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Vice President Kamala Harris edges former President Trump in a head-to-head matchup, as more voters see Harris as the candidate who will help the middle class, and Hispanics and independents swing in her direction. The new Fox News national survey finds a 3 percentage-point shift among registered voters in the 2024 presidential contest since mid-August. Trump had a 1-point advantage last month, while Harris is ahead by 2 points today: 50%-48%. For reference, in July, Trump was ahead by 1 point over President Biden. Each of those differences falls within the margin of error. This marks the first time Harris...

A new Fox News poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by just two points and within the margin of error. Surveying 1,102 registered voters between September 13-16 with a margin of error +/- 3 percent, the poll showed that Kamala Harris improved her standing by three points since August, during which the two had the first presidential debate and there was a second assassination attempt on Trump’s life. “Trump had a 1-point advantage last month, while Harris is ahead by 2 points today: 50 percent to 48 percent,” Fox News noted. “For reference, in July,...

Pennsylvania - Quinnipiac Poll - 9/12-9/16 - Kamala Harris 51% - Donald Trump 46%

Odds of winning the first presidential debate between Trump and Harris are in one candidate's favor. The stakes will be high in the first presidential debate between former President Trump and Vice President Harris on Tuesday night, and multiple betting markets have already picked a clear favorite who they believe will be crowned the victor. As of Tuesday afternoon, traders on Polymarket gave Harris a 75% chance of winning the debate, according to the polls, compared to Trump's odds of 25%. BetUS also favored the Democrat over the Republican ahead of the candidates taking the debate stage, with implied probabilities...

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck and neck nationally, but Trump has the momentum after surging three points in a month, according to a Marist/NPR/PBS News poll. The September 3-5 poll, published Tuesday, finds 48 percent of 1,413 registered voters sampled back Trump, while 49 percent back Harris. One percent is undecided, and one percent would support a third-party candidate. Trump has gained three points of support since the Marist/NPR/PBS News August 1-4 poll, when he landed at 45 percent with registered voters in a field with third-party options. That poll showed him three points...

John Solomon @jsolomonReports Harris leading Trump by 12 points among Latino voters in bilingual households: Poll From justthenews.com 3:10 PM · Sep 4, 2024

The race for the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Nevada and Georgia are tightening, as Vice President Harris closes the gap former President Trump had built on President Biden when he was the presumptive Democratic nominee. Harris is polling slightly ahead of Trump in Nevada and Georgia, according to an Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll released Thursday, while Trump is slightly ahead in Arizona in the same survey. Harris enjoyed a 2-point average edge over Trump in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada according to a Bloomberg News/ Morning Consult poll released Thursday while Fox News polls on Wednesday show Harris leading...

Last week, two polls revealed that the Virginia election is a tight race within the margin of error. Roanoke College poll showed Kamala Harris leading Trump by just three points, a finding echoed by Quantus poll with the same narrow margin. Virginia, a traditionally blue state that last went Republican in the 2004 presidential election, was looking like a potential Trump pickup before Biden dropped out, however conventional wisdom was that with Kamala Harris topping the ticket, Virginia was no longer in play. That's clearly not true. Is another blue state that looked good for Trump before Biden dropped out...

New polling showed Vice President Kamala Harris with a widening margin over former President Donald Trump in a Reuters/Ipsos poll published Thursday. It found Harris leads Trump 45% to 41%. Among registered voters, the 4 percentage-point lead was more significant than the 1-point lead Harris had over Trump in the outfit’s last poll in July. The poll had a 2% margin of error. Over in polling guru Nate Sliver’s latest models, Harris didn’t fare as well. “Although we wouldn’t advise worrying too much about the difference between a 52/48 race one way versus a 48/52 race the other way —...

While support for Donald Trump has held steady, Kamala Harris has improved on Joe Biden’s 2024 election numbers in four battleground states, driven by strong support among women, Black voters, and young voters. In addition, while Trump leads on top issues, more voters see Harris as the one who can unite the country -- and who will "fight for people like you." That’s according to new Fox News statewide surveys in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina. Each survey includes about 1,000 registered voters and was conducted August 23-26, post Democratic National Convention and just after Robert F. Kennedy Jr....

Quantus Polls and News conducted a survey among 629 registered voters in Virginia between August 20 and 22, 2024. The survey, with a margin of error of ±4%, was carefully weighted to reflect the statewide voter demographics, including gender, age, race/ethnicity, education, voter registration, and turnout patterns. Using online panels, the survey aimed to provide a representative snapshot of the Virginia electorate's current preferences and opinions as the 2024 general election approaches. Electorate Demographics The weighted results of the survey reveal the following demographic breakdown: 36% of respondents identify as Democrats, 34% as Republicans, and 30% as Independents. The gender...

