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DEAD HEAT: Stunning New Poll Shows GOP Drawing Even With Dems Ahead of Midterms
Mediaite ^ | 3/2/2026 | Isaac Schorr

Posted on 03/02/2026 2:47:28 PM PST by sopo

A stunning new survey conducted by the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS), the Harris Poll, and HarrisX suggests that the GOP has drawn even with the Democrats with eight months to go until the midterm elections.

The poll of 1,999 registered voters, which was conducted online between February 25 and 26, found that 50% of Americans would vote for the Republican candidate in their congressional district and 50% would vote for the Democratic one if the midterms were held today. That marked an enormous improvement for the GOP, which trailed the Democrats 54%-46% on the same question last month.

When presented with the following hypothetical campaign message from the GOP, 54% of respondents said they found it “believable”:

Republicans say that they are returning responsibility to government by arresting criminals, closing the borders, keeping tax es low, and lowering energy costs. We can’t go back to the Democrats who were allowing our cities and way of life to deteriorate and prices on energy and food to soar while fraud took billions and billions of dollars of their giveaway programs.

Just 48% of respondents, meanwhile, said they found this hypothetical message from Democrats credible:

Democrats say we are for affordability. Free government services. Free housing and transportation. Healthcare for all. Free student loans. We have the money and can provide these services if you elect us to office and we will bring down the billionaires

Sixty-one percent of Americans, though, indicated that they would be receptive to an overtly anti-Trump message from Democrats along the lines of:

Suppose the Democrats say we need to stop Donald Trump. He is a runaway dictator, and we need a check on his power by returning the Congress to the Democrats. His tariffs are increasing prices, and he is off on foreign adventures.

For his part, Trump’s net approval rating ticked upward from -6 last month (45%-51%) to -3, (46%-49%).


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: harris; harvard; poll; polls

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Fweepers put your hankies away
1 posted on 03/02/2026 2:47:28 PM PST by sopo
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To: sopo

It was like this for the longest. And the 250th anniversary is coming up. Dems will probably lose 5-10 house and one senate unless GOP self owns.

Watch for Massie to turn tail from him DNC donors once the winds change.


2 posted on 03/02/2026 2:50:16 PM PST by struggle
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To: sopo

And in other news, Freepers on some threads are declaring that Trump is ‘hemorrhaging support’...


3 posted on 03/02/2026 2:50:34 PM PST by Jamestown1630 ("A Republic, if you can keep it.")
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To: sopo

There is no limit to the nastiness that the Democrats will engage in if they think they’re going to lose.

They tried just flat-out lying, in NYC and Virginia. Too bad, they shot their shot too soon. Now everyone can see the results.

Those videos of Ilhan Omar during the SOTU are worth millions of votes.


4 posted on 03/02/2026 2:50:51 PM PST by Steely Tom ([Voter Fraud] == [Civil War])
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To: sopo

Worthless online poll even if it suggests good news.


5 posted on 03/02/2026 2:51:23 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: struggle

Hussein opens his flak and adoration tower in June. What a celebration it will be.


6 posted on 03/02/2026 2:52:00 PM PST by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: struggle

Thune is going to give um the senate by killing the save act from the looks of things


7 posted on 03/02/2026 2:52:05 PM PST by cableguymn (Can't cancel all of us)
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To: sopo

If you’re a straight guy in 2026, why would you vote for the Democratic Party?


8 posted on 03/02/2026 2:53:34 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
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To: sopo

And after the war is convincingly won in relatively short order and the region stabilizes, prices drop and the financial markets soar, the GOP will be gaining seats.


9 posted on 03/02/2026 2:54:01 PM PST by Mr. Mojo
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To: sopo

Crank the Call to Prayer up to 11 and even New Yawkers will be voting for R’s!


10 posted on 03/02/2026 2:54:11 PM PST by bigbob (We are all Charlie Kirk now)
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To: sopo

Once the campaign starts heating up, I think the Democrats will have a tough time. They’ve managed to create a fair amount of discontent with their constant protesting and resistance. Once it becomes clear that they only intend to bring more of that anger, their numbers should drop. But gee, why do so many conservatives sit out the mid-terms?


11 posted on 03/02/2026 2:54:30 PM PST by Repealthe17thAmendment
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To: sopo

But a tie goes to the Democrat. Always.


12 posted on 03/02/2026 2:55:38 PM PST by fwdude (Why is there a "far/radical right," but damned if they'll admit that there is a far/radical left)
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To: sopo

Any poll is meaningless, even if it is favorable. What counts are those that actually vote, those that vote fraudulently, and all the fake votes manipulated into the system either by mail-in’s or hacked voting machines.

Republicans need to cure most of the fraud and outvote the fraud they cannot stop in order to win.


13 posted on 03/02/2026 2:57:28 PM PST by redfreedom (They’re AWFUL...Affuent White Female Urban Leftists)
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To: sopo

I think enough people saw the way the commies behaved at the state of the union and especially now, many Dems taking the side of the Ayotollah and saying to themselves “OK maybe I dont agree with a lot of what the GOP stands for but damn the Dem party is NUTS”


14 posted on 03/02/2026 2:57:56 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: redfreedom

polls drive donors


15 posted on 03/02/2026 2:59:24 PM PST by sopo
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To: bigbob
Crank the Call to Prayer up to 11

Oh, snap. Make it even louder. Defy every noise ordinance. First Amendment! 24/7. It's BRILLIANT.

16 posted on 03/02/2026 2:59:40 PM PST by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: Jamestown1630

Yes, I’ve notice there’s a lot of whining going on here and there. I wonder if it’s nothing but a bunch cranky old men that are never happy unless they can bitch about something.


17 posted on 03/02/2026 3:00:26 PM PST by redfreedom (They’re AWFUL...Affuent White Female Urban Leftists)
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To: Steely Tom

Democrats only want candidates that hate the USA.


18 posted on 03/02/2026 3:03:36 PM PST by Lower55
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To: sopo
Everything I hear indicates that in 6 months the economy will be in overdrive. If that happens it's hard to imagine the GOP losing control of the House or Senate.
19 posted on 03/02/2026 3:04:31 PM PST by Gay State Conservative (Import The Third World,Become The Third World)
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To: Jamestown1630
Freepers on some threads are declaring that Trump is ‘hemorrhaging support’...

The forum is infested with foreign trolls engaged in information warfare against us.

20 posted on 03/02/2026 3:04:31 PM PST by NorthMountain (... the right of the people to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed)
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