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Keyword: polls

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  • I’m 90% certain Trump will win. The reason for my 10% uncertainty will likely surprise you.

    12/02/2020 8:49:42 AM PST · by kellymcneill · 63 replies
    NOQ Report ^ | December 2, 2020 | JD Rucker
    My confidence in President Trump's eventual reelection is based on a preponderance of evidence that seems blatantly clear. But there's a chance the forces arrayed against him will not allow the truth to come out. There's also a slight chance he simply doesn't want to be president anymore.
  • Rand Paul at 9% in hypothetical 2024 GOP Presidential primary poll

    11/23/2020 1:50:19 PM PST · by RandFan · 63 replies
    Twitter ^ | Nov 23 | Patrick Ruffini
    In a 2024 primary, Donald Trump is still the one most would consider voting for at 52%. But he’s not as dominant as you’d think. 45% say they’d consider Mike Pence, and 32% Ted Cruz. Rounding out the top tier: Trump Jr., Haley, Rubio. Click excerpt link for pic
  • Support for Stricter U.S. Gun Laws at Lowest Level Since 2016

    11/16/2020 5:11:05 PM PST · by Trump20162020 · 25 replies
    Gallup ^ | November 16, 2020 | Megan Brenan
    • GOP support for stricter gun laws has fallen 14 points since 2019 to new 22% low • 25% of Americans favor a handgun ban in the U.S., near record lowWASHINGTON, D.C. -- In the absence of a high-profile mass shooting in the U.S. in 2020 and amid the coronavirus pandemic, civil unrest related to racial justice issues and the contentious presidential election campaign, Americans are less likely than they have been since 2016 to call for increased gun control. The latest majority (57%) in the U.S. who call for stricter laws covering the sale of firearms marks a seven-percentage-point...
  • 5 Historical Trends That Show It’s Utterly Shocking If Trump Lost In 2020

    11/14/2020 1:52:45 PM PST · by Kaslin · 48 replies
    The Federalist ^ | November 13, 2020 | J.B. Shurk
    Considering these five facts about the election, it's no wonder Biden failed to achieve a landslide victory — and one might say it's curious that he'd achieve victory at all. If I told you an incumbent president had 52 percent approval on Election Day and ended up winning 10 million more votes than during his first election, would you predict victory? What if 56 percent of voters felt they were better off since the president had entered office? What if you knew that the incumbent had a nearly 30 percent enthusiasm edge over his opponent, or that when asked for...
  • A Country Where People Are Afraid to Tell Pollsters What They Think

    11/13/2020 4:57:00 AM PST · by Kaslin · 50 replies ^ | November 13, 2020 | Michael Barone
    "I like a good contrarian argument as much as the next guy," tweets mild-mannered RealClearPolitics senior elections analyst Sean Trende, "but there's really no getting around the fact that the 2020 polling was a pile of steaming garbage." "The national polls were even worse than they were four years ago," writes New York Times polling guru Nate Cohn. "(W)hatever steps pollsters took to improve after 2016 were canceled out by a new set of problems." Trende and Cohn have earned credibility as two of the few political analysts who spotted, before Donald Trump's surprise victory, that white non-college graduates were...
  • What The Fox? Sandra Smith, Neil Cavuto And The Unmasking Of A Potemkin Network

    11/12/2020 2:57:09 PM PST · by raptor22 · 45 replies
    Noisy Room ^ | November 12, 2020 | Daniel John Sobieski
    Once upon a time, Fox News was the “fair and balanced” network, the video equivalent of talk radio where one could go to get news and commentary one could hear nowhere else, truth otherwise blocked by the legacy media gatekeepers. It thrived precisely for that reason and harvested hundreds if not millions of viewers hungry for the truth and the facts about the country and world they lived in and what was happening in both of them. Somewhere along the way, Fox News began to lose its way and went from a voice crying in the political wilderness to another...
  • The ‘Shy Trump Voter’ Is A Suburban Woman

