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The pollster who identified “Reagan Democrats” in the 1980s sees the emergence of a mirror image voting bloc. And it spells trouble for a GOP dominated by Trump.

President Donald Trump is staying in the race in some key battleground states on the strength of support from swing voters, according to The Zogby Poll released Wednesday. "What's keeping things close is Trump's domination of swing voters," Zogby Analytics wrote in its release. "A good portion of these voters live in large cities, are aged 30-49, and say their finances are better off than they were four years ago. "In order for Trump to get back to his winning ways he will need to maintain a big lead among swing voters and he must also find a way to...

..."Not only are they overwhelmingly with Trump at this point, upon reflection, these voters who voted Obama and Trump would now vote for Trump over Obama in a hypothetical match-up, according to Thau." ..."Beyond the numbers, though, it’s critical to understand why so many of them continue to support Trump. They think a businessman is best suited to turn the country around economically. They feel Covid-19 was not Trump’s fault, and he’s doing the best he can to contain it. They conflate the Black Lives Matter protesters with the rioters attacking federal buildings and retail shops. They don’t want historic...

It is Neil Shaffer’s job to get Donald Trump re-elected in a patch of rural Iowa that saw the largest swing in voters in the country from America’s first black president to one of its most divisive in 2016. But even Shaffer, the Republican party chair in Howard county, is not sure he’ll be voting for Trump again. The voters who migrated from Barack Obama to Trump in the county on Iowa’s border with Minnesota were among nearly 8 million across the US who switched parties four years ago. In swing states such as Iowa they were decisive in delivering...

Have Democrats shot themselves in the foot with impeachment? Sure looks like it with this damning piece about voter sentiment for them in this Axios focus-group piece: SAGINAW, Mich. — Some swing voters here who voted for Barack Obama and then Donald Trump are firmly in Trump’s camp now — and they're sick of impeachment. Why it matters: The two-plus hour conversation revealed major warning signs for the Democratic Party in a crucial swing county that will be a pivotal area to win in 2020. This was the biggest takeaway from our Engagious/FPG focus group last week, which included 10 voters who...

APPLETON, Wis. — Voters who supported Barack Obama in 2012 and then Donald Trump in 2016 are sick of Trump, saying in a focus group here that they're getting tired of his "lies" and the way he treats people. Why it matters: Trump barely won Wisconsin, where he got roughly 22,000 more votes than Hillary Clinton, and these swing voters were decisive. If he's losing them, it will be harder to win the state again with just his base supporters. Show less This was the biggest takeaway from the focus group of swing voters I watched last week, conducted by...

President Trump’s proposed wall along the United States-Mexico border has soared in popularity with American voters across the board, as he battles a split GOP-Democrat Congress to secure funding for the barrier. The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll reveals a major shift among nearly all demographic groups across the country when it comes to support for a border wall at the southern border. This time last year, the poll claimed that only 34 percent of voters supported a wall at the U.S.-Mexico border. Today, support for the wall has climbed to 42 percent overall. Most notable, swing voters are increasingly...

The latest Harvard/Harris Poll, though, reveals that swing voters are overwhelmingly opposed to the Democrats’ plan to end all immigration enforcement across the U.S. Nearly 3-in-4 swing voters, about 73 percent, of swing voters said they do not want ICE to be disbanded. Less than 30 percent of swing voters said they support the abolishment of ICE. Likewise, Americans in general oppose the Democrats’ plan to abolish ICE. Nearly 70 percent of Americans polled in the Harvard/Harris Poll said they do not support ending ICE and thus all immigration enforcement. Abolishing ICE, as Breitbart News reported, would have allowed more...

The first wave of Obamacare cancellations has hit a group of Americans who are well-positioned to swing several critical Senate elections next November. “This voting bloc could have a decisive impact in close races in 2014,” according to a Nov. 11 memo from Resurgent Republic, a survey firm that tracks public opinion on GOP-related priorities. “Four of the nine most competitive states that Senate Democrats are defending have self-insured populations at or above the national average” of 5 percent, said the report. …

The 2004 presidential election was the Republican party’s high-water mark with Hispanic voters. George W. Bush received between 40 and 44 percent of the Hispanic vote that year. Bush lost Hispanic Catholics to John Kerry, but he overwhelmingly won Hispanic evangelicals, 69 percent to Kerry’s 29 percent. In 2008, the numbers changed dramatically. Barack Obama secured the votes of 74 percent of Hispanics, while John McCain won a paltry 22 percent, despite having been the GOP’s spokesman for comprehensive immigration reform. Sixty percent of Hispanic evangelicals supported Obama, and just 36 percent McCain. Four years later, Obama’s support among Hispanics...

