Keyword: polls
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the Democratic Party’s most fundamental problem: Its brand has become toxic to men. According to the Quinnipiac poll, a staggering 67% of men hold an unfavorable view of the Democratic Party, while only 22% approve. A party that repels 2 in 3 men is not viable. For Democrats to regain their national influence, they must reflect on why men of every color, class, and creed have abandoned them.
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American are saying Democrats are espousing priorities that are not representative of voters, according to polling conducted by Ipsos and The New York Times last month. The Times/Ipsos poll conducted after President Donald Trump's election victory was certified in early January revealed Americans' priorities more closely match that of Republican Party election messaging priorities. Those polled found economy, immigration, taxes, crime, and healthcare costs to be priorities for them, the first three also considered priorities by the Republican Party in the respondents' view. Those people sensed Democrats were most concerned about abortion, LGBT policies, climate change, and the state of...
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A poll recently conducted by the Angus Reid Institute has shown that the Liberals have fallen to third place nationally. The Conservatives, meanwhile, have risen even closer to 50%. According to the poll, 45% of Canadians expressed an intention to vote for Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives, up 2% since the survey was last sent out. The NDP under Jagmeet Singh gained 1% support, bringing their total to 21%. With Justin Trudeau at the helm, the Liberals lost five points, coming in at just 16%. The Conservatives saw their support grow or remain stable in every region of the country, save for...
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President-elect Donald Trump sued the Des Moines Register and J. Ann Selzer for “brazen election interference” on Monday after the vaunted pollster’s wildly inaccurate prediction three days before the 2024 election that Vice President Kamala Harris would trounce her Republican opponent in Iowa. Trump’s lawyers filed the suit seeking damages in state district court in Polk County, Iowa, claiming Selzer and the Des Moines-based outlet interfered in the election “in favor of” the Democratic nominee “through use of a leaked and manipulated” poll. The Nov. 2 survey showed Trump, 78, lagging behind Harris, 60, by three percentage points, 47% to...
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📊 2028 National Republican Primary• Donald Trump Jr. — 30% • JD Vance — 30% • Ron DeSantis — 9% • Nikki Haley — 6% • Vivek Ramaswamy — 5% • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — 5% • Sarah Huckabee Sanders — 1% • Marco Rubio — 1% • Tucker Carlson — 1% • Greg Abbott — 1% • Brian Kemp — 1% • Glenn Youngkin — 1% --- • Someone else — 5%@MorningConsult | 12/6-8 | n=994
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Most Americans oppose giving U.S. military aid to Ukraine, according to a poll conducted days after President Joe Biden reportedly authorized Ukraine’s use of American Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) missiles inside Russia. The CBS News/YouGov poll finds that 51 percent of Americans do not support providing military aid and weapons to Ukraine, while 49 percent do. There is a noticeable gap in age demographics. Those under 65 are more inclined to oppose sending aid and weapons, while a majority of those 65 and older support helping Ukraine.
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ATLANTA, Ga. (Atlanta News First) - A former Georgia poll worker was indicted Tuesday for allegedly threatening to bomb a polling place and lying to the FBI during the investigation, according to the Department of Justice. Nicholas Wimbish, 25, of Milledgeville, was arrested on Nov. 4 and made his first court appearance on Nov. 5. According to the DOJ, Wimbish was working at the Jones County Elections Office on Oct. 16 when he had a verbal altercation with a voter. Later that evening, Wimbish researched online to determine what information about himself would be publicly available. The following day, Wimbish...
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... Dems call Allan Lichtman an “Election Nostradamus.” He came up with this surefire way to predict elections. Although, it’s not so sure-fire because he hasn’t been right every time, and he got 2024 wrong in a big way, which is a big sore spot for him, as you’ll see later. ... https://twitter.com/i/status/1859010089426055263
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Hey Nate, we weren't coordinating with the Trump campaign like I think an investigation could find that Selzer may have been. I control the numbers completely myself, and they are 100% a product of my own work. You should probably retract that. BTW, I refuse to pay to read this crap, but I'm pretty sure you're going to talk about the accuracy of polls on 11/4 and ignore the fact that they were manufacturing a fake Harris lead all fall (like your model also helped do by inserting additional leftward bias as compared to RCP). We, alone, showed Trump winning...
