This is what will determine the actual outcome.
Posted on 09/14/2024 9:56:18 AM PDT by Signalman
National Poll. 9/12/2024
The race for the White House continues to be close, as former President Donald Trump holds a two-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 47% would vote for Harris. Just one percent (1%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and another two percent (2%) are undecided.
Keep in mind, Trump may be doing better nationally. But he may be struggling in the battleground states.
Looks like the INGSOC media slanted debate really did not change things much.
Total garbage
iF ITS CLOSE—HERE COMES THE CHEATING
i don’t go out of my way to follow the polls, but the headlines i read here in FR say he is doing well in the battleground states.
I would also think any Republican doing well nationally would also be doing well in battleground states. An opinion anyway.
Cities in swing states are looking at what happened to Springfield, OH and do not like what they see.
Seems like it is the opposite.
Keep in mind that he’s doing well in the battleground states.
Because of the way Electoral Votes are computed, if the Dem candidate is not at least 3-4 pts ahead nationally, it’s likely that the GOP candidate wins.
One reason being Democrats often win larger, urban, and more populous states like California and New York by wide margins, but this doesn’t add more EVs than what is needed to win that state. Meanwhile, Republicans can win multiple smaller or mid-sized states with less total votes than the large Democrat states by narrow margins and accumulate more electoral votes.
What did they have Biden at before he had to drop out because he was such a disaster and unelectable? Weren’t they trying to tell us it was just about even?
Past 20 years or so, that was the rule.
But Trump is doing better with minorities. Especially with Black men. But that will mean a lot of wasted votes since they tend to live in urban strongholds such as New York City.
Harris is able to appeal to liberal white women who lives in the cities and the suburbs. That is a huge weakness for Donald Trump.
“That is a huge weakness for Donald Trump”
I’m hoping these women and everyone else will decide more on issues and the failure of the last 4 years than on the two personalities.
OK, Desantis butt hurt, we’ll keep that in mind.
We can hope so. I think the election will be more like 2016. Maybe we’ll see a surprise like Trump winning VA.
Here is a map of who is ahead in the Electoral college
https://youtu.be/0uockbg-K10?si=3QM0zkxvaWk2P5rx
If Trump wins the popular vote by two that’s an electoral landslide. All the 2020 states plus the swing states and even places like MN NH NM VA.
There’s large urban areas in MI, PA, GA, WI, AZ.
Emmerson did a poll of Trumpbin Cali, he was down 60-36 in the most populus state in the union. Is there any indication that hea within 10 in the other big populus states such as Illinois, NY. Polls are saying hes up only 5 in Texas. Now if all of that is true then he just has broad support nationwide and that would suggest he’s actually winning the battleground states rather comfortably. (Between thoae 3 state NY, IL And CA Trump starts off behind almost 10m votes). You can do the math. All that being said it’s not really knowable which polls are true and which polls are bunk, ager them out and it’s just as meaningless to me.
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