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Turnout, turnout, turnout. The New York Times’ final midterm prediction doesn’t look good for Republicans, as the NYT/Siena poll shows Democrats expecting to sweep every swing-state Senate race. Most other forecasts also paint a grim picture for Republicans’ chances of holding the Senate, while the House appears poised to swing toward Democrats, as the “people’s house” typically swings against the president’s party during midterms. But Republicans need to remember that polls are not the elections themselves. And while the polling picture favors Democrats, turnout is where Republicans have the opportunity to make these races far closer.

• Stevens defends switch: Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens told CNN her decision to back Republican Mike Rogers is “rock solid,” but refused to articulate why she changed her mind. Her surprise switch came after a deepening rift with Michigan Senate hopeful Abdul El-Sayed. Since her switch, El-Sayed has raised $1.2 million, his second-largest total in a single day. He’s leading Rogers by 11 points in a New York Times poll. • Swift fallout: Democrats have condemned Stevens’ move, including Rep. Debbie Dingell, who expressed concern for her. Top Republicans, such as House Speaker Mike Johnson and President Donald Trump, have...

CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten released his final statistical model for the 2026 midterm elections on Saturday, projecting favorable national environments for Democratic candidates across the U.S. House, Senate, and state gubernatorial races. Enten based his projections on an aggregate of nonpartisan race ratings, generic congressional polling averages, primary voter turnout data, and predictive market models. According to Enten’s analysis of national generic ballot polling, Democrats held a 9-point advantage heading into the final days of the campaign, widening from a 5-point lead recorded a year earlier and a 6-point edge over the summer. He noted that while GOP...

Democrats have gained an encouraging late boost in the battle for the Senate, with new polling placing their candidates ahead in three races that could shape control of the chamber. A new Data for Progress survey gives Troy Jackson a 50 percent to 45 percent lead in Maine, Abdul El-Sayed a 50 percent to 46 percent edge in Michigan, and James Talarico a 49 percent to 45 percent advantage in Texas. Polling captures opinion during a specific period rather than predicting an election result. Each survey carries a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points, meaning...

High-profile races that will determine which party controls the Senate for the next two years are extremely tight, according to a new CNN poll, as Maine and Kansas remain close and Democrats extended their leads in Texas and Michigan. Democrats, who are widely projected to win a majority in the House of Representatives, need to flip four Senate seats from red to blue in order to gain a 51-seat majority, protecting their majority from the vice presidential tiebreaker. MaineIn Maine, Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, is the only Republican incumbent running in a state that went for Kamala Harris in 2024....

Democrats hold polling leads in several closely watched Senate races, including five Republican-held seats, as the party seeks to overcome the GOP's 53-47 majority in the Nov. 3 midterm elections. The latest RealClearPolitics polling averages show Democratic candidates ahead in Texas, Maine, Alaska, Ohio and North Carolina, all seats currently held by Republicans. Democrats also lead in Michigan, Minnesota and New Hampshire, where they are defending seats. Republicans retain narrow polling advantages in Iowa and Kansas, two other contests that have become increasingly competitive. Democrats need a net gain of four seats to reach a 51-49 majority, assuming the two...

Politico admitted on Thursday that they were scammed by the fake Wedgewood polls, as you can read in a story by Andrew Howard, "How a fake pollster may have moved some 2026 elections."Well, congratulations to Politico for that admission, but was this merely a modified limited hangout on their part? Of all the polls that Wedgewood Polls conducted, only ONE (Nebraska gubernatorial and Senate races) was valid. The rest were completely FAKE. So did Politico perform due diligence by checking the underlying data? Here is the partial admission by Politico, which does not mention the due diligence of fact-checking the...

🚨 BOOM: The New York Times just had to pull 15 midterm polls after the "pollster" behind them ADMITTED almost all of it was FAKE. The firm is called Wedgewood Polls. It pumped out made-up numbers from June to October, and the Times put them right on its official poll tracking pages. The Times says it vetted them first. Wedgewood's own words on how easy it was to fool the media: "Far too easy." This is the same paper telling you which polls to trust. Trump has been saying it from day one. Now they're proving it for him.

During this election season, there has been a significant surge in entirely Fake Polls and Suppression Polls designed to do nothing more than interfere with the regular functioning of the electoral process and alter the normal patterns of voter turnout and enthusiasm. Many journalists and broadcasters have been amplifying or airing these Polls without regard to basic journalistic ethics and without informing the public that those Polls lack a scientific, accurate, or even real basis. The FCC takes these issues seriously. Broadcasters are prohibited by the terms of their federal licenses from engaging in News Distortion or promoting Broadcast Hoaxes....

