Free Republic

The American public’s view of Donald Trump’s presidency and the direction he’s leading the country is more negative than positive just ahead of his first formal address to Congress since returning to office, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. The survey finds that across three basic measures of Trump’s performance on the job – his approval rating, whether he has the right priorities and whether his policies are taking the country in the right direction – the negative side outpaces the positive. Overall, 52% disapprove of Trump’s performance in office, with 48% approving, about the same as...

The percentage of American adults who identify as "something other than heterosexual" continues to soar to record highs, especially among younger generations, according to a Gallup study released Thursday. Twenty-three percent — one in five — of Generation Z Americans, or those born between 1997-2006, identified as lesbian, gay, bisexual or transgender, the study found. Among millennials, or those born between 1981-1996, that number was 14.2%. Both younger generations indicated a sharp increase in LGBT identification compared to older ones, with Generation X reporting 5.1%, baby boomers at 3% and those born before 1946 reporting just 1.8%. The most recent...

Nearly one in 10 adults in the United States identifies as L.G.B.T.Q., according to a large analysis from Gallup released Thursday — almost triple the share since Gallup began counting in 2012, and up by two-thirds since 2020.The increases have been driven by young people, and by bisexual women. Nearly one-quarter of adults in Generation Z, defined by Gallup as those 18 to 27, identify as L.G.B.T.Q., according to the analysis, which included 14,000 adults across all of Gallup’s telephone surveys last year. More than half of these L.G.B.T.Q. young adults identify as bisexual. ...Members of Gen Z were most...

More than half of Britons back sending UK troops to Ukraine, a poll found. Nearly six in ten (58 per cent) told the YouGov survey that they either 'strongly' support or 'somewhat' back UK troops being deployed in the event of a ceasefire deal. Barely a fifth said they opposed such a move. The poll found a variation between voters, however. While 67 per cent of Tory voters said they backed deploying UK troops, just 44 per cent of Reform UK supporters did. Labour supporters closely resembled Tory voters, with 66 per cent backing the move, while 70 per cent...

Most Catholics in all seven countries want the church to allow Catholics to use birth control. In most of the countries surveyed, majorities of Catholics also say the church should allow women to become priests.Opinion is more divided on whether the church should allow priests to get married. Views on whether the church should recognize the marriages of gay and lesbian couples vary among Catholics in the countries surveyed. Ten years ago, nearly all Catholics surveyed there (98%) expressed a favorable opinion of Francis, compared with 74% today.

With “100%” of the Pennsylvania vote in, Democrat Kamala Harris defeated Republican Donald Trump in the race for the presidency, local ABC news station WNEP reported on Sunday, October 27 — more than a week before Election Day. “President Statewide,” “Reporting 100%,” declared a graphic that displayed at the bottom of the television screen during a broadcast of the Formula 1 Mexico Grand Prix, announcing the following results: Clips of the video soon made their way to social media, introduced by snarky comments. In response, WNEP posted a “note” on its website saying that the results shown were “test results”...

For much of the 2024 US presidential campaign, polls and pundits rated the race too close to call. Then Donald Trump delivered a commanding victory over Kamala Harris, winning at least five battleground states, and performing unexpectedly well in other places. He is now poised to become the first Republican in two decades to win the popular vote, and could enter office with a Republican-controlled House and Senate at his back. So were the polls wrong about it being a tight contest? At the national level, they certainly appeared to underestimate Trump for the third election in a row. But...

Exit poll results showed 79% of Jewish voters backing Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris on Tuesday, compared with 21% who said they’d voted for the Republican, former President Donald Trump. More responses are still being added to the poll, which was conducted by a consortium of national media outlets, and the results could change. If the current split holds, it would represent yet another election cycle in which Republican claims that Jews would flock to their candidate because of Israel or antisemitism did not pan out.Edison Research, which conducts the poll for the consortium, surveyed voters in 10 states: Arizona,...

A top Latino group is predicting who will win the battleground state of Arizona as the historical campaign season comes to a close. LUCHA Arizona, a top Latino group in the swing state, told The Latino Newsletter that Vice President Kamala Harris will win Arizona over former President Donald Trump. However, the group also warned that she will win by a smaller margin that President Joe Biden did in 2020. “I think we’re going to win very, very narrowly, I think it’s going to be closer than 10,000 votes,” Alejandra Gomez, the group’s executive director, told The Latino Newsletter. Biden...