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Donald Trump never broke 50% job approval ratings in his first term, but he's smashing that barrier now... and the Senate had better pay attention. He's not in office, so the visible job he has is largely putting together his cabinet and establishing his strategy, but voters are loving it. 54% approve, and only 40% disapprove. This indicates that a substantial portion of voters who voted against him are warming up to him. https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/HHP_Nov2024_KeyResults.pdf A high initial approval rating normally doesn't mean much more than some of the people who voted against a new president are hopeful that the unfamiliar...
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John McIntyre couldn’t believe it. The publisher of the Real Clear Polling National Average, America’s first presidential poll aggregator, woke on October 31st to see his product denounced in the New York Times. Launched in 2002 and long a mainstay of campaign writers and news consumers alike, the RCP average, he learned, was part of a “torrent” of partisan rubbish being “weaponized” to “deflate Democrats’ enthusiasm” and “undermine faith in the entire system.” “They actually wrote that our problem was we didn’t weight results,” says an incredulous McIntyre. “That we didn’t put a thumb on the scale.” The Times ended...
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Nearly two weeks after President-elect Donald Trump’s electoral victory, Democrats and pundits alike are still trying to make sense of how Trump swept all seven swing states en route to securing more than 300 electoral votes. The exit polls reveal the overarching reason behind Trump’s victory. Voters rejected Vice President Kamala Harris’s and Democrats’ left-leaning platform, which doubled down on progressive social issues while largely neglecting the economy. Instead, Trump’s focus on kitchen table issues such as the economy and immigration was significantly more effective than Harris’s and Democrats’ focus on abortion rights, particularly with young, Hispanic, and Black voters...
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America never really gave Donald Trump a chance... until now. The highest his average approval rating ever got to was 43%, in mid-December, 2016. The best that could be said for him by middle-of-the-road voters had been that he was better than Hillary... again, until now. YouGov and Morning Consult were two pollsters that were skewed against Trump the hardest: both predicted him losing to Harris by two to four points. But they're the first two pollsters to poll his current approval rating, and they both have him higher than ever: YouGov has him at 49% and Morning Consult at...
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Every four years, presidential opinion polling reliably causes regime media to misplace their poop. But after the actual polling places close and report, the stenographer journalists generally don’t expose which—if any—of these influential prognosticators should be publicly grilled for fouling up. A current exception proves the rule. On the weekend before Election Day, pollster Ann Selzer unleashed an Iowa survey for the Des Moines Register purporting to show Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 points in a state Harris supposedly had no business winning. The “late shift toward Harris,” declared the Des Moines Register, was happening because of older...
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The mystery trader who calls himself ‘Théo’ is on track for a payday of nearly $50 million Théo is set for a huge payday. He made his wagers on Polymarket, a crypto-based betting platform, using four anonymous accounts. He concluded the polls were overstating support for Vice President Kamala Harris. Unlike most armchair political commentators, he put his money where his mouth was, betting more than $30 million that Trump would win. In his emails and a Zoom conversation with a reporter, Théo repeatedly criticized U.S. opinion polls. He was particularly critical of polls conducted by mainstream-media outlets that, in...
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For much of the 2024 US presidential campaign, polls and pundits rated the race too close to call. Then Donald Trump delivered a commanding victory over Kamala Harris, winning at least five battleground states, and performing unexpectedly well in other places. He is now poised to become the first Republican in two decades to win the popular vote, and could enter office with a Republican-controlled House and Senate at his back. So were the polls wrong about it being a tight contest? At the national level, they certainly appeared to underestimate Trump for the third election in a row. But...
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Pollster J. Ann Selzer is "reviewing her data" to determine why her pre-election poll, which set off a multi-day media firestorm, inaccurately showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading in Iowa. Selzer is "reviewing her data to determine why a Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll released just days before the election produced results so far out of line with former President Donald Trump's resounding victory," according to the Des Moines Register.
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Famed Iowa pollster Ann Selzer said she will be “reviewing data” after her survey that gave Democrats false hopes in the final days of the campaign proved to be wildly inaccurate.
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Veteran lefty political analyst Van Jones said he is “nervous” about Vice President Kamala Harris’ chances at the polls Tuesday — after her campaign focused on out-of-touch celebrity endorsements. Jones, a former special adviser to President Barack Obama, said Harris’ “star-studded” campaign events in the days leading up to the election felt eerily similar to the final days of Hillary Clinton’s failed White House bid in 2016. The political analyst admitted he was skeptical that her final swing-state push, which has featured celebs like Katy Perry, Lady Gaga and Oprah Winfrey, will actually convince working-class people to vote blue. “The...
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