Free Republic

Minnesota's record-breaking early voter turnout is rising fastest in seven rural counties previously won by President Donald Trump, offering a potentially encouraging sign for Republican Michele Tafoya in the state's closely watched Senate race against Democrat Peggy Flanagan, though some analysts warn the turnout data is not a reliable predictor of which party will benefit once all ballots have been cast. Several key Senate races are unfolding this year that will determine control of Congress. Republicans seek to defend their narrow House and Senate majorities and Democrats look to capitalize on competitive races that could flip control of both chambers...

Democrats are outpacing Republicans in early ballots Registered Democrats so far represent a larger share of early voters in the midterms than Republicans, having cast roughly 45% of early ballots compared to 31% cast by GOP voters, according to the University of Florida's Election Lab data. Another 24% of Americans who have voted early are not registered with either party. This data is only available for the 27 states that have a formal party registration system, and signifies only the party with which a voter is registered, not the candidates selected on their ballot. Experts caution that Democrats' higher turnout...

Early voting in Texas is up about 50% compared with the same point in the 2022 midterm elections, with particularly strong participation among voters with Democratic primary histories, The Texas Tribune reported Tuesday. Nearly 4.5 million Texans cast ballots during the first seven days of early voting, representing 23.4% of registered voters, according to Texas secretary of state figures cited by The Texas Tribune. The surge comes as Republican Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton faces Democrat state Rep. James Talarico in a closely contested U.S. Senate race that could help determine control of the chamber. Texas Democrats hope to win...

Are you sitting down? Republicans are currently showing signs of PRESIDENTIAL-LEVEL midterms turnout already in early voting in crucial states. Scott Presler breaks down the POSITIVE signals he is seeing on the ground for the GOP: In Texas, Republicans are leading Democrats by 50,000 early ballots and red counties are seeing Presidential election level voter turnout. In Pennsylvania, Democrats are DOWN 100,000 mail-in ballots from 2022, Republicans are up 50,000 and our return rate is matching Democrats. In Florida, Republicans have gained the early vote lead for Byron Donalds. Don't believe the polls. Get out and Vote EARLY, @ScottPresler

After the election offices of Georgia’s most populous county were raided last month, the FBI has disclosed information indicating where its investigation is heading.FBI agents are seen at the facility in Union City, Ga., on Jan. 28, 2026. Federal laws may have been broken during the 2020 election according to the affidavit supporting the court-approved raid. Yet the breadth of the materials seized shows the FBI may be able to check the integrity of the ballots more broadly, uncovering further issues or putting speculation to bed.President Donald Trump’s campaign challenged the Georgia election most vigorously, as he lost the state...

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In addition to calling on Jay Jones to drop out, Democrats should also end the nonsense of a months-long ‘election season.’The scandal whereby Jay Jones, the Democrat nominee in the Virginia attorney general race, sent graphic text messages describing his desire to assassinate a political opponent says much about our current political culture. Beyond how some describe “violent” policies to justify violent actions against their adversaries, it also reflects the practical realities of the way states administer elections.The candidates at the top of Virginia’s Democrat ticket, gubernatorial nominee Abigail Spanberger and lieutenant governor nominee Ghazala Hashmi, have, as of this...

Virginia Democratic gubernatorial nominee Abigail Spanberger appeared confident that she would succeed Gov. Glenn Youngkin (D-VA) as the next chief executive of the Old Dominion on the first day of early voting. At a campaign rally outside the Fairfax Government Center, Spanberger encouraged a group of supporters to cast their ballots early as she seeks to defeat Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears (R-VA) in the November showdown. “I look forward to the next 45 days of early voting for encouraging people to use their voices in casting their vote,” Spanberger said before reminding the crowd of the early voting window. “I...

Conservative activist Scott Presler is sounding the alarm for Republicans, warning that unless the party immediately changes its strategy, November could bring devastating losses. In a late-night video, Presler said he wasn’t trying to spread doom and gloom, but reality. “I’m not here to bring you a happy video. I’m here to give you a dose of reality,” he began. "I'm here to tell you, Republicans are gonna lose everything this November unless we change things and quickly." Presler pointed to three key battlegrounds—Virginia, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania—where Republicans are in danger of losing everything. “You’re gonna lose the governorship...

What a crazy, wild ride it has been. As much as I dislike politics and, particularly the rhetoric, lies and deceit of the “swamp,” as publisher of Wisconsin Christian News, a radio commentator and TV host, I must follow the news every day and then decipher it all for you, and this past election cycle consumed much of my time and energy. But I’ve always said that Christians must be the most informed of all people, seeking out the truth and discerning truth from lies. On November 4, I stayed up late to watch what I thought was President Trump’s...