    11/12/2020 12:12:08 PM PST · by Kaslin · 11 replies
    The Federalist ^ | November 12, 2020 | Kelsie Bolar
    According to a post-election survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, the biggest ‘shy Trump’ constituency of 2020 was a white, college-educated woman. Days before the presidential election, establishment media like The Washington Post claimed the “shy Trump voter” was no longer a thing. On-brand with big media’s track record of being wrong, exit polls are telling the opposite story. Indeed, there was a “shy Trump voter,” but it wasn’t the blue-collar worker pollsters missed in 2016. Instead, the shy Trump voter of 2020 was a highly educated “she.” According to a post-election survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, the biggest...
  • GOP Michigan poll watchers swear they incurred 'intimidation' and 'threats of assault'

    11/12/2020 5:54:54 AM PST · by BuckeyeGW · 24 replies
    Washington Examiner ^ | 11/12/20 | Zachary Halaschak
    Republicans working as credentialed poll challengers in Michigan said in sworn affidavits that they experienced intimidation and insults from poll workers and others while absentee votes were being tabulated.
  • The Election Showing Me Down 17 Points In Wisconsin When, In fact, On Election Day, The Race Was Even - & We Are Now Preparing To Win The State.

    11/11/2020 3:31:54 PM PST · by Enlightened1 · 97 replies
    Twitter ^ | 11/11/20 | Donald J. Trump
    The Fake Pollsters at @ABC / @washingtonpost  produced a possibly illegal suppression Poll just before the Election showing me down 17 points in Wisconsin when, in fact, on Election Day, the race was even - & we are now preparing to win the state. Many such “deplorable” instances! -Donald J Trump  
  • The Media Should Not Have 'Called' This Election

    11/10/2020 9:46:57 AM PST · by conservative98 · 26 replies
    RCP ^ | Andy Puzder
    President Trump is contesting the reported results in those states where the race is close, and the conduct of election officials and the processes used appear suspicious. He is clearly within his rights to contest the results; his supporters generally want him to do so. Allowing the legal process to run its course is the only way
  • Slain Bensalem chiropractor planned to work at polls as GOP committeeman

  • Bret Baier: “All The Polls, Well Except Trafalgar [Are Having A Bad Night]”

    11/03/2020 11:01:23 PM PST · by Helicondelta · 29 replies
    The @trafalgar_group team thanks @BretBaier for the shoutout. “All the polls, well except Trafalgar [are having a bad night]”
  • Media Watchdog Calls for Investigation Into Liberal Media’s Election Tampering

    11/05/2020 11:43:06 AM PST · by xomething · 19 replies
    lifenews ^ | 11/04/2020 | Newsbusters
    Media Research Center President Brent Bozell on Wednesday released a statement about the “wildly wrong” polling, calling it “deliberate.” Here’s Bozell’s full statement: “While votes are still being counted and the outcome of the election is undetermined, there is one thing we can say with certainty: once again, the polls weren’t just wildly wrong, they were deliberately wildly wrong. This was no mistake. These were the same pollsters who predicted the same thing four years ago, day after day after day: there was no way Donald Trump could win. It was clear then that they were attempting to suppress the...

    11/04/2020 9:33:42 AM PST · by shortstop · 13 replies ^ | 11/04/2020 | Bob Lonsberry
    What a pretty lie a poll is. And what a pack of conmen the reporters are. And what an impotent tyranny the progressives run. That’s the takeaway on this uncertain morning after. While an asterisk hangs over the most important results, some conclusions are clear. We don’t yet know who the president will be, but we do know who the charlatans were. They were the people peddling the polls that reflected not public opinion, but public manipulation. They were the reporters who strung an orchestrated narrative of dishonesty, driven not by data but by dogma, not by our truth but...
  • The pollsters were wrong again — why do we listen to them?

