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As Republicans see electoral losses across the country, about 74 percent of voters said the Iran war was a “crucial or major” factor in their vote for Congress, and Democrats won 63 percent of those voters, according to NBC exit polls. Only 26 percent said the war was a “minor factor or not a factor,” 70 percent of whom voted Republican and 28 percent of whom voted Democrat. The divide on the war became even greater when voters were asked whether the Trump administration made the “right decision” or “wrong decision” on “military action against Iran. Overall, 37 percent said...

Only 25% of Americans said political surveys correctly estimate votes, according to a new POLITICO Poll, conducted by PF Global. The result reveals that a significant portion of the public lacks faith in the industry as it contends with accusations of consistently failing to reach Republican voters. "Failing" to reach? Or just, you know, intentionally not trying to reach? This mistrust, of course, isn't new. Roughly one in four respondents say that polls showing a blue wave coming in November are wrong, and they expect Republicans to win key races. And 41% of Americans — including voters of both parties...

We are in the fog of war. Polls favor Democrats, who could capture both the House of Representatives and Senate. If Republicans lose Senate seats in Kansas, Iowa, and Texas, a bad night could become a rout. Republicans insist the picture is less bleak than polling averages suggest. They point to questionable turnout models and surveys that underestimate their candidates. In Michigan, skepticism is justified because some polls were exposed as fabrications. Of course, that does not make unfavorable legitimate polls disappear. Everything rests on turnout. Republicans must overcome historic midterm trends and President Donald Trump’s undeniably poor approval ratings....

WASHINGTON — President Trump’s Justice Department is warning election officials in all 50 states to preserve voting records or face possible jail time. Days before Tuesday’s midterm elections, Acting Deputy Attorney General Trent McCotter sent formal letters nationwide telling state officials they must preserve election records for at least 22 months — or else risk criminal prosecution for failure to comply with federal law. Violating Section 20701 — or willfully stealing, destroying, concealing, mutilating, or altering the records — is a federal crime punishable by up to one year in prison and a $1,000 fine. McCotter said officials are merely...

The Post is publishing results of its Kansas Senate poll in the interest of transparency and to highlight the challenges the poll faced. The Washington Post and George Mason University began contacting voters last week in one of the country’s most competitive but least-polled Senate contests: the race in Kansas between Republican Sen. Roger Marshall and megachurch pastor Adam Hamilton, who is trying to become the first Democratic senator from the state since the Great Depression.

Democrat Abdul El-Sayed has increased his polling lead to 7 percentage points over Republican Mike Rogers, a former congressman, among likely voters in a nationally watched U.S. Senate race in Michigan. Mitchell Research & Communications conducted the statewide poll Oct. 26-27 for CBS Detroit and other Michigan television stations. It surveyed likely voters in the Nov. 3 general election. "El-Sayed is in the driver's seat for a big victory on November 3rd," the researchers said. El-Sayed was the choice of 51% of likely voters, with Rogers at 44%, in the latest Mitchell poll. Three percent were undecided, and third-party candidates...

LANSING, Mich. (WLNS) — Mallory McMorrow, the Democratic state senator who dropped out of the Michigan U.S. Senate race ahead of the August primary, says a fake poll helped sink her campaign after it admitted it fabricated its data. Wedgewood Polls, a self-described polling firm with an X account created in June 2026, released the survey on June 29. It showed progressive Abdul El-Sayed at 46%, moderate Haley Stevens and McMorrow at 9%. It also had McMorrow trailing Republican Mike Rogers, who was unopposed for the nomination. In a statement Tuesday, Wedgewood said it fabricated the results as a “social...

The polling industry needs major reform. Our statement below:

The midterm polls suck, and they might be right – if you believe them, we could be headed for anything from a blue tsunami to a blue wave to a blue trickle. But that’s a big if. To avoid that conclusion, you have to believe that the majority of polls, which are undeniably showing most of our key Senate candidates losing, are inaccurate. Now, this is where it gets tricky, because we want to believe in a massive polling miss. We want to believe that the polls are skewed Dem-ward. We want to believe that there are Republicans out there...

