Free Republic

Not only have polls and prediction markets tilted recently toward Donald Trump winning the presidential election, they are also pointing to Republicans flipping the Senate and retaining control of the House. A GOP sweep would give Trump a freer hand to enact his agenda. While U.S. presidents have broad authority on immigration and tariffs, changes to tax and spending policies would require congressional approval. The latest polling analysis from 538 gave Trump a 53-in-100 chance of winning the election versus 47 out of 100 for Kamala Harris. It also gave Republicans an 87-in-100 chance of taking the Senate majority away...

House Speaker Mike Johnson promised Thursday that New York Republicans will “defy the odds again” and win even more seats in 2024 than they did in the 2022 midterms, when they helped to secure the party’s majority in the lower chamber. In an exclusive sit-down with The Post, Johnson (R-La.) predicted Republicans will achieve unified government after the Nov. 5 election, thanks in large part to strong candidates running in tough Empire State swing districts. “We recruited workhorses — and not show ponies — this cycle,” the House speaker boasted, saying he was “very bullish” about growing his majority by...

A significant red wave is looking to hit the historically blue state of Pennsylvania as more and more voters shift to identify as Republican. Less than a month before the 2024 election, Democrats are losing ground in swing states needed to secure the White House win. Following President Joe Biden’s exit from the race, Democrats have relied heavily on enthusiasm to take them to victory at the polls. However, that “enthusiasm” has died down significantly for them. Considered to be a must-win state for Harris, polls show the odds of her securing enough votes are diminishing. In 2020, Biden won...

We are less than 50 days from Election Day and with thousands of New Yorkers packing out Nassau Coliseum on Long Island on Wednesday to see Donald Trump speak, all eyes are on New York. Why New York? Weak, corrupt, incompetent and inept leaders have passed law after law that have made life less safe and affordable. New York continues to lead the nation in out-migration because pro-criminal, high-tax and sanctuary policies have forced countless New Yorkers to seek refuge in other states. Many have reached their breaking point but have found hope in the New Yorker running at the...

Democrats are fearing a “Trump surge” with male voters, based on polls historically not accurately reflecting support for former President Donald Trump, according to a report. “Trump is winning men who have not [previously] voted,” Celinda Lake, one of two leading pollsters for President Joe Biden’s 2020 campaign told the Hill. “Most pollsters are adjusting. Our firm looks at two turnout estimates now. One the average and one looking at [a] Trump surge.” She said that with polls showing battleground states balanced on a knife-edge, “I think we still have to worry about a Trump surge.”

As vote counts continue to be posted, it is clear that Republican hopes and dreams of a huge wave election have been dashed. Instead of a large House majority and solid control of the Senate, Republicans will be lucky to have small majorities in each chamber, and even that outcome is not secure at this moment. But in one state, Florida, Republicans have triumphed in tsunami-like proportions. With 98% of the vote counted, Marco Rubio has a 16.4% landslide lead over Senate challenger Val Demings, and Governor Ron DeSantis has a 19.4% lead, a gigantic increase over his fraction of...

We’re about halfway through Election Day for most of Florida, and the Democrats in Miami-Dade are staring a bloodbath straight in its beady little eyes. A few days ago, I posted about how things were not looking good for Democrats in early voting; see For the First Time Republicans Swamp Democrats in Florida Early Voting as an Electoral Disaster Looms for the Left. When I posted that Republicans had a 176,000 vote lead in early and vote-by-mail ballots, whereas, at the same point in the 2020 election, where President Trump carried Florida by four points, Democrats had a 387,000 vote...

Michigan voters are accustomed to getting election results on election night but that won't be the case this Tuesday night. It may be 24 hours after the polls close that we will know who won in some key races and this could create another debate over who really won. "I am really worried about what is going to happen on election night," said Richard Czuba. Czuba, a Michigan pollster, with Glengariff, is not alone. The person in charge of running a smooth, fair, and accurate election is worried as well - on two fronts. First, about potential distractions in and...

CNN, ABC and NBC panelists offered up their final midterm predictions during the Sunday news shows and painted a grim picture for the Democratic Party ahead of election day. CNN's David Chailan said Democrats were looking for a "cushion" in Pennsylvania. "They are looking for a place to pad their majority a bit and try to offset potential losses elsewhere. This is why the Senate right now is the thing Democrats are looking at as a potential saving grace on Tuesday night. It is bleak looking for the House because of what you said, this is an economy election and...