Polling out of Virginia shows Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump within the margin of error against Democrat presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris. Before the Democrats executed their coup, Trump had jumped to a small lead over His Fraudulency Joe Biden in Virginia. With Biden out of the race, it was assumed (even by me) that Virginia would suddenly be out of Trump’s reach. It’s not, and the pollster, Roanoke, is not a right-leaning poll. In 2020, in the final poll of that presidential campaign, Roanoke had Biden up by 11. In the end, we were told Biden...

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are effectively dead even where it counts — the battleground states, according to a new poll. Mirroring the polling group’s findings from a separate survey released earlier this month, both presidential contenders scored 50% apiece in the battleground states, per a CBS News/YouGov survey released Sunday. Harris, 59, came away with the lead in a national head-to-head matchup between the pair 51% to 48%, which marks an uptick from her prior 50% to 49% edge over him in the prior survey. Strikingly, 36% of voters felt that they don’t know what...

The first Emerson College Polling national survey following President Biden’s decision not to seek re-election finds Vice President Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump 50% to 46%. Five percent of likely voters are undecided. With undecided voters’ support allocated, Harris continues to lead by four, 52% to 48%. With third-party candidates on the ballot, Harris and Trump’s support evenly decreases by two points, Harris to 48% and Trump to 44%. Four percent support Robert F. Kennedy Jr. This month’s national poll included only those who indicate they are very likely to vote, previous polls included all registered voters. Registered voters were...

Vice President Kamala Harris is leading former President Donald Trump by nine percentage points in a key battleground state, according to a new poll. The survey, conducted by the Independent Center between August 8 and August 11, reveals that Harris received 51 percent of the vote among respondents in Wisconsin, compared to Trump's 42 percent in a head-to-head matchup. Harris is also leading Trump by five percentage points in Michigan, securing 49 percent of the vote to the former president's 43 percent; and in Pennsylvania by 4 percentage points with 49 percent to Trump's 45 percent. In Wisconsin, Harris maintains...

Vice President Harris leads former President Trump by 9 points among young voters in a new poll, marking the latest shift in support from a demographic President Biden struggled to capture before withdrawing from the 2024 race. In a SocialSphere survey, released by Democratic super PAC Won’t Pac Down, Harris garnered 51 percent support from registered voters ages 18-29 in battleground states in a two-way race against Trump, who had 42 percent of support from this group. Seven percent did not know which candidate they would back. Pollsters noted this is a 13-point shift to Harris since the poll was...

One has to wonder, who are those people who have come out of the woodwork, ostensibly to support the vacuous, inarticulate Kamala Harris? She was very unpopular when she tried to run for president in 2020. She was still unpopular when she was Biden’s DEI hire as vice president; she fulfilled his promise to select a black woman.Biden did so without regard for her merit or competency. Everyone knows that. So now, suddenly manufactured crowds appear at her rallies this past week and display what seems to be a hypnotized mob. The obvious answer is they are so mind-numbed they...

If there were any doubt whether Vice President Kamala Harris has transformed this year’s presidential election, Saturday morning’s latest New York Times/Siena College polls put it to rest. In the first Times/Siena College swing state polls since her entry into the race, Harris leads former President Donald Trump by 4 points each in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin among likely voters. It’s a major shift from previous Times/Siena polls, which found Trump leading Harris and President Joe Biden by an average of 1 or 2 points each across the same three states. Sometimes, it can be hard to explain why polls...

This is an interesting situation. As Kamala rises in the polls, the stock market declines. Are the two linked? Probably not, but who knows? As of today, the Kamala bounce seems to be real. A Morning Consult poll from early this month has Harris up by 4 over Trump. This is a massive poll of 11,000+ registered voters, supposedly giving it more credibility. But what would be more convincing would be a more targeted poll of likely voters. One key takeaway from this poll is that Kamala’s popularity may have peaked at 50% and is now moving down. In what...

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are locked in a dead heat in Pennsylvania, but Trump has the edge in approval rating, according to polling. The Fabrizio, Lee & Associates poll conducted for the Republican PAC, Early Vote Action, finds Trump and Harris tied at 48 percent apiece in a two-way race for the presidency. Another four percent are undecided: Thank you for posting our @EarlyVoteAction commissioned poll. It’s important to note that 41% of this poll is from the Philly market. Also, the sample is 44% Democrat & 42% Republican. I included the entire memo. pic.twitter.com/3V7o1nKVo5...