Posted on 10/29/2020 2:32:06 PM PDT by frogjerk
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Democrats (D) Republicans (R) Spread
RCP Average 9/18 - 10/28 -- 50.4 42.0 Democrats +8.4
Economist/YouGov 10/25 - 10/27 1365 LV 52 42 Democrats +10
USA Today/Suffolk 10/23 - 10/27 1000 LV 49 39 Democrats +10
CNN 10/23 - 10/26 886 LV 54 42 Democrats +12
USC Dornsife 10/15 - 10/28 5271 LV 52 44 Democrats +8
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/9 - 10/12 1000 RV 49 42 Democrats +7
Monmouth 9/24 - 9/27 809 LV 50 44 Democrats +6
Politico/Morning Consult 9/18 - 9/20 1989 RV 47 41 Democrats +6
All 2020 Generic Congressional Vote Polling Data
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Is the generic ballot poll valid?
No!
RCP is trash!!
Nope. It’s completely bogus. Just like how people say they are dissatisfied with congress, but then they reelect their own representative time and time again. Generic polls don’t mean squat.
Forget the polls. There are THIRTY Democrat incumbent House members sitting in districts then candidate Donald Trump won. If Pres. Trump performs as well as I expect him to, a lot of those seats will be returning to the GOP.
Democrats are nearly always up in every single poll. no matter what race.
Thanks - saw that post earlier in the month. Just putting the Generic Ballot Question out there to be debated.
If all of these polls are even mildly true, what the hell is WRONG with Americans, seeing what D’s have instigated for the past year?
RCP = Real Crappy Polls
Ouch.
Because growing numbers of Americans think there’s a bling freebie in it for them if they vote the socialists into power.
If the Democrats sweep, goodbye Land of the Free.
I just got done reading that in 2016 RCP had Hillary up 6.5 in WI and 4 points in MI. She lost both. Today RCP is giving Biden a 5.5 lead in WI and walloping 9 point lead in MI. Absurd.
“Dems up anywhere from 6 to 10 points in the Generic Ballot. In the Generic Ballot the GOP final was +1.1 but throughout the entier election season in 2016 the Dems were up until the very last minute.
Is the generic ballot poll valid?”
Generic ballots are inherently wrong because you’re not polling the specific people who will vote for the specific races.
All politics are local.
That’s because all of the polls are conducted by democRATs to favor democRATs.
It’s a bad habit of some folks who devour this political junk food. I will be getting the final numbers coming from the independent internal polling data firm that I have been posting is somewhat amazing. It will have Senate and House Numbers. Cook’s numbers on potential GOP gains are conservative next to what my friend and I have been observing. All that I can say from the data we have seen is that there is definitely an angry backlash on the Democrats that is significant. Coming from GOP, Dem, Indy and new voters.
But the problem, Darth, is you post unpublished numbers. I hope and pray your predictions are correct, but anyone (including me) can post anything on the web.
IN THE RACE FOR HOUSE SEATS EVERYONE RUNNING UNDER THE DEMON-O-CRAT LABEL VOTED FOR THESE TWO ISSUES
ABORTION FUNDING SUPPORT AND THIS
FORCE Schools To Let Male Athletes Compete In Girls’ Sports...Any Dem congressman who didn’t support this got kicked out by holding their primary in remapped districts.
Why aren’t those votes an issue in this 2020 campaign by the Republicans ?
.. Democratic candidate for America’s Vice President California and likely presidential replacement Sen. Kamala Harris sponsored a Senate bill that would that would force funding public schools to allow biologically male athletes who identify as transgender on girls’ sports teams.
In March 2019, Harris cosponsored the Equality Act, which would amend the Civil Rights Act of 1964 . Among other things, the bill would force public schools to expand female athletic teams to include biological males who identify as transgender girls
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3873820/posts
.Also did this http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3877896/posts and this http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3880192/posts
.. HERE’S HOW THEY TREATED CONSERVATIVE CONGRESSIONAL DEMOCRATS WHO DONT SUPPORT FUNDING STUFF LIKE THIS
.. And why there is no such thing as a Conservative Dem in Congress An example is Illinois 3rd district
..
Todays Democrats weren’t happy with this father then son votes against abortion and the son’s being the only congressional democrat to vote NO on allowing men to to call themselves a women and compete with women in college sports. To stop this the demoncrats decided to remap the areas which supported them for their 2020 primary.
The ward (the 23rd) and the congressional district formerly the 5th which they changed into being the 3rd Illinois congressional by taking ward areas which had areas dominated by hispanic fore names and placed them into the Louis Gutierez district.
In the reshaped 3rd Congressional district primary Daniel Lipinski lost because of this redistricting. Of a district which had previously included adjacent Chicago city wards to his 23rd. which was “re-mapped in 2012 after former alderman and ward committeeman now congressman William O Lipinski annouced his retirement and wanted his son for his congressional replacement .
The remap was replacing ward boundaries of the 14th known as the stockyards which had experienced extensive demographic changes. They chopped up and placed sections of streets and blocks that were not only in the 23rd but the of adjacent 12th and 15th wards and made them the 14th ward
Now because Chicago alderman oversee routing of such things as garbage collections and getting city services . Some have complained of seeing rodents since as well as complained of poor road maintenance on their block. Because with this remap if your residence was in one ward your neighbor across the street or a block down is might be in another ward
.. The 5th was a district in the 1950’s which was a part of the third largest school district in the country run by the Catholic Archdiocese of Chicago. Those city wards were primarily composed of dozens of traditional value family oriented Catholic/Christian communities centered around their churches and their schools. Hence opposed to funding such things as abortion and LGBT activities rather for issues that dealt exclusively with city issues such as a subway L service and the Stevenson Expressway.
These Wards once were reliable supporters of Dan’s father, William O Lipinski. But after the 2012 redistricting the number of precincts in the 23rd were cut back to 39 and even their ward headquarters location was stuck in another ward.
And where many wards had areas with Hispanic last names those areas were redistricted and assigned to the Louis Gutieriez’s district. In areas where buildings were abandoned affected by the no money down home mortgages or had changed because of this. The ward such as the 14th known as Back of The Yards because of the former stock yards which has since relocated was remapped to include portions of other wards mainly the 23rd which Those results actually tear up the concept of a neighborhood and pit people against each other by using division.
In some of those wards areas of city blocks which were zoned exclusively for single family dwellings residents suddenly found their neighborhood having houses torn down and being replaced with multiple apartments with the units not required to furnish parking facilities and many renters were illegals. Much of which fit the plans for the suburbs
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3881650/posts
http://www.theusmat.com/mdwbea.htm
It doesn’t matter are they are insider numbers from a Fortune 500 professional firm that I would pay big bucks to 3rd party analyze technical data for me where accuracy and precision is a premium and these firms deliver. The whole political polling business is filled with corruption and garbage. I am in the high tech scientific engineering realm where we see things more clearly and go by a different standard of accuracy and precision. We don’t have the wiggle room to be wrong and the guy that is polling the data I’m seeing is pure scientific method which he applies to his business and high tech clients. He did Trump’s internals in 2016.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.