Free Republic

A poll suggests that a proposed amendment to enshrine the right to abortion in the Arizona Constitution has enough support to pass. A New York Times/Siena College found that 58 percent of likely voters plan to vote in favor of the abortion amendment, called Proposition 139. Just over a third (35 percent) plan to vote against the amendment, and seven percent of respondents are unsure or refused to answer. “The amendment, which is one of several abortion-related ballot initiatives across the country this fall, is seen by Democrats as a potential opportunity to increase turnout, since abortion has come to...

Vice President Kamala Harris holds a slight lead over former President Donald Trump among likely Minnesota voters, according to a new poll released six weeks before Election Day. The Minnesota Star Tribune/MPR News/KARE 11 Minnesota Poll found Harris and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz with a 48% to 43% lead over Trump and Sen. JD Vance of Ohio. Seven percent of respondents said they remain undecided, while fewer than 2% of those polled said they would vote for a third-party candidate. The poll’s findings are based on interviews with 800 likely Minnesota voters, conducted Sept. 16-18. The poll’s margin of error...

Even though Kamala Harris had the edge during the last debate, it looks like Donald Trump has the lead in key battleground states like Pennsylvania. However, a new survey says that the race still remains a tossup nationally, as Donald Trump can win the presidency just as much as Kamala at this point. With only a few short weeks away, both Kamala and Trump are going to be hitting the campaign trail hard in the hopes that they’ll be able to convince undecided voters to cast their vote for them at the very last hour. It goes without saying that...

A double-digit increase in popularity, rising Democratic enthusiasm and an early edge for representing “change” have vaulted Vice President Kamala Harris forward and reshuffled the 2024 presidential contest, according to a new national NBC News poll. With just over six weeks until Election Day, the poll finds Harris with a 5-point lead over former President Donald Trump among registered voters, 49% to 44%. While that result is within the margin of error, it’s a clear shift from July’s poll, when Trump was ahead by 2 points before President Joe Biden’s exit. But the transformation in the presidential contest goes well...

While most political junkies focus on the latest twists and turns in the presidential race, a political earthquake in the Empire State has the potential to fundamentally alter how New Yorkers run their elections — and may even impact which party holds power in Washington in 2025. Starting Sept. 22, a provision of the state Voting Rights Act will require certain local governments to seek “preclearance” from the state Attorney General or a designated court to make many election-related decisions — including some that are relatively minor.

Donald Trump faces a biblical battle to hang on to evangelical voters, as some stray from the Republican base to cast a ballot for Kamala Harris despite her liberal views. Surveys suggest about 8 in 10 white evangelical voters cast a ballot for him in the 2020 election, with two in 10 voting for Joe Biden. However, Biden performed better with evangelicals of all faiths, winning about a third of those voters. Now, groups like evangelicals for Harris have run advertisements and Zoom calls in an attempt to argue she is the better choice this election despite serious policy disagreements....

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 20TH | 18 ELUL 5784 Search University of Connecticut Rejects Dialogue With Pro-Hamas Group After Antisemitic Incident Targeting PresidentIsraeli Singer Eden Golan to Perform at UN ‘October Rain’ Song About Hamas Attack Rejected by EurovisionTrump Makes Pitch to Jewish Voters, Says Israel Will Be ‘Eradicated’ if Harris Wins ElectionHouthis Prepared for ‘Long War of Attrition’ With Israel, Says Terror Group’s ‘Defense Minister’Israel Submits Challenges to ICC on Arrest Warrants Requests Against Netanyahu, GallantIsraeli Airstrike in Beirut Kills Top Hezbollah Terror CommanderHezbollah Handed Out Pagers Hours Before Blasts — Even After ChecksWhat Is Hezbollah? Even After Three Tries, the...

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are running neck and neck in typically blue Virginia, according to a poll. The University of Washington’s Center for Leadership and Media Studies poll, published Friday, shows the candidates are tied two in a two-way race among registered voters, while Harris has razor-thin edge with likely voters. Each garners 45 percent of the 850 registered voter respondents’ support in a head-to-head matchup. Three percent prefer someone else, and four percent are undecided. Two percent would not vote, and one percent refused to answer. Harris leads Trump narrowly, 48 percent to 46...

Vice President Kamala Harris (D) and former President Donald Trump (R) are locked in a tight presidential contest in Virginia, according to a new statewide survey from the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington. Harris has the support of 47 percent of 756 Virginia likely voters, as compared to 46 percent favoring Trump in the survey, which includes 1,000 adult respondents and was conducted for UMW’s Center for Leadership and Media Studies by Research America Inc. Sept. 3-9. Several third party and independent candidates received a total of four percent support in the poll,...

