Free Republic

I was reading about the Social Security shortfall in revenue. And about how it was due to the Baby Boomers (of which I'm one, thank you) retiring with too small a workforce behind us to support the system. "And it made me wonder" 1. Why less children being born since the end of the boom in early 1960's. 2. Have there been NO baby booms since then? 3. Could the legalizing of abortion coincide with this population decline?! 4. Could overturning Roe vs Wade create enough people STILL to be old enough to SAVE Social Security without any changes to...

Time Waits for No One On Friday we noted that the Census Bureau has released new population projections through 2030, which largely show that states George W. Bush carried in 2000 and 2004 are expected to grow faster than those his opponents won. Blogger Steven Jens has run the numbers and figured out how these estimates, if they prove accurate, will affect the apportionment of congressional seats and electoral votes. This table shows the effect of the projected change on the first presidential election after the 2010, 2020 and 2030 censuses, assuming that each party's candidate carries the same states...

The Roe Effect Goes Mad We know the Roe effect has arrived now that Mad magazine has recognized it. The humor mag's March issue has a comic strip (not available online; on page 24 of the magazine) that depicts a mother and daughter having the following dialogue (emphasis omitted): Daughter: I'm going to a pro-choice rally. Mother: Really? You know, when I found out I was pregnant with you I actually considered having an abortion. Daughter: WHAT? Mother: But I couldn't find a doctor, because back then abortion was outlawed. Daughter: Why are you telling me this now? Mother: Because...

Abortion may have set America up to implode. Consider this: As politicians scramble to posture on Social Security reform, a key element is being ignored: the effect of abortion on the SS shortfall. Since Roe vs. Wade legalized abortion, creating an abortion industry, we’ve seen 45 million unborn babies aborted in this country. An estimated 17 million of them would be contributing to the economy today, paying taxes, and paying into Social Security; but they will not be there. In 2025, when Social Security is projected to be in real trouble, I wonder if anyone will stop to think about...

Let's look at the 2000 election to see what those 6,033,097 Missing Voters meant to its outcome. What would these Missing Voters have meant to the election in Florida? In the actual popular vote for president in the 2000 general election in Florida, George W. Bush was declared the winner by 537 votes. But if the 260,962 Missing Voters of Florida had been present to vote, Al Gore would have won by 45,366 votes.

For Republicans, Social Security has been the untouchable third rail, at least until President Bush promised reformation by transformation. For Democrats, the third rail has been abortion - no exceptions, no restrictions, no compromise. Now some Democrats sound as if they might be willing to alter their fundamentalist position on abortion in order to stop their electoral hemorrhaging and start winning elections again. Could they be serious? In a Dec. 23 New York Times story headlined "Democrats Weigh De-emphasizing Abortion as an Issue," several prominent Democrats suggest their party should at least open its doors to abortion opponents and make...

The National Abortion Rights Action League's youth coalition, Generation Pro-Choice, dispatched an email this week with the headline "Rumors of Gen Pro-Choicers demise are greatly exaggerated." Interestingly, it didn't say that the "rumors" were false, only that they were exaggerated. It is increasingly clear to NARAL, though subtly expressed, that the demise of the Left is imminent. I am convinced that the political strength of conservatives, so evident in the gains of the 2004 election, is a reflection of a more permanent conservative impulse that runs deeply in the American character. But conservatism is not the chief threat to liberalism;...

Democrats' endless and often clueless stewing over the GOP's latest election triumphs just keeps getting funnier. Now they’re worried, with some justification, that fertile young conservatives are replacing dried-up old liberals. Have you heard of "natalists"? They’re the left's new boogeyman. These curious Middle American creatures, it seems, care more about having a family than a summer home in the Hamptons. They tend to have conservative moral values. And ... they're reproducing! Now the media elitists are examining this phenomenon of flyover country as if it's some sort of exotic species that must be dissected, though perhaps not exterminated. The...

GOP on the Edge The Los Angeles Times notes an interesting trend in political demographics: In this month's election, President Bush carried 97 of the nation's 100 fastest-growing counties, most of them "exurban" communities that are rapidly transforming farmland into subdivisions and shopping malls on the periphery of major metropolitan areas. . . These growing areas, filled largely with younger families fleeing urban centers in search of affordable homes, are providing the GOP a foothold in blue Democratic-leaning states and solidifying the party's control over red Republican-leaning states. Many agree that in these high-growth communities, as in much of the...