Yesterday afternoon, on the seventh floor of a nondescript glass office tower on the fringes of downtown Tampa, I sat in a dark room behind a two-way mirror and watched the one and only Frank Luntz put a focus group of 23 “swing voters” through the paces. What I learned: Americans are worried. About a lot of things. It was a two-and-a-half-hour session, but I’ll give you a for instance. Americans are really worried about education: about cost and competition from abroad, about kids who mortgage their futures by forgoing college to work, about kids who are too lazy to...

Good ideas for winning back the Senate... How To Persuade A Swing Voter

Unions are all that protect America from "barbarians," Vice President Joe Biden said at a Labor Day rally in Cincinnati. But the only barbarian in evidence that day was Teamsters' President Jimmy Hoffa, who threatened to "take out" tea party critics of President Barack Obama's spending, albeit through the ballot box. --snip-- A crowd that Detroit police estimated at 13,000 responded warmly to Mr. Obama. But when Candidate Obama spoke there in 2008, more than 30,000 came to hear him... --snip-- Labor leaders fret they've gotten a poor return on the $400 million they spent to elect Democrats in 2008....

Posted at 10:49 PM on 9/26/2008 by David Horowitz The Debate's Crucial Subtext: Reaction Shots Call me strange but I think undecided and swing voters are more swayed by character than by issues. The issues voters are already committed. Watching the debat this evening I was struck by the inability of Obama to keep his cool when his positions were challenged by his opponent. During the second half of the debate he was rattled and lost his composure almost every time John McCain contested or contradicted what he said. Scowls, inappropriate smiles, shaking of the head, rude interruptions betrayed the...

Every four years, the media announce which slice of American voters—Soccer Moms, Security Moms, Waitress Moms, NASCAR Dads, Office Park Dads, Joe Six-Packs, Angry White Males, or One-Armed Vegetarian Live-In Boyfriends—will decide the election for the rest of us. Equally ritualistic is the gleeful debunking of these ever-proliferating categories of swing voter. This year, with John McCain and Barack Obama redrawing the electoral map, it's going to be difficult to pinpoint a single group as the key to victory. But that doesn't mean media outlets (including this one) won't try. Pollsters generally discover swing voters in one of two ways....

The Clinton campaign is using triple coverage to try to win the Indiana and Kentucky primaries next month. In the past seven days Kentuckiana has had visits from former President Bill Clinton, candidate Hillary Clinton and Tuesday night, their daughter Chelsea was in Louisville. WAVE 3's Mark Schnyder has details on Tuesday night's visit to a gay bar. This wasn't your typical question and answer session in that many of the questions came from people with beer in hand. It appeared some had had a couple beers before Chelsea got there. In fact, the former first daughter had to turn...

IN anticipation of the 2008 presidential election, we used functional magnetic resonance imaging to watch the brains of a group of swing voters as they responded to the leading presidential candidates. Our results reveal some voter impressions on which this election may well turn. Our 20 subjects — registered voters who stated that they were open to choosing a candidate from either party next November — included 10 men and 10 women. In late summer, we asked them to answer a list of questions about their political preferences, then observed their brain activity for nearly an hour in the scanner...

Members of the independent movement can make a difference in United States politics with their ability to "spoil" elections, Linda Curtis said. "The two parties use that word to describe us," said Curtis, a spokeswoman for the independent movement and founder of Independent Texans. "They say we're spoilers. I choose to think about it differently. We are the swing vote right now and we can swing and sway elections." Curtis spoke with the Concerned Citizens for Responsible Government on Tuesday about pushing the independent movement forward in a positive way. People are upset with the way politicians are running the...

WASHINGTON (AP) - The Republican Party ceded the center of American politics and its many groups of swing voters to the Democratic Party in the 2006 midterm elections - with predictable results.The GOP lost the House and the Senate.Republicans lost badly among independent voters, suburbanites, white Catholics, the middle class and Hispanics - groups it had been courting successfully in recent years, exit polls found.``The one thing that is so frustrating is when you hear the Karl Roves and Ken Mehlmans talking about focusing on the base because there are no swing voters,'' said GOP pollster Tony Fabrizio, who says...

WHY HILLARY MUST NOT WIN. WHY HILLARY CANNOT WIN. by Mia T, 12.10.05 When it comes to electing our first female president, we can do better than Hillary Clinton. We need to do better than Hillary Clinton, or the symbolism of a woman as president will be marred by electing a woman who has done almost as much to inflict mistreatment on real-life women as her misogynist husband. Candice JacksonTheir Lives: The Women Targeted by the Clinton Machine   '04 ELECTION PROVIDES CLUE To better understand why this move is fatal for missus clinton, we must go back to November...