtail the clamoring nor the movement to send the Electoral College to a crematorium. The Washington Post editorial board, for example, recently renewed its call to abolish it. Abolishing the Electoral College would be a disaster for freedom and the constitutional imperative to prevent the concentration and abuse of power. It would also...

WASHINGTON - President-elect Joe Biden’s lead in the popular vote count over President Donald Trump has topped 5 million, as the incumbent president continues to refuse to concede the election and instead is leveling unfounded claims of voter fraud in a number of states. As of Wednesday afternoon, Biden had received 77,033,649 votes (50.8%), compared to Trump’s 71,961,860 votes (47.5%), according to a count by FOX News.

Even if you dislike the results, even if there was massive fraud in multiple states giving you good reason to believe you actually won, you must accept the results that the press has published for those states. Those states have the RIGHT to allocate their vote however they want, under whatever rules they want, with or without fraud... and you have no right to bicker about it. You've got to let them. Why? Because that's just the way it is. You have to accept it. Now, I think that is a very interesting position. Most Republicans are citing the 2000...

It remains one of the most surprising facts about voting in the United States: While the popular vote elects members of Congress, mayors, governors, state legislators and even more obscure local officials, it does not determine the winner of the presidency, the highest office in the land.... The electoral system has also awarded the presidency to candidates with a plurality of the popular vote (under 50 percent) in a number of cases, notably Abraham Lincoln in 1860, John F. Kennedy in 1960 and Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996.... “It’s just like in tennis,” he said. “It’s how many sets...

Democrats, their media friends want us to know, are furious. If Republicans exercise their constitutional prerogative and fill Ruth Bader Ginsburg's seat on the Supreme Court, the Democrats are prepared to burn it all down. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.) told his caucus on Saturday that if Republicans move forward with a nomination, "nothing is off the table." Others were more explicit: If the Democrats retake the Senate in 2021, Massachusetts senator Ed Markey vowed to abolish the filibuster; his failed primary challenger, Rep. Joe Kennedy, promised to pack the Court. They'll bestow statehood on Puerto Rico and...