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Department of Troll Control | Another Ignorant Troll

[dhls]

Fellow Americans, there comes a time every mans life when we must give up ourselves before we are worthy to recieve. There comes a time in this war on terror when in order to protect liberty, we have to give it up in the mean time for safty. That's right folks. Today, Americans have forsaken the creator for the creation and have decided that they would value our "civil liberties" than protecting western civilization and rich white people from the tender mercies of radical Islamic terrorists. Selfish liberals insist and whine that Bush has no right to spy on Americans and ban certain undesirables from using our airlines. They demand the right to criticize and blaspheeme the name of our supreme commander and cheef George W Bush while forcing multiculturalism down our throats and praising Bill Clinton. We all know however that it's totally Clintons fult for everything bad in america. Now we are at war and we must make a decision. support the safty of America and defeat terrorists, or support civil liberties and give victory to the enemy. Its all because of Bill Clinton and civil liberties that we are in this war so it is only fair that we give it up. no one said life was supposed to be fair you liberal crybabys. Dont give me that rubbish about equality and diversity. WE ARE AT WAR! If your not for Bush and against civil liberties your a terrorist! Your probably even a Communist and should be detained. Therefore fellow Americans we must throw all of our trust and resources behind George W Bush and behind this war with no ifs ands or buts. Be sure to report any and all detractors and freedom supporters to your local military and never question. Bush knows what hes doing and we will win this war once and for all. Thank you and May God bless America.

[Knitting A Conundrum]

Thinking about it. I'm supposed to teach catechism this afternoon, but I've been having a touch of cold-induced asthma and I may just call in.

[Monkey Face]

That sounds like a good excuse reason. It may be better for you to not get out in the wind and cold.

[Monkey Face]

That -20 with a 20 mph wind is what I remember well enough to not want to endure it. I've seen Las Vegas get to -27 with the wind chill, and that's just a little more than I care to handle. No snow is not even a factor when it's that cold.

[Alice au Wonderland]

See, there 'ya go....told you that you were imaginative.

Of course you could always do what my friends' neighbor did....

[Dead Corpse]

-20 air temp is bad. Howling winds on top of it make it deadly.

[Dead Corpse]

*waiting for rest of story*

[Monkey Face]

Yep. It's as bad in it's own way as the Santa Ana winds from the desert...both of them are deadly if one forgets how to be respectful of Mother Nature.

[Alice au Wonderland]

My friends live in Vegas and their neighbor was a cop with at least one teenage girl. (My friends have 3 girls, so they paid attention to this man's method of handling the boys that came calling.)

Anyway, the young man came to collect the girl, and there was Daddy, sitting on the front stoop cleaning his handgun.

The young couple started down the walk when Daddy yelled, "Catch!" and tossed a 9mm cartridge at the boy, who caught it.

Daddy said, "If my little girl comes back here with something she didn't leave with, or comes back here without something she did leave with, the next bullet's gonna come at you alot faster. Understand, son?"

Apparently there was great head nodding and fearful gulping and the two went on their merry way.

I love that approach. Ain't nobody getting to Tertia with Mommy and Daddy sitting on the front stoop cleaning their guns....

[Knitting A Conundrum]

Big part of southern Nevada is under a Red Flag warning today for winds with low humidities...

[Monkey Face]

We're getting 40+ mph and our humidity is at 6% right now. No doubt the dewpoint is around -15 degrees...

The wind doesn't blow in Las Vegas, anyway. It sucks.

[Knitting A Conundrum]

This is the one for Phoenix:


.RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /10 AM PST/ THIS
MORNING TO 8 PM MST /7 PM PST/ THIS EVENING..

