Keyword: polls
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Vice President Kamala Harris edges former President Trump in a head-to-head matchup, as more voters see Harris as the candidate who will help the middle class, and Hispanics and independents swing in her direction. The new Fox News national survey finds a 3 percentage-point shift among registered voters in the 2024 presidential contest since mid-August. Trump had a 1-point advantage last month, while Harris is ahead by 2 points today: 50%-48%. For reference, in July, Trump was ahead by 1 point over President Biden. Each of those differences falls within the margin of error. This marks the first time Harris...
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The International Brotherhood of Teamsters declined to endorse a presidential candidate on Wednesday after releasing internal polling that showed a majority of its members supported former President Donald Trump over Vice President Kamala Harris. *** “Unfortunately, neither major candidate was able to make serious commitments to our union to ensure the interests of working people are always put before Big Business,” Teamsters President Sean O’Brien said in a statement. “We sought commitments from both Trump and Harris not to interfere in critical union campaigns or core Teamsters industries – and to honor our members’ right to strike – but were...
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Source: Leading Report on X Teamsters’ member polling gives Trump an overwhelming lead over Harris 59.7% to 34.0% (9/18/2024). Electoral College results via RealClearPolitics show Trump flipping Pennsylvania and beating Harris after new polls 281 to 257 (9/17/2024). New Electoral College model, according to Nate Silver (“no tossup”) Trump 312 to Harris 226 (9/16/2024).
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Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by only a single point in the battleground state of Wisconsin. FabrizioWard surveyed 600 likely voters and found a 49 to 48 percent squeaker in Harris’s favor. The poll was taken entirely after the September 10 debate, between September 11 and 14, 2024, and lines up with other polls in Dairy State that show an insanely tight race. With independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on the ballot, Harris leads by three points, 48 to 45 percent. Kennedy is still appealing to be removed from the ballot after suspending his campaign...
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The Teamsters Union, representing more than one million members, released the results of its presidential poll among members — showing that almost 60 percent of Teamsters support former President Donald Trump over Vice President Kamala Harris. The poll, released on Wednesday, shows that the most recent telephone poll of Teamsters — taken September 9-15, 2024 — found that 58 percent support Trump in the presidential election while just 31 percent back Harris. About six percent are undecided, and five percent are unsure. Polling conducted from July 24 through September 15, 2024, found similar results, with more than 59 percent of...
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Pennsylvania - Quinnipiac Poll - 9/12-9/16 - Kamala Harris 51% - Donald Trump 46%
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Former President Donald Trump appears to be leading in the key battleground states of Pennsylvania and Georgia, according to two surveys. An InsiderAdvantage survey in the Keystone State, taken September 14-15, 2024, shows Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris by two percentage points — 50 percent to Harris’s 48 percent support. Another one percent support “other,” and another one percent remain undecided. The survey notes that it was fielded before the second assassination attempt on Trump, but it adds that it “also included responses during and after news of the incident broke.”
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An InsiderAdvantage survey of 800 likely voters in Pennsylvania conducted September 14-15 shows Donald Trump with a slim lead over Kamala Harris. The poll conducted by cell/text modes has a margin of error of 3.46%
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CNN data analyst Harry Enten is ringing an alarm bell for Kamala Harris, suggesting that even though she is leading by a point or two in some national polls, she is in the ‘danger zone’ in the swing states where it matters most. Her numbers may not be enough to get her across the finish line because of our Electoral College system. If Harris somehow pulls out the popular vote in November but loses the election, we will once again be subjected to the left’s white-hot rage against the Electoral College, just like in 2016. FOX News reports: Kamala Harris...
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CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten warned on Monday that Vice President Kamala Harris’ current national lead over former President Donald Trump is too slim to signal a likely victory in the November election due to the electoral college. Harris’ national lead over Trump grew by just a single point following their debate last week, despite a majority of viewers believing she won, according to ABC News/Ipsos data released on Sunday. Enten, on “CNN News Central,” noted Harris’ 2.5-point lead in his polling aggregate gives her roughly a 50% chance of winning. “Okay, so basically, you note that 2.5-point lead...