Despite all the talk that the presidential election turned on the issue of moral values, it turns out that economics did indeed matter, and mattered a lot. Those households with incomes above $50,000 benefited most from President Bush's tax cuts, and they voted decisively for him. In fact, according to the surveys of voters leaving the polls, the higher the income, the more the support for Mr. Bush. And those households with incomes below $50,000 generally voted for Senator John Kerry. The poorer the household, the more likely its members voted Democratic. But the below-$50,000 group did not completely break...

We're not sure we agree. It's doubtless true that if Roe is overturned, some women seeking abortions would travel to states where it's legal, as they did in the olden days before 1973. But it's hard to imagine that people would vote with their fetus to such a degree that they'd decide where to live in the hope of aborting future pregnancies.Still, what if they do? In the short term, it would increase the population of states like Connecticut, while making "red" states even redder. But in the long run it'd be hard to sustain a culture that defines itself...

NPR is set to air a program this afternoon/evening that appears (based on the Morning Edition teaser) to deal with OpinionJournal's James Taranto's "Roe Effect". Seems Red State women are having more babies than Blue State women and NPR's looking the implications.

JUST THINK of all the time we wasted worrying about the culture gap, the religious gap, the class gap, and even the gender gap. Now we are told that the political future will rest in the fertility gap. This is the latest bulletin from the demography-is-destiny crowd. The fate of red and blue America will come down to who is filling those pink and blue nurseries. These tidings were brought to us recently by Phillip Longman, who worried in The Washington Post that liberals aren't having enough little liberals: "Conservative, religiously minded Americans are putting far more of their genes...

According to Center for Disease Control statistics, there were approximately 12,785,800 legal abortions between 1973 and 1982. If they had been born, the vast majority of these children would survive today and be eligible to vote. These voters would disproportionately have been members of Democratic-leaning constituencies. Roughly one-fifth of them (about 2,725,000) were non-white – the vast majority of these African-Americans. If they had voted at the same rate as other young non-white voters (about 40%) and following the same patterns as the rest of the nation, these voters would have contributed about 1,928,000 votes for Bush and 2,375,000 votes...

Duncan Currie of The Weekly Standard reports on a new Pace Poll that finds "new voters are trending pro-life on abortion": Pace Poll researchers slice the new voter demographic into four groups. There are those who believe "abortions should be legal and generally available" (21 percent); those who feel "regulation of abortion is necessary, although it should remain legal in many circumstances" (23 percent); those who say "abortion should be legal only in the most extreme cases, such as to save the life of the mother, incest, or rape" (41 percent); and those who think "all abortions should be made...

Is it possible that Al Gore lost the 2000 election because the very people who would have voted for him have long been dead -- killed by abortions years ago? That's the theory behind an article by writer Larry L. Eastland in the June edition of The American Spectator. The article was reprinted by The Wall Street Journal June 28. Eastland's theory is simple: Democrats are more likely to favor abortion, and their children -- like all children -- are likely to take on the voting habits of their parents. Because Democrats are more likely to abort their children, he...

The counties in red on this map has a total population of 44,000,000 (Forty-Four Million) – the number of reported surgical abortions since the Roe v Wade decision of 1973. Freeper allthingsnew e-maied it to me and asked if I could post it. Here it is for your consideration.

<p>Monday, June 28, 2004 12:01 a.m.</p> <p>These numbers will not change. They are based on individual choices made--aggregated nationally--as long as 30 years ago. Look inside these numbers at where the political impact is felt most. Do Democrats realize that millions of Missing Voters--due to the abortion policies they advocate--gave George W. Bush the margin of victory in 2000?</p>

More than 40 million legal abortions have been performed and documented in the 30 years since the U.S. Supreme Court declared abortion legal. The debate remains focused on the legality and morality of abortion. What's largely ignored is a factual analysis of the political consequences of 40 million abortions. Consider: • There were 12,274,368 in the Voting Age Population of 205,815,000 missing from the 2000 presidential election, because of abortions from 1973-82. • In this year's election, there will be 18,336,576 in the Voting Age Population missing because of abortions between 1972 and 1986. • In the 2008 election, 24,408,960...

THE ROE EFFECT The Empty Cradle Will Rock How abortion is costing the Democrats voters--literally. BY LARRY L. EASTLAND Monday, June 28, 2004 12:01 a.m. EDT More than 40 million legal abortions have been performed and documented in the 30 years since the U.S. Supreme Court declared abortion legal. The debate remains focused on the legality and morality of abortion. What's largely ignored is a factual analysis of the political consequences of 40 million abortions. Consider: • There were 12,274,368 in the Voting Age Population of 205,815,000 missing from the 2000 presidential election, because of abortions from 1973-82. • In...