Donald Trump needed to “win big.” So he needed to listen to his daughter-in-law, Lara Trump, according to the Wall Street Journal. She took on the thankless job of outmaneuvering the dirty tricks of her opponents in her new role as co-chairman of the Republican National Committee. “We don’t have one day of voting, we don’t have paper ballots, we don’t have voter ID everywhere,” she said pointing out the reality of winning on a new playing field. “We have to play the hand we’re dealt.” Her strategy was also personal. She advised her father-in-law -- who spent four years...

Kamala Harris urged Wisconsinites to “turn the page” on Donald Trump as she rallied voters just outside Milwaukee on Friday night — scrambling to boost turnout in a Democratic stronghold lagging the rest of the state in early voting. Data from the Wisconsin Elections Commission shows the city of Milwaukee is trailing the rest of the state by about 7 percent both in its mail-in return rate and in overall registered voter turnout. It’s a warning sign, even some Democrats privately say, for Harris as her campaign looks to run up the score with urban and suburban voters to overcome...

Things looking good for President Trump. Worth watching. Final predictions : 82% chance of Trump winning with 302 EV's, AZ GA NC PA for Trump. Plus NV likely Trump. 15 minutes.

The percentage of Black voters so far is below the 30% political observers like to see. State Rep. Carl Gilliard, D-Savannah, joined an emergency Zoom call with about 70 other Black Georgia faith leaders Monday night to discussj their concerns about the state’s latest early voting figures. Most prominent leaders of the state’s Black faith community have thrown their support behind Vice President Kamala Harris in her White House race against former President Donald Trump. The latest early voting data has given them cause for concern about Harris’ chances of winning Georgia’s 16 crucial electoral college votes in a battleground...

With just over a week to go before the Nov. 5 presidential election, more than 40 million people have cast early ballots so far.As of Sunday afternoon, data provided by the University of Florida’s Election Lab shows 41.2 million voted by mail or early in person in the vast majority of states, with only a few states not reporting data.Compared with four years ago, Republicans are returning more mail-in ballots and voting early in-person. Party affiliation does not mean that voters cast ballot for their party’s nominated candidate, meaning there is no way to definitively know what presidential candidate is...

by Capt. Seth KeshelIn ten days, if I’m still above ground, I will stroll into my local polling station and cast my ballot for the Trump-Vance ticket and all down ballot races and measures on Election Day. I believe fundamentally that it is the soundest, most secure way to vote, and most importantly, is the fulfillment of practicing what I preach. Even though things are looking great right now, I don’t think freedom lovers can win every election from now until the end of time with so many open ended ways to control and manipulate election outcomes. If America is...

Democrats blocking the early voting sites gives credence to concerns that the left is trying to suppress the vote in the deep-red area. The havoc wrought by Hurricane Helene in western North Carolina brought disaster to homes and families, but that has not stopped Democrats from blocking the approval of emergency early voting sites in the heavily Republican area. The refusal to act forced the GOP-led state legislature to intervene.

Early vote trends in swing states favor of former President Donald Trump and suggest “the election will be over on election day before we know who votes,” political analyst Mark Halperin said Tuesday on The Morning Meeting. The trends will likely cause the Harris campaign to hit the panic button in the coming days with increased heated rhetoric meant to drive turnout among its supporters. Halperin, an analyst who attempts to report data without spin, said the early vote in Nevada and North Carolina looks strong for Trump, which is far “more important than the polls right now.” Surveys show...

Updated, 10 PM, 10/21/24 Good evening, blog mates. The headline: Republicans lead statewide in Nevada after three days of early voting and mail ballot counting. This has not happened in a presidential year in The Reid Machine Era, which encompasses the races since 2008. This could signal serious danger for the Dems and for Kamala Harris here. It's pretty easy to explain: The Clark firewall has all but collapsed (it's 4,500 votes) and the rurals are way overperforming their share of the electorate with what has been tabulated, nearly by 4 points -- almost all taken from Clark's share. The...

The net change in voter registration over the last seven days: 🔴Republicans: +22,188 🔵Democrats: +9,428 🟡Others: +8,893 Republicans increased registration margins again this week and are doing a good job of matching Democrats on the ballot requests day over day. We're at the point in the process where, on the returns side, the margin will only get tighter every day until election day. With Allegheny, Philadelphia, and Montgomery reporting returns well over the state average and more than a dozen Republican counties yet to start counting, the trend will only go one way from here on out.