Free Republic

September 6, 2004--We have been flooded with e-mails asking (in varying tones of politeness) why our poll results seem different from those released by Time and Newsweek. There are two basic explanations, one involving our polling data and one involving the newsmagazines. For those who need to know the answer before the explanation, the bottom line is that the President is ahead by 4 to 5 points at this time. That's a significant improvement over the past few weeks, but not a double digit lead. Our current poll (showing the President ahead by just over a point) includes a Saturday...

The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 47% of the vote and Senator John F. Kerry with 44%. When leaners are included, Bush has 49% and Kerry 48%. The gain for Bush from yesterday's poll results may be statistical noise or a reaction to the Reagan funeral. Unless the "lead" is maintained for more than three days, it is unlikely to reflect a real shift from a campaign that has been deadlocked for months. As the nation says farewell to our 40th President today, we note that 67% of Americans have a favorable opinion...

Bush 45% Kerry 45% Election 2004 Presidential Ballot Bush 45% Kerry 45% Other 5% Not Sure 5% RasmussenReports.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Monday May 24, 2004--Once again, for the fourth straight day, the Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 45% of the vote and Senator John F. Kerry earning 45%. As the President prepares to deliver the first of several speeches aimed at defining the situation in Iraq, he is favored by men, 49% to 43%. However, women prefer Senator Kerry by a 47% to 41% margin. Voters are also evenly divided as to whether they trust Bush...

Thursday May 20, 2004--After reaching its lowest level of the years in recent days, the President's Job Approval rating has moved back up to 52%. Forty-seven percent (47%) disapprove. For most of April and May, the President's ratings have stayed at 51% or 52%. His numbers have fallen during periods of especially bad news from Iraq. Several people have asked why the Rasmussen Reports Job Approval number is higher than some other reported figures. As with most polling questions, the answer can be found in the details. For example, while it has been widely reported that Zogby finds the President's...

Kerry 46% Bush 44% Election 2004 Presidential Ballot Bush 43% Kerry 45% Other 5% Not Sure 6% RasmussenReports.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rasmussen Reports Home Monday May 17, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John F. Kerry with 45% of the vote and President George W. Bush earning 43%. Kerry has been ahead or tied on thirteen of the last fifteen days. Both candidates have stayed within 3 percentage points of the 45% mark every single day for more than ten weeks. Today, the President's Job Approval reached its lowest level of the year at 48% among likely voters. At...

Bush 45% Kerry 47% Other 4% Not Sure 4% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Friday May 14, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John F. Kerry with 47% of the vote and President George W. Bush earning 45%. Both candidates have stayed within 3 percentage points of the 45% mark every single day for ten weeks. Other Rasmussen Reports survey data shows that half of all Americans expect the situation in Iraq to get worse over the next six months. Also, most Americans believe that the soldiers involved in Iraqi prisoner abuse should be court-martialed. Only 31% of Americans believe Defense...

Bush 46% Kerry 46% Other 3% Not Sure 4% RasmussenReports.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thursday May 13, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll is tied once again--Senator John F. Kerry and President George W. Bush each earn 46% of the vote. Senator Kerry has now been ahead or tied for ten of the last eleven days. The tracking poll results have been remarkably stable. For 14 of the past 15 days, Kerry has been at 45% or 46% of the vote. With the exception of a few days following the initial headlines of Iraqi prisoner abuse, President Bush has been between 44%...

Election 2004 Presidential Ballot Bush 44% Kerry 46% Other 4% Not Sure 5% RasmussenReports.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rasmussen Reports Home Friday May 07, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John F. Kerry with 46% of the vote and President George W. Bush each earning 44%. This survey data is based upon interviews conducted before Friday's upbeat report on job creation. It is not clear what, if any, immediate impact that report will have on the campaign. Both candidates have remained within three percentage points of 45% every night for more than nine weeks. Supplemental data is available for RR...

Thursday May 06, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows another tie with Senator John F. Kerry and  President George W. Bush each earning 45% of the vote.   The return to a tie comes from dropping Sunday night's sample, which was particularly strong for Senator Kerry. As a result, it appears that Kerry's "lead" in recent days was merely statistical noise.   Both candidates have remained within three percentage points of 45% on every single one of the 64 nights since Kerry wrapped up the Democratic nomination. Neither candidate has held a three-point advantage for four consecutive...

For the second straight day, the Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John F. Kerry with 46% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 43%. This is the first time Kerry has held a three point edge in nearly a month (since April 7 and 8). He has not held a three point advantage for three consecutive days since March. For Rasmussen Reports Premium Members, we have just released new composite data for the battleground states of Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. To sign up for our Premium Service, click HERE. If you'd like more information, please click...

By a 47% to 41% margin, voters say they trust Bush more than Kerry when it comes to the economy. April 30, 2004--A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 50% trust President Bush more than Senator Kerry when it comes to national defense and the War on Terror. Just 38% now prefer Kerry on these issues. From the President's perspective, those numbers are a little better than last week, but not as good as two weeks ago. John Kerry's talk of going to the United Nations first as an Iraq policy is unlikely to be well received by many voters. By...