Free Republic

Trump will be sworn in as the 47th president of the United States on January 20. His inauguration is expected to be attended by over 200,000 people, The Washington Post reported, citing local and federal officials—and it looks like they need to bundle up for the ceremony held outside the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C. On January 20, the temperature in Washington, D.C., will be roughly 21 degrees Fahrenheit but feel like 11 degrees around noon, when the inauguration proceedings begin, according to WJLA. Temperatures will increase later in the afternoon to 25 degrees, but it will feel like 14...

A true American presidential wipeout in 1984 for Ronald Reagan.

An election forecaster who previously predicted a landslide victory for Vice President Kamala Harris has switched his prediction to former President Donald Trump. Thomas Miller, a data scientist who accurately predicted the 2020 presidential election result, previously backed Harris to win in 2024, telling Newsweek in September that the Democrat was on track to win more than 400 votes in the Electoral College, according to his model. The model, which relies on betting odds as opposed to polling data aggregates, is now saying that Trump is the favorite, with its most recent prediction estimating the Republican could win 345 votes...

For weeks before the presidential election, the gurus of public opinion polling were nearly unanimous in their findings. In survey after survey, they agreed that the coming choice between President Jimmy Carter and Challenger Ronald Reagan was “too close to call.” A few points at most, they said, separated the two major contenders.

Not only have polls and prediction markets tilted recently toward Donald Trump winning the presidential election, they are also pointing to Republicans flipping the Senate and retaining control of the House. A GOP sweep would give Trump a freer hand to enact his agenda. While U.S. presidents have broad authority on immigration and tariffs, changes to tax and spending policies would require congressional approval. The latest polling analysis from 538 gave Trump a 53-in-100 chance of winning the election versus 47 out of 100 for Kamala Harris. It also gave Republicans an 87-in-100 chance of taking the Senate majority away...

A new Fox News poll on immigration shows something surprising; two-thirds of voters favor mass deportation of illegal aliens. The surprising part? That the percentage is that low.At rallies across the country, former President Donald Trump has pledged to enact mass deportations of illegal immigrants, something he vowed to do during his first term but never fully realized.The latest Fox News Poll, released Thursday, finds two-thirds of voters favor such a policy – exactly where it was last December and up 15 points since the question was first asked in 2015. Nearly one-third opposes mass deportations.Since 2015, support for deporting...

Fox News host Harris Faulkner expressed surprise during a town hall with former President Donald Trump at how many women in the audience were worried about biological men playing women’s sports. Faulkner hosted a town hall with an all-female audience, which aired Wednesday on “The Faulkner Focus.” She noted that “transgender issues” had become a major part of the campaign cycle before asking the audience how many worried about how it pertains to athletics. “How many of you are worried about biological men and boys competing against women and girls in sports?” Faulkner asked the audience. “That’s almost – that...

The mainstream media has long been a cheerleader for the Democrats. Its coverage of Donald Trump is overwhelmingly negative, while its coverage of Kamala Harris is so positive and glowing that it could blind you. The media will also give extensive coverage to any poll that shows Harris ahead and dismiss or even ignore polls that look good for Trump. However, in the past week or so, there's been an attitude change as polls have shifted to Trump. Last week, Mika Brzezinski, the co-host of “Morning Joe,” admitted that “There’s this fear that Donald Trump is poised for victory" because...

Only time will tell which polling methodology was correct, but Donald J. Trump is performing better than ever, especially in the Midwest. Kamala Harris isn’t breaking away like she needs to regarding countering the underestimated Trump vote. Joe Biden was ahead of Trump by several points in the waning weeks of the 2020 election and still just squeezed by; he only won Pennsylvania by 80,000 votes. It wasn’t necessarily a landslide. Trump only needed 46,000 votes to be re-elected in 2020, so Harris only being ahead by two to three points isn’t enough. With the latest slew of polling data,...

