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Analyzing the 1988 Election to Predict What Might Happen This Time
thenationalherald ^ | 09/02/2024 | Constantinos E. Scaros

Posted on 09/04/2024 1:38:51 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

For most days in 2024 I repeated verbally and in print that “if the election were held today, Donald Trump would win.” That was while Joe Biden was his opponent. Now that Kamala Harris is in the race, things have changed dramatically.

In very early 2022, I expressed in this column my confusion about why Kamala’s approval ratings were so low (‘From the Great Beyond, Spiro’s Laughing at Kamala’, TNH, Jan. 8, 2022). I wrote: “I don’t have a particular problem with Kamala…when I think of how Kamala is compared to Hillary Clinton in terms of unlikability, I don’t think the two are even in the same league. Hillary’s incessant shrillness…makes Kamala’s cackle seem almost endearing by comparison…I don’t get why she’s so vilified…”

Well, two-and-a-half years later, it looks like the rest of America’s caught on, and suddenly Kamala is the new darling of presidential politics.

To this point, even factoring in her momentum since July, the race remains very close. I think any prediction before the September 10 debate as to who’ll win is nothing short of fortunetelling. There’s really not even a substantially certain “if the election were held today” moment to be had. Perhaps a good way to foresee the November 5 outcome is to reexamine the 1988 election, between George H.W. Bush and Michael Dukakis, as a guide for what may happen this time around.

(Excerpt) Read more at thenationalherald.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 1988; analyzing; election; happen; kamala; lyinkamala; reagan1984; worthlesskamala
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If this country was not full of morons 2024 would be a 1988 landslide.
1 posted on 09/04/2024 1:38:51 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27

If this country was not full of morons 2024 would be a 1988 landslide.

It’s coming sooner than everyone thinks....I’m all cash and gold. Eyes on China.


2 posted on 09/04/2024 1:44:01 PM PDT by wardamneagle
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To: ChicagoConservative27

What, do you think it’s going to be an honest and fair election?


3 posted on 09/04/2024 1:45:01 PM PDT by Aut Pax Aut Bellum (2024 is going to be a rough ride.)
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To: Aut Pax Aut Bellum

My bet is that Kamala will continue to be a laughingstock, she will embarrass herself endlessly, she will be deeply unpopular, and she will win easily with the greatest number of votes in US history.

And Trump will say, “Wait a minute ...” and the FBI will toss him in a jail cell for his “second insurrection”.

And then the government will go full Gestapo and will be unrecognizable by February 2025.


4 posted on 09/04/2024 1:52:28 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (My decisions about people are based almost entirely on skin color. I learned this from Democrats.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I was listening to Bill O’Reily last night and I take a good deal of what he says with a grain to salt but he was talking about Trump and he is being on the defensive at this stage of the game and he cited stats on the last 50 years of elections and Candidates who were on the offensive wound up being the winner. I do think O’ Reily and Trump talk regularly and hope this has been talked about and the Debate if it happens will tell the tale, but I think she will decline at the last minute, but he needs this debate, and she knows it. Of course, she will take a huge hit but wonder if her handlers are willing to gamble on Voters forgetting it? Guess we will soon see.


5 posted on 09/04/2024 1:54:06 PM PDT by dpetty121263
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Alalyze 1972.


6 posted on 09/04/2024 1:56:09 PM PDT by Ge0ffrey
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Kamala is doing as well as she is because she didn’t have to go through a primary and pander to the left.


7 posted on 09/04/2024 1:57:15 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: ClearCase_guy

I would like to encourage Kamala to ride in a tank with a protective helmet on. Show us how good a commander in chief you will be.


8 posted on 09/04/2024 1:57:50 PM PDT by ChronicMA
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To: dpetty121263

There will be a debate. Kamala will lose. However the day after, Bush and Cheney will endorse her.


9 posted on 09/04/2024 1:58:23 PM PDT by Ge0ffrey
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To: Ge0ffrey

I am not convinced... https://thenationalpulse.com/2024/09/04/report-kamala-is-still-trying-to-renegotiate-the-debate-rules-heres-why/


10 posted on 09/04/2024 2:00:01 PM PDT by dpetty121263
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To: Ge0ffrey

I think at the last minute she will drop if she can’t get a rule change..or make it look like Trump chickened out.


11 posted on 09/04/2024 2:04:08 PM PDT by dpetty121263
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To: dpetty121263

A box of salt.

Trump isn’t behind or on defense


12 posted on 09/04/2024 2:09:05 PM PDT by Fai Mao (The US government is run by pedophiles and Perverts for pedophiles and perverts.)
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To: Fai Mao

It is the appearance of but if the election were held today he would win, may not in a few weeks.


13 posted on 09/04/2024 2:16:47 PM PDT by dpetty121263
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To: ChicagoConservative27

In 1988, a majority of World War II veterans and their wives were still with us. Over 99% are gone now, although they are still voting in Chicago, Detroit,Philadelphia, New York, and Los Angeles, among other places. Not surprisingly, the ghosts of the Greatest Generation are voting 99%+ Democrat.


14 posted on 09/04/2024 2:23:45 PM PDT by Wallace T.
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To: ChronicMA

15 posted on 09/04/2024 2:42:46 PM PDT by DoodleBob (Gravity's waiting period is about 9.8 m/s²)
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To: Wallace T.

Yes, democrats have made WW II veterans immortal. They will be voting well into 22nd century.


16 posted on 09/04/2024 2:45:03 PM PDT by Bobbyvotes (I will be voting for Trump/whoever he picks VP in November. If he loses in 2024, country is toast.)
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To: ChronicMA
Other exact moments when political careers imploded…


17 posted on 09/04/2024 3:07:00 PM PDT by DoodleBob (Gravity's waiting period is about 9.8 m/s²)
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To: DoodleBob

1988. Dukakis was scared of Jesse Jackson. Of the 7 dwarfs only AlnGore stood out. He had a conservative foreign policy and he stood up to Jackson. Jackson a ‘serious’ VP candidate? Come on. Biden’s strength was his ‘oratory skills’ until he did his impersonation of Neil Kinnock.


18 posted on 09/04/2024 3:24:58 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: dpetty121263

O’Reilly is a buffoon and Trump is not on defense. She’s peaked and is on the downslide and whatever BS polls from CNN or Bloomberg that are trying to prop her up is media disinformation. He is up in Rasmussen, Democracy Institute, was ahead in the last 3 Michigan polls, is ahead in PA. She is campaigning in NH today. Credible analysts such as Mark Halperin and Rich Baris believe she is headed to Biden territory which is a 2-3 pt deficits nationally. To even base any opinion on what O’Reilly says is not based on fact.


19 posted on 09/04/2024 3:29:14 PM PDT by usafa92 (Donald J. Trump, 45th and 47th President of the United States of America!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

“Analyzing the 1988 Election to Predict What Might Happen This Time”

Analyze the fraud committed in the stolen 2920 election swing states and you will see how the 2024 election will be stolen.


20 posted on 09/04/2024 4:31:10 PM PDT by antidemoncrat
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