Free Republic

Jul 02, 202007:49 Model projects 91% chance Trump will get re-elected Stony Brook University professor Helmut Norpoth says the battleground state polls in 2016 were 'way off' and that his model has correctly predicted 24 out of 26 of the past presidential elections.

Gotta say, I’d have had more sympathy for Roy Cooper in this situation two weeks ago. That would have been before the same people who scolded Republicans and conservatives who wanted to reopen the public square and demonstrate for those policies suddenly thought squeezing several thousand people into streets for demonstrations for a week on end was no problem at all. Political speech takes precedence over commerce, they have argued — so why does that not apply to a full political convention in August?North Carolina’s Democratic governor apparently thinks some political speech requires more planning than others: Governor Roy...

Slowly and subtly, Delaware County barber shops are doing business again despite the governor’s order forbidding it. In Media, a few blocks from the borough offices, Giovanni’s Barber Shop was back in operation offering full services Wednesday. Owner Nichole Missino has her fingers crossed that her new, relatively low-key approach and detail to safety and sanitation procedures to reduce the potential spread of the coronavirus will work.

No matter how you slice it, what happened in last week’s special election for California’s 25th Congressional District was not good for Democrats. In resounding fashion, Democratic hopeful Christy Smith, a state assemblywoman from Santa Clarita, was beaten by Republican defense industry executive Mike Garcia. While ballots are still being counted in what was an almost all-mail-in election, recent tallies had Garcia, a Trump endorsee, trouncing Smith by a double-digit margin .... Smith conceded quickly. There are the coronavirus caveats. Stay-at-home orders meant low turnout, which favored Garcia: older, whiter, and more-affluent voters tend to vote by mail already and...

Ilhan Omar has a year full of scandals. The Democrats always protected her along with their puppy the mainstream media. Last year, a report claimed that Ilhan Omar and Ahmed Hirsi filed joint tax returns in at least 2014-2015. Yet Ilhan Omar was legally married to another man from 2009-2017. A sitting congresswoman may have filed EIGHT YEARS of fraudulent, felonious, tax returns. The Democrats denied the alleged indiscretions, though the complaints were still unconfirmed to the public at the time. Her short political career is constantly shaken with scandals. Today another scandal broke out. Ilhan Omar asked for donations...

A thread to discuss any President Trump Tweets for today. Or anything related. It's Saturday, a day off for most so he'll probably be Tweeting. There is tremendous CoronaVirus testing capacity in Washington for the Senators returning to Capital Hill on Monday. Likewise the House, which should return but isn’t because of Crazy Nancy P. The 5 minute Abbott Test will be used. Please inform Dr. Brian P. Monahan. @MarkMeadows 9:06 AM · May 2, 2020 Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump 96% Approval Rating in the Republican Party. Thank you! Also, just out, highest ever Approval Rating overall in the new...

WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump erupted at his top political advisers last week when they presented him with worrisome polling data that showed his support eroding in a series of battleground states as his response to the coronavirus comes under criticism. As the virus takes its deadly toll and much of the nation’s economy remains shuttered, new surveys by the Republican National Committee and Trump’s campaign pointed to a harrowing picture for the president as he faces reelection. “I am not f—ing losing to Joe Biden,” he repeated in a series of heated conference calls with his top campaign officials,...

When asked about the 2020 election between presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden and President Donald Trump, McCain refused to say who will be getting her vote. However, she did say, “I keep telling everyone I will promise you will know who I'm voting for but it won't take a rocket scientist to know.” Joe Biden was a long-time friend to the McCain family and even spoke at John McCain’s funeral. Whereas Donald Trump did not attend the funeral and has repeatedly attacked the war hero and long-time Arizona senator. “There is one who has made pain in my life a...

THE 2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Florida voters don't have a clear favorite in the upcoming presidential election. If the election for president were being held today, former Vice President Joe Biden would get 46 percent of the vote, while Trump would get 42 percent. The candidates are holding their bases just about equally well, as Biden wins among Democrats 91 - 4 percent and Trump wins among Republicans 89 - 7 percent. The race is close among the key swing group, independents, with Biden getting 44 percent of the vote and Trump receiving 37 percent.

