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Keyword: kalshi

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  • Strait of Hormuz reopening odds jump as U.S.-Iran deal talks advance

    05/06/2026 9:46:58 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 21 replies
    Seeking Alpha ^ | 05/06/2026
    Rising optimism surrounding a potential diplomatic breakthrough between the United States and Iran placed renewed focus on the Strait of Hormuz early Wednesday, as traders monitored signs of easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Reports indicate Washington and Tehran are nearing a one-page memorandum of understanding aimed at de-escalating the conflict between the two nations. The development sparked a shift in market expectations regarding global shipping activity through the strategically critical waterway, which handles a significant share of the world’s oil flows. On prediction platform Kalshi, traders increased the probability that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will normalize...
  • Kalshi refuses to pay winnings on $54M trade related to Khamenei’s death, drawing user fury

    03/05/2026 3:04:01 PM PST · by Libloather · 13 replies
    NY Post ^ | 3/05/26 | Taylor Herzlich
    Prediction market Kalshi has drawn outrage for refusing to pay out winnings on a $54 million trade related to the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Many bettors assumed they had won big on wagers that Khamenei would be “out as Supreme Leader” by Saturday after he was killed in joint US-Israeli air strikes over the weekend. But Kalshi – an American prediction market that allows users to bet on politics, sports, foreign affairs and pop culture – announced it would not be paying out any winnings on those wagers, since its guidelines prohibit markets “directly tied to...
  • BREAKING: Elon Musk’s net worth surges to $749B after Delaware reinstated his 2018 pay package

    12/20/2025 10:29:08 AM PST · by SmokingJoe · 27 replies
    X ^ | 12/20/2025 | Kalshi
    BREAKING: Elon Musk’s net worth surges to $749B after Delaware reinstated his 2018 pay package 83% chance he’s the first trillionaire
  • CNN Just Cracked Open Pandora’s Box That’s Worse Than Any Fake News Hoax

    12/06/2025 5:14:16 AM PST · by DFG · 27 replies
    Daily Caller ^ | 12/05/2025 | John Loftus
    CNN has opened up a Pandora’s box that’s worse than any fake news hoax the outlet could ever possibly peddle. On Tuesday, the network announced an “official partnership” with the online platform Kalshi, which allows users to wager on anything from a sports game to whether J.D. Vance will be the GOP nominee in 2028, to how much money Darth Vader’s lightsaber will fetch at auction. Kalshi is a “prediction market,” and users are trading “contracts” on future events. So, somehow, it is legally distinct from gambling. “As part of the partnership, CNN will get access to Kalshi’s data through...
  • PolyMarket today election day --- Trump 61.7% Kammy 38.3%

    11/05/2024 5:33:02 AM PST · by dennisw · 20 replies
    PolyMarket ^ | Nov 5 | PolyMarket
    We will find out how accurate PolyMarket is. I am posted this as a reference fot tonight and in the coming days