Posted on 10/04/2024 8:50:19 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Only time will tell which polling methodology was correct, but Donald J. Trump is performing better than ever, especially in the Midwest. Kamala Harris isn’t breaking away like she needs to regarding countering the underestimated Trump vote. Joe Biden was ahead of Trump by several points in the waning weeks of the 2020 election and still just squeezed by; he only won Pennsylvania by 80,000 votes. It wasn’t necessarily a landslide. Trump only needed 46,000 votes to be re-elected in 2020, so Harris only being ahead by two to three points isn’t enough.
With the latest slew of polling data, CNN’s poll of polls gives Trump a near-70 percent chance of winning the 2024 election:
CNN's poll of polls gives Trump a nearly 70% chance of winning the election (68.4% to Kamala's 30.9% to be exact).
32 days to Election Day.
Harris-Walz was given almost the full backing of the media
T-ball interviews
Blatantly biased debate moderators
It may not matter...
pic.twitter.com/Rbq9Xur4op— Joe Concha (@JoeConchaTV) October 3, 2024
CNN Senior Data Reporter shows a map of what the electoral college would look like if the polls were off to the same degree they were in 2020.
The result: 312 electoral votes for Donald Trump. pic.twitter.com/oVBLfpfqc1— johnny maga (@_johnnymaga) September 20, 2024
What’s glaring is the underperformance by Kamala Harris among core Democratic voter groups. She’s woefully underwater with union voters, projected to be the worst performing Democrat in a generation. She’s grossly underperforming among black and Jewish voters, too. Is she doing better than Biden in some crosstabs? Sure, but having a pulse isn’t a high benchmark.
Don’t let up for a second, but it’s not doom and gloom territory which was where we were at this point four years ago.
Many pollsters have said that they have corrected the polls for the Trump errors seen in 2016 and 2020, and that the polls are no longer under reporting Trump’s numbers.
DO NOT BELIEVE POLLS
They can lull you to sleep if they seem so good.
Keep fighting on the theme we can lose if we don’t.
How is this “shocking”?
No matter how it's painted the “cheat” has been ongoing.
BTTT
Trump’s high numbers are even more relevant.....Harris had to be
a breakaway hit by now in order to make the steal look believable.
Everyone knows how they are voting, the campaign is over. Check out Gold Crown Politics, a guy who doesn’t use polls to pick a winner. He has a state-by-state take and has Trump winning with 313 electoral votes. He’s interesting.
RE: Check out Gold Crown Politics,
How good is his track record?
RE: How is this “shocking”?
Shocking to those looking at mainstream media and college polls like NBC, Quinnipiac, etc.
p
PRAY AND VOTE LIKE YOUR LIFE DEPENDS ON IT....BECAUSE IT DOES!!!
Harris is advertising nationally, while Trump is focusing all his efforts in the swing states.
We will see which was the smarter choice in a month
“Many pollsters have said that they have corrected the polls for the Trump errors seen in 2016 and 2020, and that the polls are no longer under reporting Trump’s numbers.” Ha ha ha ha ha Oh stop it my sides hurt!
These lying pos have been OVER sampling Democrat/communists every time they do their phony polls.
They load up with responders they know will say DEMOCRAT and make believe it is an on the level poll.
This poll of polls crap is super bogus. Real Clear Politics uses any poll that under cuts Republicans even if it is US Mailed to them and written in crayon.
Kommie Dingbat has written a new raised in on a lawnmower speech.
This is before the exposure of FEMA corruptly funding preferred contractors to spend all of their money providing services for undocumented aspiring citizens of the US and stiffing tax paying American citizen victims of actual disasters.
It doesn’t look like people in western NC will be able to vote this year.
Melania just made me a 3rd Party vote in Michigan.
RE: Melania just made me a 3rd Party vote in Michigan.
Melania is not on the ballot.
However her hsuband is, who has also pivoted to more promotion of abortion.
I cannot talk to others about voting on principles if I myself abandon them.
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