Wednesday on MSNBC’s “The 11th Hour,” former lead strategist for Bill Clinton’s 1992 presidential campaign James Carville said the presumptive Democratic Party nominee former Vice President Joe Biden would “wipeout” President Donald Trump in 2020. (snip) Carville said, “First of all, he (Trump) won with 46.1%. He’s literally lost 95% of the elections that have taken place between the time of his election and right now. His polling numbers are going down, and they’re awful. Usually, in a crisis – I mean, Jimmy Carter was at 67% in the Iran hostage crisis. The prime minister of Italy is over 70%....

BALTIMORE (WJZ) — Baltimore Mayor Jack Young urged residents to put down their guns and heed orders to stay home after multiple people were shot Tuesday night amidst the coronavirus pandemic. Young said hospital beds are needed to treat positive COVID-19 patients and not for senseless violence. Seven people were shot Tuesday night in the Madison Park neighborhood, as Baltimore reported its fifth positive coronavirus case Wednesday.

CREEPY UNCLE JOE AT HIS CREEPIEST !!!!

SANTA FE — A prospective candidate in the race for the 3rd Congressional District seat who was disqualified by the New Mexico Secretary of State’s Office for using the wrong form to collect petition signatures is vowing to contest the decision through legal means. In an inculpatory statement provided to the Journal, the campaign for Republican Anise Golden-Morper accused Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse-Oliver, a Democrat, of playing politics and using “dirty tricks” to eliminate the leading fundraiser among GOP candidates. “Anise is being targeted by a hyper-partisan witch hunt similar to what just happened to President Trump in Washington...

MSNBC’s Joy Reid said Tuesday on her network’s New Hampshire primary coverage that to defeat President Donald Trump, the 2020 Democratic nominee will have to “fight like a Republican.” Reid pointed to former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg because “he is a Republican, or used to be, anyway.” Reid said, “He still sounds like a Republican to a lot of people. So it’s a weird coalition.... (snip) (Reid) continued, “I know Republicans who — they don’t mind the fiscal policies of Trump. They like that, but they also want to sleep at night. If you’re a Republican and still...

Mark Ronchetti, a meteorologist in Albuquerque and one of the most popular television figures in the state, is joining the race for U.S. Senate in New Mexico, adding more drama to a contest some Democrats had believed was a safe seat. Ronchetti, 46, announced Tuesday he is jumping into the fight for the GOP nomination after stepping down for his job Monday as chief meteorologist for the CBS affiliate in Albuquerque. ... Ronchetti said he was jumping into the race because he was “fed up” with politicians in Washington not solving problems. He called himself a “proud conservative New Mexican”...

Businessman Louie Sanchez remembers growing up in a trailer in the South Valley where he said he learned the value of hard work. It’s those working class roots he wants to emphasize when he launches a bid for the U.S. Senate on Monday. Sanchez will join a growing Republican field that includes former New Mexico State University professor Gavin Clarkson; anti-abortion advocate Elisa Martinez; and Albuquerque contractor Mick Rich in the race to replace Democrat Tom Udall, who is not seeking reelection to a third term. U.S. Rep. Ben Ray Luján and accountant Andrew Perkins are seeking the Democratic nomination....

NBC NEWS: 'Meet the Press' moderator Chuck Todd joins TODAY to look ahead at what’s to come in Washington in 2020..... (snip) "It's pretty simple campaign strategy, gin up the base and try to scare independents from the Democratic nominee," Todd said. "It doesn't matter who the nominee is," Todd said of the Democratic candidates. "It is a strategy that depends on a middle of the electorate overlooking the president’s personal character and somehow getting him to reelection. I think it' a very uphill battle for him."

Maxwell, the late owner of Mirror Newspapers, invested $2 million in Mr Romney's first private equity fund, which launched the controversial career in finance that the Republican presidential challenger now cites as proof of his ability to lead the US to prosperity. He was recruited by Lyons, a late colleague of Mr Romney's at Bain & Company and one of the "Guinness Four" who were convicted in 1990 over the infamous share-trading fraud at the drinks firm. Lyons and his family invested almost $3 million in Mr Romney's fund.

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