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Republicans lead Rasmussen Reports’ final generic congressional ballot by five points heading into next week’s midterm election. Four days before the election, Republicans lead by five points on the generic ballot, the same generic ballot a GOP candidate has led all year. Of the 2,500 likely voters who responded to the poll, 48 percent said they would vote for the GOP candidate, while only 43 percent said the Democrat candidate.

The 2022 midterm elections are now just 11 days away, and Republicans have a seven-point lead in their bid to recapture control of Congress. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the elections for Congress were held today, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 42% would vote for the Democrat. Just four percent (4%) would vote for some other candidate, but another five percent (5%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

With less than three weeks to go before Election Day, Republicans hold an expanding 5-point lead over Democrats when voters are asked who they intend to vote for in their congressional districts this November. Republicans held historic leads in the Generic Ballot until the summer, when the key metric tightened. Support for Republicans on the Generic Ballot has risen to 48.4%, up from 42.5% in the pre-Labor Day survey conducted just before September. Meanwhile, Democrats ticked only marginally higher from 41.2% to 43.3%. “That 5-point lead has the potential to grow as the late-deciders are demographically friendly to the Republican...

Forty six percent of registered voters said they will vote for Democratic candidates in the midterm elections, a 3-point lead over Republicans, according to a Politico-Morning Consult poll released on Wednesday. The pollster has asked the question weekly as the elections approach, with Democrats holding a slight lead in each iteration for more than a month. Forty three percent in the latest poll indicated support for Republicans, while 12 percent said they didn’t know or had no opinion. A majority of voters — 53 percent — who ranked the economy as their No. 1 issue favored Republicans, with 34 percent...

Generic Ballot R 51.3. D 45.6Party Survey D 39.3. R. 35.6. I 25.1

The Republican candidate’s lead over a Democrat on the generic congressional ballot is now only one point, a Rasmussen Reports poll revealed Friday. Fifty-three days away from the 2022 midterm election, as the Republicans look to retake control of Congress, the most recent Rasmussen Reports survey showed that the GOP has lost the majority of its lead while only leading by one point.

Republicans lead Democrats by six points on the generic congressional ballot, according to the latest Trafalgar Group poll released Wednesday. The poll found that of the 1,084 likely general election voters surveyed, 47.2 percent said they would vote for the generic Republican candidate. In contrast, only 41.4 percent of the respondents said they would vote for the generic Democrat.

Republicans lead Democrats by two points on the generic congressional ballot, according to a CBS News poll released Sunday. The poll found that of the 2,126 registered voters surveyed, 47 percent said they would vote for the generic Republican candidate. In contrast, only 45 percent of the respondents said they would vote for the generic Democrat.

Polling Data Poll Date Sample Democrats (D) Republicans (R) Spread RCP Average 9/18 - 10/28 -- 50.4 42.0 Democrats +8.4 Economist/YouGov 10/25 - 10/27 1365 LV 52 42 Democrats +10 USA Today/Suffolk 10/23 - 10/27 1000 LV 49 39 Democrats +10 CNN 10/23 - 10/26 886 LV 54 42 Democrats +12 USC Dornsife 10/15 - 10/28 5271 LV 52 44 Democrats +8 NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/9 - 10/12 1000 RV 49 42 Democrats +7 Monmouth 9/24 - 9/27 809 LV 50 44 Democrats +6 Politico/Morning Consult 9/18 - 9/20 1989 RV 47 41 Democrats +6 All 2020 Generic Congressional...

What happens if you threw a wave party, and only a low tide showed up? The last midterm poll from Politico/Morning Consult shows Republicans have cut the Democratic lead in the national generic ballot by more than half. A week ago, that poll series showed a D+8 lead, but in the final iteration it’s down to just three points: According to the poll, 43 percent of registered voters would vote for the Democratic congressional candidate in their district — only slightly more than the 40 percent who would vote for the Republican candidate. Eighteen percent of registered voters are...

A new CNN/ORC International poll released Thursday shows Republicans holding a 49 percent to 44 percent edge over Democrats in the “generic ballot,” ... Just two months ago, after the government shutdown, Democrats were up 50 percent to 42 percent. But a month later, the GOP had a narrow edge - 49 percent to 47 percent.

At this point in a presidential election year, Americans are inundated with polls. Often these polls provide no real information at all, except the bias and the population samples of the polling organization. As one example, consider this polling data released for April 16 showing the matchup between Obama and Romney. Depending upon the polling organization, Romney leads Obama by 2 (Gallup), trails Obama by 9 (CNN/Opinion Research), trails Obama by 4 (Reuters/Ipsos), or leads Obama by 3 (Rasmussen). Presidential match-up polls are notoriously unpredictable six months before an election. Will the recent scandal involving Secret Service agents and prostitutes...

RCP Avg. Generic Congressional Vote: Republicans +9.4% (Prior record was +8.7% on Nov 1.)

In October, Gallup is reporting three estimates of voter preferences for the midterm congressional elections, adding two turnout scenarios among likely voters to the registered voter preferences it has been publishing since March. Explore these measures alongside other key indicators relevant to the 2010 vote. Model GOP Dem Registered Voters 48 44 High Turnout 52 43 Low Turnout 55 41

With Election Day eight days away, Republican candidates hold a nine-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, October 24, 2010. It's the second week in a row the gap between the parties has been that wide. Forty-nine percent (49%) of respondents say they would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 40% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent. Even more worrisome for Democrats, however, is the finding that among the voters who are most closely following the midterm elections Republicans hold a 56% to 38% lead. 

PRINCETON, NJ -- Gallup's tracking of the generic ballot for Congress finds Republicans leading Democrats by 5 percentage points among registered voters, 48% to 43%, and by 11- and 17-point margins among likely voters, depending on turnout. This is the third consecutive week the Republicans have led on the measure among registered voters, after two weeks in September when the parties were about tied.

Election Day is just two weeks away, and Republican candidates hold a nine-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, October 17, 2010. Forty-eight percent (48%) of respondents say they would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 39% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent. Even more worrisome for Democrats, however, is the finding that among the voters who are most closely following the midterm elections Republicans hold a 55% to 36% lead.  While the margin has varied somewhat from week-to-week, Republicans have been consistently ahead on the Generic Ballot for...

With just three weeks to go until Election Day, Republicans hold an eight-point lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot. Polling for the week ending Sunday, October 10, shows that 47% of Likely Voters would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 39% prefer the Democrat. The Republican advantage comes from a number of factors. One is the fact that midterm elections typically feature an older electorate with a smaller share of minority voters. Additionally, in 2010, there is clearly an enthusiasm gap favoring the GOP. Due to these and other factors, the data projects that 35% of voters this...

What do you make of a poll that has Republicans losing on the generic ballot by 5 points among registered voters, and by 8 points among “definite” voters, even though the GOP leads among independent voters by 47-30 percent?I am referring, of course, to the new Newsweek poll that’s been released. How do you suppose Republicans can be losing so badly if they’re winning independents by a ratio better than three-to-two? Here’s how: If you look at how each party does by the voters’ partisan ID, and do the three-by-three equation (handy tool for that here), (0.93)r+ (.02)d + (0.47)i...

  The Gallup Poll’s final likely voter poll has proven to be a highly accurate predictor of the results of midterm elections for the House of Representatives. In 13 midterm elections between 1950 and 2006 for which Gallup estimated the preferences of likely voters, the correlation between the Republican margin among likely voters in the final pre-election poll and the actual Republican margin in the national popular vote is an impressive .94. Moreover, the average difference between the predicted Republican vote margin and the actual Republican vote margin in these 13 elections is only 2 percentage points. Given the accuracy...