Amid this year's U.S. Senate race, pollster Ivan Moore predicted on Saturday that Senator Ted Cruz, a Texas Republican, is going to "lose for sure" against his Democratic opponent, Representative Colin Allred. Cruz is facing Allred, a three-term congressman from Dallas, in a closely watched race that could determine which party wins control of the U.S. Senate. Republicans are hoping to seize the Senate in this month's election after failing to do so in 2022 when a widely forecast "red wave" failed to materialize. There are currently 51 Democratic-aligned senators versus 49 Republican senators, though the GOP is widely expected...

A final poll by the New York Times has Donald Trump behind Kamala Harris in four critical swing states: Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin. They are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania and Trump is up by one point in Arizona. It's a razor-thin race with just two days to go to Election Day. A shock poll released Saturday night had Trump behind Harris three points in Iowa, a solidly red state. The vice president is also closing the gap with Trump in the betting markets, in a sign of momentum for her in the final days of the campaign....

The widely respected Des Moines Register/Selzer poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by THREE points. Harris: 47% Trump: 44% Independent women voters have led to a major boost for Harris. This is very unexpected.

Kamala Harris is seeing a last-minute surge in momentum over Donald Trump in the final days of one of the closest presidential elections in history. The vice president was given a surprise jolt on Saturday night with a poll showing she is ahead in the reliably Republican state of Iowa, while DailyMail.com's election forecast shows her gaining on the 78-year-old former president. The final Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll has Harris leading Trump 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters, less than three days before Election Day. It was a shocking result in a state the Democrats haven't won...

Two polls of Pennsylvania voters released Wednesday show the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump effectively tied, with the largest sample survey showing a growing political gender divide even as voters rank Trump as less personally appealing. The polls released Wednesday are a 500-person survey of likely voters from Susquehanna Polling & Research, with a 4.38 percentage point margin of error, and a 2,186-voter poll from Quinnipiac University with a 2.1-point margin. The Susquehanna poll shows Harris — the current vice president and Democratic presidential candidate — up by a fraction of a percentage point over former president Trump....

Less than a fortnight before polling day, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are locked in a nail-bitingly close US presidential election race, triggering pessimism among Democrats and confidence among Republicans – even though polls suggest both candidates have a near equal chance of entering the White House. The Guardian’s 10-day polling tracking average shows Harris, the Democratic nominee and US vice-president, maintaining the single-point advantage over her Republican rival she had a week earlier, 47% to 46%. Surveys for the seven battleground states are equally cliffhanging and provide little obvious clue as to who will reach the threshold of 270...

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R) and Rep. Colin Allred (D) are in a virtual dead heat in the state’s Senate race, according to a poll released Wednesday. The Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey found Cruz just ahead of Allred by 1 percentage point, 48 percent to 47 percent, with 5 percent undecided.

A new survey shows a proposed abortion amendment in Florida obtaining enough support to narrowly pass. The survey was conducted by the University of North Florida’s Public Opinion Research Lab (PORL) and released on Monday, the Tallahassee Democrat reported. Support for the abortion amendment reached 60 percent, which is the requirement for any proposed constitutional amendment to pass in the state. Thirty-two percent are opposed to the measure and eight percent are undecided.

It was a question asked by then-GOP candidate Ronald Reagan in 1980 as he smoked Jimmy Carter with one of the most famous lines in debate history: “Are you better off than you were four years ago?”Game over, TKO—the Fat Ludy sung that night."Are you better off than you were four years ago?"Ronald Reagan debating then-President Jimmy Carter, 1980. pic.twitter.com/5rvyCVUOGC— Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation & Institute (@RonaldReagan) September 6, 2024Now that we’ve endured almost four years of a disastrous Biden-Harris administration, Gallup asked voters the same question, and the results are terrible, horrible, no good, very bad if you’re Democrat...

A new poll reveals that nearly a two-thirds majority of American Jews agree that former President Donald Trump is on Israel’s side — and yet 62% of American Jews still intend to vote for Vice President Kamala Harris, regardless. The poll, conducted as part of a larger survey of American adults over roughly six weeks, is a sign of American Jews’ loyalty to the Democratic Party, which appears unshaken even by issues of specific concern to the Jewish community. Harris is “struggling” with the Jewish community, according to the Forward, and her 62% level of support “would be significantly below...

Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee, is pulling ahead in Pennsylvania, a pivotal battleground state, according to a recent poll from The New York Times/Siena College, which is ranked by FiveThirtyEight as the most reliable pollster in the United States. The winner of Pennsylvania and its 19 Electoral votes—more than any other swing state—could determine the outcome of the 2024 election. A New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College poll of 857 likely voters in the Keystone State found Harris leading former President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee, by 3 percentage points. The poll, conducted between October 7 and 10 and...