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As the 2024 election cycle intensifies, political analysts are scrutinizing every detail to forecast the potential outcome. In the latest edition of "Atlas Deep Dive," Andrei Roman, CEO of AtlasIntel, and Pedro Azevedo, the chief specialist for U.S. elections, provided insightful analysis on the current state of the race. AtlasIntel, in case you don’t know, was the most accurate pollster during the 2020 election. So its polling and insight are actually important. Its latest survey gave Trump a 2.9-point lead over Kamala Harris nationally — which would translate to a significant Electoral College victory.So what do they say about the...
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Have you ever noticed that celebrity scandals tend to all follow a similar timeline? At first, there’s the moment you hear about what happened — “Oh no! He did what with the fish?!” That’s a super-memorable moment. If you’re a big fan of the celebrity, you’ll never forget where you were when you heard the news. (You broke our heart, Troy McClure.) Then there’s the moment of acknowledgement, when the celeb must face the consequences of his action(s) for the very first time. This might be a mugshot, a court appearance, or — trending today — a mea culpa on...
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It might not be such a “Love Story” after all. Taylor Swift’s endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, may turn more voters away than it attracts. A new post-debate poll from YouGov released Saturday found that 8% of voters said the pop superstar’s nod is either “somewhat” or “much more likely” to convince them to cast their ballot for the Democrat. But a whopping 20% said they are “somewhat” or “much less likely” to vote for former President Donald Trump’s opponent now that Swift has spoken. Advertisement
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Eighty-three percent of registered voters either strongly or somewhat favor former President Donald Trump’s proposal to end taxes on Social Security benefits, a recent Wall Street Journal poll found. The policy would greatly benefit seniors who are on a fixed income and suffering under soaring inflation fueled by the Biden-Harris administration. The policy would provide an average benifit of $3,400, according to the Tax Policy Center. Sixty-four percent of respondents said they “strongly favored” eliminating taxes on Social Security benefits, the poll found, with another 19 percent “somewhat” favor the policy. Only ten percent opposed it.
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National Poll. 9/12/2024 The race for the White House continues to be close, as former President Donald Trump holds a two-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 47% would vote for Harris. Just one percent (1%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and another two percent (2%) are undecided.
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In the aftermath of the debate on Tuesday, the media promptly declared Kamala Harris the winner. Perhaps stylistically, she had an edge, but when it came to resonating with undecided and independent voters, multiple focus groups showed that Trump was the candidate who managed to succeed on that front. A new Insider Poll out of Michigan reinforces Trump’s momentum, showing him ahead 49 percent to Harris’s 48 percent. ... This is significant because Michigan and Wisconsin are considered some of Kamala Harris’s strongest chances among the swing states, yet the race remains razor thin. Pennsylvania is widely considered the tipping-point...
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Over the past several days, the media consensus has been that a ranting Donald Trump lost Tuesday night’s presidential debate to the far more contained and cheerful Kamala Harris. Observers on both the Left and Right predicted that the former president’s outraged performance would cost him dearly with undecided and independent voters.But that’s not what these voters are telling reporters. Several media organizations, including the New York Times, are finding the vice president left a surprising number unpersuaded. Many are declaring themselves more likely to vote for Trump. For example, 34-year-old Keilah Miller, a black woman from Wisconsin who had...
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55% believe things in Britain are heading in wrong directionBritish Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s popularity has dropped dramatically following a challenging summer for the party, according to the latest Political Pulse survey conducted by Ipsos. Despite being on course for a landslide victory earlier in the year, the poll reveals a growing discontent among voters. The survey reveals a significant rise in unfavorable opinions of both Labour and its key figures, including Starmer and shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves. "55% think things in Britain are heading in the wrong direction (+3 pts from August). This is lower than the final rating...
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Democrats are fearing a “Trump surge” with male voters, based on polls historically not accurately reflecting support for former President Donald Trump, according to a report. “Trump is winning men who have not [previously] voted,” Celinda Lake, one of two leading pollsters for President Joe Biden’s 2020 campaign told the Hill. “Most pollsters are adjusting. Our firm looks at two turnout estimates now. One the average and one looking at [a] Trump surge.” She said that with polls showing battleground states balanced on a knife-edge, “I think we still have to worry about a Trump surge.”
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