Pulse Decision Science poll | 9/24-9/27 LV US Senate Texas 2026 🟥Ken Paxton 48% 🟦James Talarico 45% Tracks polls in upcoming elections. US political news aggregator + posts polls and election results. Occasional political commentary. Non-partisan.

A total of 29% of Americans say they approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president and 68% say they disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job according to the latest survey from the American Research Group. When it comes to Trump's handling of the economy, 26% of Americans approve and 71% disapprove. In August, 28% of Americans approved of the way Trump was handling the economy and 69% disapproved.

🔵 GA: Ossoff +7 (LINK) 🔵 NC: Cooper +6 (LINK) 🔵 OH: Brown +4 (LINK) 🔵 MI: El-Sayed +2 (LINK) 🔵 TX: Talarico +1 (LINK)

*** RealClearPolitics polling averages on Wednesday show Democrats ahead in Texas, Michigan, Maine, Alaska, Ohio, and New Hampshire.*** In Texas, Democrat state Rep. James Talarico leads Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton by 2.6 points in the latest RCP average, 47.6% to 45%. Talarico leads in eight of the 10 polls included in the current RCP average, while Paxton leads in one*** Michigan also shows a narrow Democrat advantage, with Abdul El-Sayed leading Republican Mike Rogers by 1.8 points, 46.5% to 44.7%, in the current RCP average. Seven of the 10 polls in the polling set show El-Sayed ahead, two show...

Americans who still treat the polling industry as a weather report are flying blind into a midterm general election.The primary season just finished exposing an industry that has been rotting for at least a decade. The misses were not small. They were serial, public, and in select cases, worse than incompetent. Americans need a reliable map of races that will decide who writes tax law, runs committees, and sets the country’s direction. Right now, much of the map is junk.In Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary, polls had the Islamic leftist Abdul Mohammed El-Sayed ahead by double digits on average. He won...

1. THE POLLS NEED A SCORECARD Fake polls. Bad polls. Big misses. Zoose introduces the Zoose Quarterly Pollster Rankings, powered by the Zoose Pollster Accountability Index (ZPAI), to measure what America’s pollsters have actually earned.

There is absolutely zero excuse for people in the media or social media publishing the press releases and fake polls of the Jewish Democratic Council of America. At this point it’s either laziness or a desire to be fooled or to fool others and considering much of the press coverage is coming from left-wing media sites, that’s not surprising, and they’re all hyping the idea that Jews are all still voting Democrat. Poll shows two-thirds of U.S. Jewish voters will favor Democrats in November – JTA..

With midterms rapidly approaching, Republicans had appeared to catch a break on the economy. After a year in which the war with Iran sent gas prices soaring and pushed inflation to multi-year highs, both June and July’s Consumer Price Index came in tame. Even grocery prices slipped for the first time in months. But then President Trump returned to his longtime obsession: tariffs. Indeed, last weekend, talks between the White House and Canada collapsed, and Trump immediately slapped 50 percent tariffs on billions of dollars’ worth of Canadian goods, reviving what the Wall Street Journal called “The Dumbest Trade War...

This video from Black Conservative Perspective analyzes recent political polling trends and discusses why election outcomes often differ from poll predictions. The creator highlights concerns that polls may underestimate Republican support, drawing on historical examples like the 2016 and 2024 elections. Key takeaways from the video: Polling Discrepancies: The creator discusses a CNN segment where data analysts explored scenarios where polls might be wrong. The video suggests that when polls are incorrect, they have historically underestimated Republican performance (0:01:22-0:06:50). Social Trust: The video explores the theory that lower "social trust" among some Republican voters may make them less likely to...

The words “fake poll” took on new meaning as a firm tied to several progressive candidates with apparent big leads closed after the group revealed its voter surveys were fabricated.The Los Angeles Times (LA Times) reported the polling outfit behind a widely credited survey, which showed Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass with a 12-point lead over challenger Nithya Raman, said the survey was “a short-term social experiment.”The company’s website said the purpose of the survey’s release was to track “how purported polling information could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification.” Previously, a poll by the...

Average ground beef price per pound: 🔵 June 2024: $5.47 🔴 June 2025: $6.12 🔴 June 2026: $6.83 [Tr] Up 11.5% from 2025 and nearly 25% from 2024