    11/04/2020 12:55:03 AM PST · by Oshkalaboomboom · 35 replies
    NY Post ^ | 11/03/2020 | John Podhoretz
    Every single major election year, they do it to us. They offer us numbers, and people interested in politics mainline them like heroin. We’re soothed. We’re calmed. Soon we are hungry for more, more, more. By election night, we junkies end up fried, damaged, and in need of rehab. It’s time to go cold turkey before our last brain cells are destroyed. Donald Trump won Florida by 3.5 points. In 2016, he won Florida by 1.1. Last night he tripled his margin of victory. And the polling? The final 538 average had Joe Biden winning Florida by 2.5 points. It...
  • So in the last 48 hours @realclearnews has flipped four states from Biden to Trump. Florida will be next.

    11/02/2020 11:29:09 PM PST · by SmokingJoe · 73 replies
    Twitter ^ | November 02 2020 | Alex Berenson
    @AlexBerenson So in the last 48 hours @realclearnews has flipped four states from Biden to Trump. Florida will be next. At that point it’ll be 290 to 248 with both Pennsylvania and Arizona still in the Biden camp. Get ready for a long night...
  • Baris Has Trump +1 in PA and Biden +2 in WI and MI

    11/02/2020 7:58:46 PM PST · by JamesP81 · 96 replies
    Big Data Poll ^ | 11-2-2020 | Big Data Poll
    PA: Trump +1 WI: Biden +2 MI: Biden +2
  • 3 Most Accurate Pollsters of Pennsylvania in 2016 Have Trump Winning or Tied in 2020

    11/02/2020 2:53:53 PM PST · by wrrock · 11 replies
    TG ^ | 11/2/2020 | evan
    LAST POLLS BEFORE ELECTION 11/2/2020 FROM THE MOST ACCURATE POLLSTERS OF PENNSYLVANIA Susquehanna TRUMP: 49.2 BIDEN: 48.4 2016 Prediction: Hillary +2; result: Trump +0.7 Trafalgar TRUMP 47.8 BIDEN 45.9 2016 Prediction: Trump+1.9; result: Trump +0.7 BIG DATA POLL TRUMP: 47 BIDEN: 47 2016 Prediction Trump +0.6; result: Trump +0.7 InsiderAdvantage TRUMP: 49 BIDEN: 47 2016 Prediction: Predicted Trump’s win in 2016, no PA specific poll. READ MORE...
  • Presidential Poll Results (by several swing states)

    11/02/2020 12:58:13 PM PST · by goodn'mad · 70 replies
    Traflagar Group ^ | November 2, 2020 | Robert Cahaly?
    Breakdown of a few swing states (by date): Pennsylvania November 2, 2020 Trump – 47.8% Biden – 45.9% Ohio November 1, 2020 Trump – 49.2% Biden – 44.4% Michigan November 1, 2020 Trump – 48.3% Biden – 45.8% North Carolina October 31, 2020 Trump – 48.6% Biden – 46.5% Arizona October 30, 2020 Trump – 48.9% Biden – 46.4% Nevada October 29, 2020 Biden – 49.4% Trump – 47.1%
  • TRUMP Campaign Manager Releases Internal Swing State Numbers — AND THEY WILL SEND DEMOCRATS OFF THE CLIFF

    11/02/2020 12:19:23 PM PST · by Red Badger · 135 replies
    GP ^ | November 2, 2020 at 2:02pm | By Jim Hoft
    The final StatesPoll on Monday before election day predicts a Donald Trump win with 312 electoral votes. On Monday Trump Campaign Manager Bill Stepien posted a number of tweets on the current state of the race. What we can conclude from the information: ** President Trump is in better shape than he was in 2016 ** Democrats should be very nervous! President Trump is ahead of where he was in 2016: TWEETS AT LINK............. President Trump’s numbers in North Carolina and Pennsylvania are better this year. President Trump’s numbers are very strong in Wisconsin and Michigan. Florida and Arizona look...