Free Republic

Hey Nate, we weren't coordinating with the Trump campaign like I think an investigation could find that Selzer may have been. I control the numbers completely myself, and they are 100% a product of my own work. You should probably retract that. BTW, I refuse to pay to read this crap, but I'm pretty sure you're going to talk about the accuracy of polls on 11/4 and ignore the fact that they were manufacturing a fake Harris lead all fall (like your model also helped do by inserting additional leftward bias as compared to RCP). We, alone, showed Trump winning...

Rasmussen Reports has emerged once again as one of the most accurate pollsters of the presidential race — but the Republican Party needs to study why it struggled to win more downticket races, pollster Mark Mitchell says. Rasmussen’s final election poll showed that Donald Trump was ahead of Kamala Harris nationwide by 3 points. In the end, he won the popular vote by just over two points. Rasmussen’s polls also suggested that Trump was ahead slightly in all seven of the “battleground” states; Trump ended up sweeping all seven en route to victory on Nov. 5. “I think he’s going...

Rasmussen FINAL Sunday Afternoon Crosstabs: Trump 49%, Harris 46%

Former President Donald Trump is poised to secure a significant electoral victory, potentially “sweeping battleground states,” according to Rasmussen’s head pollster, who sees the current race favoring Trump in the national popular vote, suggesting a larger “political realignment” is underway, and foreseeing an outcome that could echo — or even exceed — Ronald Reagan’s historic landslide win over Jimmy Carter in 1980. In a striking forecast days before the 2024 presidential election, Rasmussen’s head pollster, Mark Mitchell, is suggesting that Donald Trump will secure a strong lead nationally and dominate in key battleground states, positioning him for a sweeping victory....

Former President Donald Trump is poised to secure a significant electoral victory, potentially “sweeping battleground states,” according to Rasmussen’s head pollster, who sees the current race favoring Trump in the national popular vote, suggesting a larger “political realignment” is underway, and foreseeing an outcome that could echo — or even exceed — Ronald Reagan’s historic landslide win over Jimmy Carter in 1980.

Four days before Election Day, former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris in the crucial battleground states of Pennsylvania, Nevada and North Carolina. A new telephone and online survey by Rasmussen Reports and American Thinker finds that, if the election were held today, 49% of Likely Pennsylvania voters would vote for Trump, while 47% would vote for Harris. Two percent (2%) say they would vote for some other candidate and another two percent (2%) are still undecided.

Vice President Kamala Harris has pushed into the lead over former President Donald Trump in the latest daily tracking poll of the 2024 presidential election. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the election were held today, 48% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Harris and 47% would vote for Trump. Two percent (2%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) In the previous survey, Trump led by two points, with 49% to Harris’s 47%. This is the first time Harris...

Former President Donald Trump has opened a three-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the key battleground state of Pennsylvania A new telephone and online survey by Rasmussen Reports and American Thinker finds that, if the election were held today, 50% of Likely Pennsylvania voters would vote for Trump, while 47% would vote for Harris. In September, Trump and Harris were tied in Pennsylvania at 48% each. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Rasmussen Real Unemployment Rate: Again, Double the Official Rate... National unemployment was 8.7% in this month’s Rasmussen Reports Real Unemployment update, up from 8.4% last month and significantly more than double the 4.1% rate officially reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics today. The Rasmussen Real Unemployment rate is derived by asking American Adults who they work for. Those who respond “unemployed, but looking for work” are aggregated at the end of the month and weighted to match the nation’s demographic profile.

A new American Thinker/Rasmussen Reports poll of 1,202 likely voters in Pennsylvania shows Donald Trump and Kamala Harris tied at 48% each if the election were held today. Drilling down, though, the poll, which got responses from 517 Democrats, 514 Republicans, and 171 “other” voters, reveals that likely Pennsylvania voters are less evenly split regarding the issues. When asked to select the most important issue to them when thinking about the presidential and congressional elections, 37% ranked the economy as their top issue, with abortion (17%) and border security following behind (15%). However, even though only 15% of likely voters...

Trump 50 - Harris 44

Our latest nightly data point (50% post-Kamala-interview) shows Trump opening up his biggest lead in 10 days.

A Florida woman has been charged with drowning her roommate’s tiny pet spider in a can of soda — later bragging about it online, writing: “Yes I’m an evil spider killer!!” Ilena Renae Rasmussen, 43, was arrested on July 29 after texting her roommate and “admitting to drowning [her] jumping spider in ginger ale,” the Okaloosa Sheriff’s Office wrote in an affidavit obtained by the Miami Herald. She then repeatedly referred to the accusations in a series of cruel social media posts — including a photo of her holding a can of ginger ale, just like the one she allegedly...

According to the polls, the presidential race has tightened since Joe Biden dropped out and anointed Kamala Harris as the Democrats’ nominee. Donald Trump’s lead in the RealClearPolitics average has shrunk to just 0.8 points. However, one pollster that still shows Trump with a healthy lead nationally is Rasmussen Reports. Its latest poll, released Thursday, had Trump up five points nationally; however, Trump’s “margin has narrowed, especially when third-party candidates are factored into this year’s election.” Many on the left took to social media to dismiss the poll and label Rasmussen Reports as a "pro-Trump pollster." To get a response...

RMG Research @RMG_Research · 6h .@ScottWRasmussen national survey @KamalaHarris 47% @realDonaldTrump 42% @RobertKennedyJr 6%

A new Rasmussen poll taken before the assassination attempt on President Trump and the resignation from the 2024 Democrat ticket by Joe Biden shows a shocking result. The poll shows the top issues still remain the economy (27%) and the border (20%). However, the demographic polled is interesting. Rasmussen also asked 2,466 the typical questions in an election year poll, however, they also asked about citizenship status. Respondents either answered “Yes,” “No,” or “Not sure.” Out of 2,466 respondents, 131 responded with “No” and 91 responded “Not sure” regarding their citizenship. This accounts for just over 9% of those polled...

With Vice President Kamala Harris replacing President Joe Biden as the Democratic Party candidate, former President Donald Trump now leads by seven points in his bid to return to the White House.The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 50% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 43% would vote for Harris. Four percent (4%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

One Night of Three: Trump v Harris: Trump 53, Harris 40. Trump v Harris & Others: Trump 53, Harris 37, Kennedy 4, West 1, Stein 1, Oliver 1 350 national LV's and good enough for @ABC News but not for us so now forget these and wait for Thursday morning.

Four years after the COVID-19 pandemic gripped the world, many Americans believe they know someone who died from the vaccine that promised to stop the virus. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 19% of American Adults say they know someone personally who died from side effects of the COVID-19 vaccine. Seventy-four percent (74%) don’t know anyone whose death they blame on the vaccine.

When veteran pollster Scott Rasmussen surveyed a group of Americans he calls the elite 1% earlier this year, he discovered a startling number who say it’s OK to win an election by cheating. The elite 1%—individuals who make over $150,000 a year, live in densely populated areas, and have postgraduate degrees—are overwhelmingly liberal. They give President Joe Biden an 82% approval rating, compared to his 40% average from the rest of Americans. Rasmussen asked these liberal voters: “Suppose that your favorite candidate loses a close election. However, people on the campaign know that they can win by cheating without being...