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Drama continues about DeSantis' next move as the money moves away from him. Did Florida’s Governor fumble his shot to run the Pentagon? That’s what investors in a prominent prediction market seem to believe Saturday morning. Per Polymarket, Ron DeSantis has fallen back behind Pete Hegseth, who is the current Donald Trump nominee to be Defense Secretary. A DeSantis ‘Yes’ share is priced at 23 cents, with a Hegseth Yes at 43 cents. DeSantis led in the betting market until Friday evening, with speculation swirling that he might replace the embattled former Fox News host as Trump’s pick for the...

The Biden Justice Department has decided to go out the way it came in: as a blunt weapon wielded against perceived political enemies. That, at least, is what the FBI raid against Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan looks like. At 6 a.m. Wednesday, agents stormed his home to demand his phone and other devices. Why? Officially, as part of a criminal probe into the platform for allowing US users to bet on politics via VPN, in contravention of a previous agreement Polymarket made with regulators at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. That’s pretty deep in the weeds for a predawn raid....

FBI agents raided the Manhattan apartment of Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan early Wednesday — just a week after the election betting platform accurately predicted Donald Trump’s stunning victory, The Post has learned. The 26-year-old entrepreneur was roused from bed in his Soho pad at 6 a.m. by US law enforcement personnel who demanded he turn over his phone and other electronic devices, a source close to the matter told The Post. It’s “grand political theater at its worst,” the source told The Post. “They could have asked his lawyer for any of these things. Instead, they staged a so-called raid...

The FBI seized Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan’s phone and electronics early Wednesday morning — just a week after the election-betting platform successfully predicted President-elect Donald Trump’s win, The Post has learned. The 26-year-old entrepreneur was woken up at 6:00 a.m. in his Soho home by law US enforcement officers who demanded his phone and electronics, a source close to the matter told The Post. It’s “grand political theater at its worst,” the source told The Post. “They could have asked his lawyer for any of these things. Instead, they staged a so-called raid so they can leak it to the...

We will find out how accurate PolyMarket is. I am posted this as a reference fot tonight and in the coming days

Donald Trump has lost close to 10 points on the Polymarket betting site in less than 24 hours.

It’s still anybody’s guess who will win the race for the White House but one prominent prediction market, reflecting bets on the outcome, is suggesting that there may be momentum for Kamala Harris. Thomas Peterffy, founder and chairman of Interactive Brokers, said in a statement Friday morning that Harris “engineered a surprisingly ferocious comeback” on the company’s ForecastTrader platform on Thursday night. He noted that the probability of her defeating Donald Trump rose from 38% a day earlier to 44% late Thursday, adding that there was volume of about $40 million for the Harris trade. ForecastTrader is one of several...

As Election Day approaches, the prediction market Polymarket has drawn attention with its $2.7 billion betting pool on the 2024 presidential race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Currently, Polymarket’s odds show Trump with a 66% chance of victory. However, a recent analysis from blockchain experts suggests nearly one-third of this activity may be due to wash trading, casting doubt on the platform’s reliability as a predictive tool. Possible evidence of artificial trading on Polymarket Blockchain research firms Chaos Labs and Inca Digital, known for digital market security and data analysis, recently reported findings that question Polymarket’s reported $2.7 billion...

This is NOT a voter poll - This is a Gambler Money poll - Individual state betting - Pennsylvania: Trump 59% - Kamala 41% - Michigan: Trump 56% - Kamala 44% - Wisconsin: Trump 56% - Kamala 44% - Nevada: Trump 50% - Kamala 50%

This is NOT a voter poll - This is a Gambler Money poll - National Election poll has $1.63 billion in wagers - Individual state wagers show Trump taking the lead for the first time in Michigan and Wisconsin - Trump wagers in Pennsylvania have favored Trump for several weeks

I have been watching polymarket for a month. Until 3 days ago. Kams had been leading by one point --- For the 20 previous days. Starting 3 days ago DJT's polymarket score started rising. NOW Trump is leading by about 7 percentage points. The Biden-Kamala FEMA disaster in NC and other states must be a factor. Showing how DEI incompetent and stupid they are. President Trump would have been cracking the whip on FEMA and other Federal agencies. Some of this incompetence is due to these Federal "workers" being working from home scammers. Caution is that with polymarket, you can...

This is NOT a Voter Poll - This is a Gambling Money Poll - Pennsylvania: Trump 50 - Kamala 50 - Nevada: Trump 50 - Kamala 50 - North Carolina: Trump 56 - Kamala 44 - Georgia: Trump 61 - Kamala 39 - Arizona: Trump 63 - Kamala 37

Presidential Election Winner 2024. Donald Trump. 55%. Joe Biden. 39%.

Following speculation that former President Donald Trump might select Republican Vivek Ramaswamy as his vice presidential candidate, Ramaswamy’s chances have significantly increased on prediction platforms like Polymarket. Over the last three days, his odds have jumped by 1,100%. Ramaswamy Gains Momentum in VP Stakes on Prediction Markets On Tuesday, the internet buzzed with ongoing speculation that Republican presidential hopeful Donald Trump would name Vivek Ramaswamy as his running mate. One piece of the rumor mill claims that Trump announced his VP choice would be present at the upcoming debate against the current U.S. President Joe Biden. Furthermore, after Ramaswamy withdrew...

Individual state betting: Trump leads in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona...In Nevada, Trump 50% - Kamala 50%...Please remember...these are NOT voter polls...These are "Gambling Money" polls.

Polymarket is the largest prediction market in the world - This is NOT a voter poll - This is a "Gambler Money" poll - Pennsylvania: Trump 51% - Kamala 49% - Nevada: Trump 50% - Kamala 50%

Odds of winning the first presidential debate between Trump and Harris are in one candidate's favor. The stakes will be high in the first presidential debate between former President Trump and Vice President Harris on Tuesday night, and multiple betting markets have already picked a clear favorite who they believe will be crowned the victor. As of Tuesday afternoon, traders on Polymarket gave Harris a 75% chance of winning the debate, according to the polls, compared to Trump's odds of 25%. BetUS also favored the Democrat over the Republican ahead of the candidates taking the debate stage, with implied probabilities...

Live and accurate forecasts by the world's largest prediction market.

I just learned of the existence of this betting platform. The current election odds there are Trump 52% Harris 47%. Per Wikipedia: Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform that allows users to place bets on world events. Users buy and sell shares using cryptocurrency to bet on the likelihood of future events taking place. Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, Polymarket is an online prediction market platform that would allow users to trade on the outcome of world events. In June 2023, Mother Jones reported that interest around the company had increased after a tweet about the outcome of...