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /10 AM PST/ THIS
MORNING TO 8 PM MST /7 PM PST/ THIS EVENING FOR THE LOWER COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA DUE TO STRONG
SOUTHWEST WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDTY...AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

FIRE WEATHER ZONES INCLUDED IN THIS WARNING ARE CALIFORNIA FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 231 AND ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONES 131. ..132. ..AND 133

DISCUSSION..
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES LATE THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AND
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN
TODAY. TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW...INCREASING WINDS ARE LIKELY
DURING THE LATE MORNING...WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 TO 30
MPH AND GUSTS EXCEEDING 35 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS. IN ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AT OR BELOW 15
PERCENT WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONG WINDS. THE STRONG WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITIES...COMBINED WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING...MAY CREATE
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

[Knitting A Conundrum]

This is the one for Southern Nevada and northern AZ

LAKE MEAD NATIONAL RECREATION AREA-NORTHWEST DESERTS-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN NEVADA-
906 AM PST WED FEB 15 2006 /1006 AM MST WED FEB 15 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PST /7 PM MST/ THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEVADA AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA..

FIRE WEATHER ZONES INCLUDED IN THIS WARNING ARE..

SOUTHERN NEVADA...THE NORTHERN HALF OF ZONE 456
NORTHWEST ARIZONA...ZONE 101 AND 102

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN CLARK AND SOUTHERN NYE COUNTIES ARE
NOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN CONSIDERABLY HIGHER THAN 20 PERCENT TODAY
IN A RELATIVELY MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW...WELL ABOVE THE CRITICAL VALUE
OF 15 PERCENT. HOWEVER...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE OBSERVED OVER THIS AREA TODAY. THE
REMAINDER OF NEVADA ZONE 456. ..INCLUDING LINCOLN...ESMERALDA AND
CENTRAL NYE COUNTIES...WILL BE UNDER DRY NORTHWEST WINDS WITH
SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...GUSTING UP TO 50 MPH...AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT.

NORTHWEST ARIZONA WILL SEE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR
15 PERCENT...MAINLY AT ELEVATIONS BELOW 4000 FEET...WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

[Knitting A Conundrum]

And all of this over a month early. This doesn't normally happen until around April.

[Knitting A Conundrum]

I see I stopped the conversation once again...

[Monkey Face]

Yepper....Straight from NOAA:

FXUS65 KTWC 150917 AFDTWC AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 218 AM MST WED FEB 15 2006 .SYNOPSIS...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER OREGON THIS MORNING WILL DROP INTO UTAH BY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING STRONG GUSTY WINDS TODAY...FOLLOWED BY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. THIS SYSTEM MARKS THE START OF A SIGNIFICANT PATTERN CHANGE AS THE JET STREAM SAGS SOUTH TOWARD THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL LEAD TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND...ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION. &&

.DISCUSSION...WELL ADVERTISED WIND EVENT FALLING INTO PLACE THIS MORNING. STRONG UPPER LOW IS DROPPING SE TOWARD S UT...WHICH IS ALREADY TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS N AZ. SEVERAL MOUNTAINTOP RAWS SITES ARE ALREADY STARTING TO COME UP. 00Z MODELS HAVE TRENDED EVER SO SLIGHTLY HIGHER WITH TEMPS...850-500 LAPSE RATES AND 700MB WINDS. ALL OF THIS SPELLS TROUBLE FROM A FIRE WEATHER...WIND AND BLDU STANDPOINT. PREDECESSORS` DECISION TO ISSUE AN ADVANCE WIND ADV LOOKS LIKE A SLAM DUNK...ALTHOUGH THE SOMEWHAT TIGHTER GRADIENT NOW PLACES ZONE 34 INTO CRITERIA AND MAY PUSH HIGHER ELEVATIONS AROUND KTUS IN THAT DIRECTION BEFORE THE AFTERNOON IS OUT. 00Z ETA BUFR SOUNDING FOR KSOW SHOWED 50KT WINDS AT THE TOP OF THE MIXED LAYER WITH 40KTS AT KDUG AND 35KT AT KTUS. PER COORD CALL BETWEEN AZ OFFICES...WE`LL STOP SHORT OF RAISING ZONE 19 TO A WARNING...BUT IT WILL BE CLOSE. HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS UP SLIGHTLY DUE TO FULL SUN...EXCELLENT MIXING...AND SLIGHT DELAY IN THE LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION. SEE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION BELOW ON RH/RED FLAG REASONING. IF 12Z SOUNDINGS COME IN STRONGER THAN PROGGED...WE MAY DO A QUICK UPDATE AND EXPAND TO THE MOUNTAINS OF ZONES 29/33. WHILE THE GFS HAS CERTAINLY BACKED OFF ON PRECIP CHANCES THIS WEEKEND...IT MAY HAVE GONE TOO FAR IN THE OTHER DIRECTION. THE MAIN PROBLEM IS THAT THE LAST 3 GFS RUNS HAVE UNDERINITIALIZED THE SIZABLE 1"+ PRECIP WATER AREA SITTING SW OF 20N/130W. WITH A SUSTAINED FLOW OUT OF THAT SOURCE REGION STARTING THU AND CONTINUING FOR AT LEAST 48HRS...WE SHOULD GET A PIECE OF THAT MOISTURE EVEN IF THE TAP IS SHUNTED SOUTH BY THE NEXT WAVE DROPPING DOWN THE W COAST. IN ADDITION...GFS SOUNDINGS OVER S CA SHOW A 8-10KFT MARINE LAYE FOR A GOOD 48HRS WITH W FLOW OF 15-25KTS. BY SAT NIGHT...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE A 40-80M HEIGHT FALL CENTER PASSING ACROSS N AZ. ALL OF THIS SHOULD ADD UP TO AT LEAST A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUDS...IF NOT SOME LIGHT SHOWERS. WE WILL STAND PAT WITH THE ENSEMBLE MEAN POPS...WHICH ARE NEAR CLIMO. ENSEMBLE TEMPS HAVE DROPPED ANOTHER NOTCH...SO WE WILL FOLLOW SUIT...ESPECIALLY SINCE THE 850-700MB THICKNESSES SUGGEST EVEN COOLER HIGHS. &&

