Gallup Generic Ballot (High Turnout +9 GOP, Low Turnout +14 GOP, RV +4 GOP)

Gallup.com ^ | 10/25/2010 | Gallup.com

[Tennessean4Bush]

In October, Gallup is reporting three estimates of voter preferences for the midterm congressional elections, adding two turnout scenarios among likely voters to the registered voter preferences it has been publishing since March. Explore these measures alongside other key indicators relevant to the 2010 vote.

Model	GOP	Dem
Registered Voters	48	44
High Turnout	52	43
Low Turnout	55	41

[Tennessean4Bush]

Table composed from Flash graphic at link

[VanDeKoik]

So the dems are screwed if people actually show up?

[Notwithstanding]

Temper tantrum alert.

[Perdogg]

Pretty much what we know already.

[Arm_Bears]

Gallup.

Hmmm—Aren’t they that bunch that tried to pass off a poll over-weighted with Democrats as legitimate a couple of months back?

[txhurl]

All we need is some really...bad...weather.

[Tennessean4Bush]

Screwed if they do, screwed if they don’t. What’s a man to do?

[Tennessean4Bush]

And for Reid’s poll workers to pass out food that makes people barf as soon as they consume it.

[Ravi]

Nice

[Tennessean4Bush]

Gallup’s high turnout model of 55% matches Rasmussen’s poll. The low turnout model matches nobody - it is off the charts. If we end up splitting the difference between the two it will be off the charts.

[antonico]

This sounds great. There's a part of me that's suspicious. Gallup is left leaning. Seems like everywhere we turn the Republican’s are now expected to win HUGE, so anything less than that will be seen as a failure. And most of all seen as a way to try to dislodge the Tea Party as the cultural phenomenon it is.

[VanDeKoik]

Celebrate!

[txhurl]

I think that’s the next TP move... election fraud. Ironically, enough cases have to surface to build the momentum to strangle it for good. We have two years to do it. If we can shake Congress like a can of pennies, we can
get rid of voter fraud, too.

I’ve been thinking about some fellow tech freepers and ways to grassroot this here. We have a ton of experts in the ways of Rat fraud, we just need to to set upon the mission.

[txhurl]

In fact, I’ve been needing a tag for a couple of months.

[truthfreedom]

We won’t be able to get much actually passed in the next 2 years.

But we can do what we can to get rid of voter fraud.

Let Obama veto that.

[justlurking]

Voter ID would be a good start. It got hung up in the Texas House last session, and I hope that it will succeed this year after the Republican coattails improve the balance in the House.

But, we really need a solution to official election fraud -- meaning fraud by election judges and poll workers. It's happening, but hard to prove.

[unkus]

What’s a man to do?

---

Get screwed if he’s a Rat. LOL

[Pollster1]

All we need is some really...bad...weather.

As much as I'd like that, it's not in the forecast. We're in for relatively mild weather. We have to count on our patriotic peers to help us get out the vote (when we remind them to vote and then to help drive others to the polls, they'll pass it on if we remind them) and help us as poll watchers.

[rogue yam]

Celebrate!

Not just yet.

[aft_lizard]

Democrats almost always have the registration advantage. Polls generally try to reflect that. Knowing that it makes this info that much more impressive. If it carries over to election day you can expect a bump for the GOP even higher since the GOP tends to trend upwards due to earlier poll bias.