Depending on which polls you look at, the Democrats are almost certain to lose the House tomorrow and might even lose control over the U.S. Senate: <@InteractivePoll tweet projecting huge Red Wave tomorrow> Sensing a midterm disaster (and a loss of power), Speaker Pelosi is resorting to a tactic that’s also been adopted by the Biden administration: Gaslighting like crazy. Who are you going to believe, your lying bank account, gas & grocery bills, or Nancy Pelosi: Oh please. And of course the Democrats have no interest in power (cue massive eye roll). Pelosi is funny, just not “ha ha”...

Throughout the autumn, as Election Day approached, many of us found ourselves asking the question: But what happens if we win? Every political campaign – of either party, of any ideology – focuses on the full range of issues. Tax cuts vs. tax hikes. Overspending vs. responsibility. Hedonism vs. ethics. A strong defense vs. a projection of weakness. But after the election, we have to come down to earth, and acknowledge that no one person – no single individual – can make the entire government do a 180. When one side wins both the presidency and majorities in both houses...

Comedian and HBO late-night host Bill Maher predicted that Republicans are “definitely going to win” a congressional majority in next week’s midterm elections, thanks in part to “woke culture.” Maher claimed the left has gone “super crazy” in ways that the average American “doesn’t understand” and doesn’t want. He made his comments while appearing on comedian Bill Burr’s “Monday Morning Podcast” on Thursday. The two talked pop culture, the Playboy Mansion, and politics, with Maher admitting that Republicans are going to “do so well” on election day next Tuesday.

Hispanic voters are flocking to the Republican Party, according to President Donald J. Trump, because they understand the dangers posed by an open border.Addressing a crowd of Miami rallygoers Sunday, Trump said: “When I talked about the border, you know who the biggest fans of that were? The Hispanics – Latinos. They knew more about the border than anybody.”Noting that seasoned politicos had predicted he would lose support from Hispanic voters over his immigration stance, he added: “Actually, it turned out to be the exact opposite. We are setting records… They understood crime much better than the fools that we...

VIDEOPlease avoid noticing how Joe Biden and the Democrats have screwed things up with much higher gas and food prices as well as overall inflation which they stupidly assured us would only be transitory. Try not to think about the absolute debacle of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in which $57 billion of military equipment was left behind for the Taliban nor of the very expensive easily avoidable Ukraine war. And above all, don't think about the REAL threats to democracy in terms of the FBI turning into political police nor of the government working with Social Media to act...

A left-leaning think tank is sounding the alarm on Democrats for being too extreme and not in touch with voters, as what could be a big night for Republicans looms in Tuesday's elections. Third Way warned Democrats that holding on to control of either the House or the Senate would be "in spite of the party brand, not because of it" in a memo shared with Axios Monday. "Despite a roster of GOP candidates who are extreme by any standard, voters see Democrats as just as extreme, as well as far less concerned about the issues that most worry them,"...

At a glance Four days from Election Day, Democratic pollster John Zogby said that Republicans maintain “a clear advantage” with voters. Women are deserting Democrats – one of the most striking midterm developments – and even the friendly media is questioning Biden and his mental competence. “It’s the House and Senate Republicans that are making the most gains on issues including inflation, crime, and immigration,” Zogby said. Rasmussen Reports noted that Biden also is losing a slew of independent voters. “The Republican lead is due mainly to a 13-point advantage among independent voters,” Rasmussen said. “Among voters not affiliated with...

A democrat strategist got it right when she said ‘We Did Not Listen to Voters’“I’m a loyal Democrat, but I am not happy,” Rosen said. “I just think we did not listen to voters in this election and I think we’re going to have a bad night.”She added, “when voters tell you over and over and over again that they care mostly about the economy, listen to them! Stop talking about democracy being at stake! Democracy is at stake because people are fighting so much about what elections mean. Voters have told us what they wanted to hear. I don’t...

Twitter Inc. owner Elon Musk, the world's richest person, on Monday recommended that voters pick Republican candidates for the U.S. Congress in Tuesday's midterm elections. "To independent-minded voters: Shared power curbs the worst excesses of both parties, therefore I recommend voting for a Republican Congress, given that the presidency is Democratic," Musk said on Twitter. Since Musk's takeover of Twitter, civil-rights groups have criticized the Tesla CEO's stance on content moderation over his absolutist free-speech stance, which they expect to increase the volume of misinformation and hate speech on the platform. President Joe Biden's Democrats face a steep battle to...

To all the press texting & calling me:Trump should announce tonightHis candidates won the primariesBiden’s central message was the “ULTRA MAGA” scareAnd we are going to win BIGLY!Trump deserves all the credit for this wave election & announcing tonight he will seize it— Matt Gaetz (@mattgaetz) November 7, 2022