New polling from Gallup suggests that Vice President and Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris is fighting a losing battle with independent voters. According to the new survey of 1,007 American adults conducted between September 3 and 15, both Harris and Republican nominee Donald Trump’s favorability ratings are underwater. Forty-six percent of respondents view Trump favorably, and 53% view him unfavorably. Harris is viewed favorably by 44% and unfavorably by 54%. (snip) But while both candidates are underwater with independents, Harris is struggling much more so than Trump. Forty-four percent view Trump favorably, and 53% view him unfavorably, so the former...

An elderly pedophile was found dead in his cell inside a California prison with his cellmate now under investigation for his murder. Mark Squires, 70, was found unresponsive around 3:30 pm on Tuesday by San Quentin prison staff after an alarm was sounded, the California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation (CDCR) said in a statement. Emergency services were immediately called and 'lifesaving measures' were performed on the prisoner, who was imprisoned for lewd acts on a child under the age of 14. Squires was transported to the prison triage area, where medical staff - who were not associated with the...

Former President Donald Trump’s edge over Vice President Kamala Harris in four critical swing states would translate to an electoral college victory if the presidential election were held today, according to an Emerson College/Nexstar Media poll. The poll, published Thursday, finds that Trump has the advantage over Harris in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, while Harris is slightly ahead in Michigan and North Carolina. They are in a dead heat in Nevada. Arizona: Trump: 49 percent Harris: 48 percent Someone else: 2 Undecided: 1 Georgia: Trump: 50 percent Harris: 47 percent Someone else: 2 percent Undecided: 2 percent Pennsylvania: Trump:...

Polling, why is it so bad? Its election cycle, and as you know in this day and age with every poll that comes out and plethora of headlines and stories will be written about it, because polling apparently is now a replacement for news.. and has been for a long long time now during election season. Every new poll will be reported both professionally and among the punditry as either the end of days, or the greatest news ever to come about, depending on where in the political spectrum the pundit lies and whether their candidate is up or down....

Former President Trump’s favorability rating has risen by 5 percentage points in the past month, according to a survey released Wednesday. The Gallup poll shows Trump’s favorability has bounced back in September, returning to June levels — before President Biden withdrew from the race. Roughly 46 percent of respondents had a favorable view of the GOP nominee in the latest survey, compared to 41 percent in August. Harris, who rose to the top of the ticket after Biden stepped aside, saw a dip in her favorability — dropping from 47 percent to 44 percent in the recent poll.

New Yorkers really are tough — to please! Gov. Kathy Hochul’s favorability rating has sunk lower than President Donald Trump’s among likely Empire State voters, a newly released Siena College poll shows. Only 34% of likely New York voters said they had a favorable opinion of the Democratic governor, compared with 39% Trump. The poll conducted last week also had Hochul’s unfavorability rating at 54%, its highest ever, putting her net favorability at -20%. Trump’s net favorability sits at -18%. “To repeat, Kathy Hochul has a lower net favorability rating in New York than Donald Trump,” Siena poll spokesperson Steve...

A data scientist who predicted the outcome of the 2020 presidential election has anticipated a landslide for Democratic nominee Kamala Harris, in a blow to former president Donald Trump's hopes to reclaim the White House.

Vice President Kamala Harris edges former President Trump in a head-to-head matchup, as more voters see Harris as the candidate who will help the middle class, and Hispanics and independents swing in her direction. The new Fox News national survey finds a 3 percentage-point shift among registered voters in the 2024 presidential contest since mid-August. Trump had a 1-point advantage last month, while Harris is ahead by 2 points today: 50%-48%. For reference, in July, Trump was ahead by 1 point over President Biden. Each of those differences falls within the margin of error. This marks the first time Harris...

A new Fox News poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by just two points and within the margin of error. Surveying 1,102 registered voters between September 13-16 with a margin of error +/- 3 percent, the poll showed that Kamala Harris improved her standing by three points since August, during which the two had the first presidential debate and there was a second assassination attempt on Trump’s life. “Trump had a 1-point advantage last month, while Harris is ahead by 2 points today: 50 percent to 48 percent,” Fox News noted. “For reference, in July,...

A stunning new survey finds that Vice President Kamala Harris is tanking with a key voting bloc she will likely need to turn around soon if she wants to beat former President Donald Trump. When it comes to crucial independent voters, both candidates are below 50 percent, but a new Gallup survey finds that just 35% of independents view the vice president favorably, while 60% view her unfavorably. That puts her 25 points underwater with the very voters she needs to sway.

Source: Leading Report on X Teamsters’ member polling gives Trump an overwhelming lead over Harris 59.7% to 34.0% (9/18/2024). Electoral College results via RealClearPolitics show Trump flipping Pennsylvania and beating Harris after new polls 281 to 257 (9/17/2024). New Electoral College model, according to Nate Silver (“no tossup”) Trump 312 to Harris 226 (9/16/2024).