In his first-ever bid for political office, former actor Ronald Reagan was elected governor of California in 1966, defeating two-term incumbent Gov. Pat Brown in a landslide. There was good reason for Democrats to fear that a radical right-winger had taken control of what even then was the nation’s most populous state. The onetime New Deal Democrat had become a very conservative Republican who often echoed the conspiratorial complaints of the John Birch Society. He regularly warned that social welfare legislation such as Medicare and Medicaid (“socialized medicine” to Reagan) and civil rights laws were going to lead to the...

There’s a good chance former President Donald Trump will need the fireworks twice-failed presidential candidate Hillary Clinton planned to use in 2016 after a new poll shows his probability of defeating Vice President Kamala Harris has risen by ten points. A J.L. Partners election model is making a bold prediction ahead of the 2024 election. Its forecast found that Trump’s chances of securing enough votes to win in November have increased by four points since Monday and nine points since the presidential debate. The model considered the latest poll data, years' worth of election results, and economic indicators to calculate...

Cardinal Timothy Dolan slammed Kamala Harris' surprise move to skip the annual Al Smith dinner, while sending a warning about the last candidate who sat it out. The dinner benefitting Catholic Charities traditionally has been used to promote collegiality and good humor, with presidential candidates from both parties appearing on the same night and trading barbs. Donald Trump has attended the dinner in both 2016 and 2020, while Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden - albeit online - also attended when running for president. Dolan, the Archbishop of New York City, said he was 'disappointed' in Harris' decision to instead campaign...

As Twitchy readers know, Kamala Harris skipped the Al Smith dinner. Of note, she is the first presidential candidate to do so in 40 years (since Walter Mondale skipped in 1984) which is really not a great look for a candidate many people already don't like or trust. Chuck Schumer must know this because he tried smoothing things over with Cardinal Dolan about her missing the dinner. In other words, he gossiped about Kamala behind her back to make excuses for why she wasn't there. And gave up a bit too much info that Dolan was more than happy to...

The IRS agent union today endorsed Kamala Harris for President. “She supports the issues that matter most to our members,” said the IRS agent union president. No doubt. As Vice President, Harris cast the deciding vote to supersize the IRS, breaking the 50-50 Senate tie on the costly “Inflation Reduction Act” legislation. And the Harris-proposed tax increases will kill jobs in the private sector but create jobs for IRS agents. Agents certainly appreciate her call to make the IRS even larger and more powerful if she wins the presidency. Agents will be hired and deployed to implement the $5 trillion...

The shift of two major New York City suburbs to the political right could be a boon for former President Trump on Election Day, according to insiders on both sides of the aisle. Traditionally purple, if not leaning blue, Long Island’s Nassau and Suffolk counties went solidly red in the 2022 midterms even though state voter rolls show Democrats outnumber Republicans in both places. And that may be a bellwether of where things are headed in similar communities around the country

For most days in 2024 I repeated verbally and in print that “if the election were held today, Donald Trump would win.” That was while Joe Biden was his opponent. Now that Kamala Harris is in the race, things have changed dramatically. In very early 2022, I expressed in this column my confusion about why Kamala’s approval ratings were so low (‘From the Great Beyond, Spiro’s Laughing at Kamala’, TNH, Jan. 8, 2022). I wrote: “I don’t have a particular problem with Kamala…when I think of how Kamala is compared to Hillary Clinton in terms of unlikability, I don’t think...

MILWAUKEE — When the Republicans put the final gavel to the wreckage of their convention in Cleveland eight years ago, they were in a state of nuclear meltdown.Yes, they had a nominee in reality television star Donald Trump. But the party itself was a collection of warring factions that agreed on little by way of principles, beyond their collective desire to keep Hillary Clinton out of the White House. Strategist David Urban, who helped organize the 2016 convention for Trump, recalls that the floor of Quicken Loans Arena felt like “enemy territory.” Tensions were thick between Trump’s campaign and the...

The new poll shows former President Trump leading President Biden in Virginia by 3 percentage points

Video with Ferfal's take on the assassination attempt on Donald Trump. It's YouTube, so who knows how long it will stay up?

"In this video, I go into how a Trump landslide in 2024 is GUARANTEED!"