.FIRE WEATHER...MODELS CONTINUE THEIR TREND OF BEING 5 TO 15F TOO HIGH WITH DEWPOINTS THIS MORNING...WITH THAT TREND LIKELY TO CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 12HRS. THE AIRMASS ACROSS SE AZ WILL REMAIN VERY DRY TODAY...WITH MOST LOCALES ACHIEVING LESS THAN 15 PERCENT RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TIGHTENING MID-LEVEL GRADIENTS WILL TRANSLATE INTO STRONG AND GUSTY SW-W 20-FOOT WINDS ACROSS ALL OF SE AZ THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...AND A FIRE DANGER RATING OF HIGH TO EXTREME WILL PROMPT US TO EXPAND THE RED FLAG WARNING TOO ALL SE AZ FIRE WEATHER ZONES 146/147/148 FROM NOON TO 7 PM MST. WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING AND RH VALUES WILL SHOW A MODEST INCREASE. EXPECT LIGHTER WINDS ON THUR ALONG WITH HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. &&

.AVIATION...TAF AND TWEBS ADEQUATELY COVER ALL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AT KTUS. ALTHOUGH P6SM SKC CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST DURING THE TAF/ TWEB PERIOD...S-SW SURFACE WIND WILL INCREASE BY LATE MORNING...WITH FORECAST WIND DURING THE 19Z-02Z PERIOD EXPECTED TO BE 22022G32KT. VISIBILITIES WITHIN 15NM OF KTUS MAY BE REDUCED TO 5SM BLDU AT TIMES. WIND WILL DECREASE MARKEDLY AFTER 16/02Z WITH VISIBILITY OF P6SM THEREAFTER. &&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... RED FLAG WARNING FIRE WX ZONES 146/147/148 NOON-7 PM. WIND ADVISORY ZONES 19/30/34/35 NOON-7 PM. &&

---

PUBLIC FORECASTER...PYTLAK AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER..BF WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

[Monkey Face]

Nah...that was me. I come online and other folks feel an intense desire to be elsewhere. Compulsion, as it were...

[Knitting A Conundrum]

They cancelled the catechism class because of snow...I had to find all my students phone numbers and call...but now I am back.

[Monkey Face]

I thought I was a self-fulfilling prophesy, for a minute...

[Knitting A Conundrum]

Now the snow will probably let up.

[Monkey Face]

Of course...Murphy's Law.