PolyMarket today election day --- Trump 61.7% Kammy 38.3%

PolyMarket ^ | Nov 5 | PolyMarket

[dennisw]

We will find out how accurate PolyMarket is. I am posted this as a reference fot tonight and in the coming days

[dennisw]

 

[enumerated]

Sure wish I was that French billionaire who bet 38M on Trump winning…..all except the being French part.

[OttawaFreeper]

I’m wondering about Michigan since many Arab Americans are staying home or voting for Stein or even Trump.

[rktman]

🙏👍

[dp0622]

real clear polling has him up 21

[Eccl 10:2]

WI moved back to undecided there, after briefly being blue.

[dennisw]

“real clear polling has him up 21”

You mean real clear betting markets. Which is same as Polymarket with Trump leading by 20 points.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

TRUMP 59.7 ........ KAMMY 38.9

[dennisw]

REAL CLEAR BETTING MARKETS COMPILES 8 DIFFERENT BETTING MARKETS INTO AN AVERAGE ---  2024 U.S. President

 

[dp0622]

I was gonna add “i dont know if it’s something different”

I forgot! :)

Thanks for letting me know.

Hey that’s a pretty big lead.

[dp0622]

And there’s not as much money to make betting Trump as there was in 2016, which makes it even more interesting that it’s such a big lead

[Responsibility2nd]

KEYWORDS: Click to Add Keyword

 

You can't reference something if you don't keyword it.

[dennisw]

I find posts via FR title searches. I have never inserted keywords, but I should

[Momaw Nadon]

It doesn’t appear that Real Clear Polling Betting Odds aggregate updates in real-time.

However, Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt all update in real-time.

[dennisw]

“It doesn’t appear that Real Clear Polling Betting Odds aggregate updates in real-time.”

Same here. It looks like they post once a day on this. They will be smart to post 5x today, since we are in prime time now for Trump vs Kammy

[apillar]

Up to 63% as of 11:00am EST. I think Trump’s ceiling before the “Joke” garbage hit early last week was ~68% so he is now within five points of his ceiling after dropping into the low 50% late last week.

[dennisw]

The highest Polymarket Trump-Kammy gap was 30 points, and lasted 4-5 days about 10-14 days ago. Then Trump started sinking to a 10 point lead. Now Trump has rebounded back to a 20 point lead.

Making me much more optimistic. My projection is Trump 312 electoral votes. And even in the popular vote. Or a slight win.

[Responsibility2nd]

Using keywords will get you all posts on the subject.

https://freerepublic.com/tag/polymarket/index

If people will use them.

[Eccl 10:2]

Basically, Trump has AK suited, Kammy has 10-9 suited (in a different suit).

Here comes the flop...

[dennisw]

POLY AT 8PM>>>>