Greg Gutfeld Show (on Fox News) 10/14/26 - YouTube. Greg Gutfeld: All right. Coming up: Gen Z loves Sharia law... Kat, did you see this poll? Forty-three percent of Americans between 18 and 24 have a positive view of Sharia law, the Islamic system of religious principles that fly in the face of everything that America stands for... But, you know, they didn't even know what they were talking about, what they were answering. Kat Timpf: ... I feel like this has to be some sort of TikTok propaganda-type situation because a lot of Gen Z—you wouldn't let them go...

The prospect of a Democratic "blue wave" in the US midterm elections may be less certain than some polls suggest, with experts warning that Donald Trump’s supporters could be under-represented in surveys. Democrats currently hold an advantage over Republicans in several polls ahead of the 3 November elections. However, some pollsters have questioned whether that lead is being overstated because Republican voters are less likely to respond to surveys, according to a report by Axios. Polls underestimated Trump’s support in the 2016, 2020 and 2024 presidential elections. Although surveys have generally been more accurate in midterm elections, some also underestimated...

🇺🇸 President Trump approval rating Approve: 41% Disapprove: 59% (Rasmussen Report)

The words “fake poll” took on new meaning as a firm tied to several progressive candidates with apparent big leads closed after the group revealed its voter surveys were fabricated.The Los Angeles Times (LA Times) reported the polling outfit behind a widely credited survey, which showed Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass with a 12-point lead over challenger Nithya Raman, said the survey was “a short-term social experiment.”The company’s website said the purpose of the survey’s release was to track “how purported polling information could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification.” Previously, a poll by the...

Summary from the AllSides News Team Median Strategies, a "polling company" Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass publicly referenced during her reelection campaign, has shut down and said that all of its "polls" were counterfeit. LA Mayoral Race: Median recently published a "poll" that showed the incumbent Bass leading challenger Councilmember Nithya Raman by nearly 12 points. Bass shared the "poll" in a since-deleted post on X and wrote, "Doing the work, showing up, and gaining momentum. Let's do this, LA!" Median claimed the "poll" was based on 560 LA voters between July 30 and August 5 and had a 4.1%...

Two-thirds of Americans believe the war in Iran has not been worth fighting. A new AP-NORC poll found that roughly two-thirds of U.S. adults say the war that began Feb. 28 is not worthwhile. The sentiment is shared by the vast majority of Democrats (87%) and independents (68%), as well as 37% of Republicans. The AP-NORC poll, conducted July 23-27, surveyed 1,165 adults and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) is leading a field of possible candidates for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in New Hampshire, according to a new poll. In the Granite State Poll from the University of New Hampshire, Ocasio-Cortez garnered 22 percent backing from respondents, with former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg behind her at 21 percent and Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) trailing at 9 percent. Last October, Buttigieg led the field with 19 percent support, followed by California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) at 15 percent and Ocasio-Cortez at 14 percent. A few months later in February, Buttigieg maintained his lead with 20...

Nearly half of Americans say they believe the Supreme Court is ruling on President Trump’s policies based on ideology instead of the law, according to a new poll. The Washington Post/Ipsos survey, conducted July 8-13, found that 46 percent of 2,648 respondents said they believe the nine justices are ruling on cases impacting the president’s agenda based on ideology. A quarter of respondents said the high court is ruling on those cases based on the law, while 28 percent had no opinion and 1 percent skipped the question.The Supreme Court has given Trump multiple unfavorable rulings during his second term....

CNBC’s ranking of the 10 worst states to live in 2026—all of them Republican-led—has drawn criticism from conservatives. The broadcaster gave each state a Quality of Life score based on factors including crime rates, air quality, healthcare access, worker protections and civil rights laws. The Quality of Life category was one of 10 in the outlet’s annual America’s Top States for Business study. Tennessee was ranked the worst state to live in after receiving a score of just 64 out of 290. CNBC noted that Tennessee had one of the highest violent-crime rates in the nation, citing FBI statistics, as...

American Jews view New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani more favorably than Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, a new poll by the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research revealed on Tuesday. The survey, carried out on 1,022 Jewish adults nationwide between June 11 and June 17, found that 44% of American Jews view Mamdani either very favorably or somewhat favorably, whereas just 32% of respondents said they have a favorable opinion of Netanyahu.Thirty-nine percent of US Jews viewed Mamdani unfavorably, and 59% viewed Netanyahu unfavorably. A strong majority of US Jews viewed US President Donald Trump unfavorably (70%), whereas only...

Britons would rather see Count Binface win the Clacton by-election in a blow to Reform UK leader Nigel Farage, a new poll has revealed. The coastal constituency, which will elect their new MP on August 13, is still likely to return Mr Farage to the House of Commons. However, a survey of 1,000 British adults conducted by Ipsos found 33 per cent of voters would rather see Count Binface win. Meanwhile, just 21 per cent hope to see Mr Farage emerge victorious, with 32 per cent not backing either candidate and a further 13 per cent unsure. Ipsos also found...