Posted on 10/17/2024 7:18:32 AM PDT by zeestephen
This is NOT a voter poll - This is a Gambler Money poll - Individual state betting - Pennsylvania: Trump 59% - Kamala 41% - Michigan: Trump 56% - Kamala 44% - Wisconsin: Trump 56% - Kamala 44% - Nevada: Trump 50% - Kamala 50%
(Excerpt) Read more at polymarket.com ...
I trust gambling sites more than polls.
Real stakes.
These numbers are not of any value. IIRC, the betting markets were at 90%+ for Hillary in 2016 on Election Day.
I trust gambling sites more than polls.
Real stakes.
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Me, too.
When someone says, “it’s not about the money”, it’s about the money.
This is great news.
Trump takes NY. Only down by 15.
If only that were to be the tally on 11/6/2024. ๐๐๐
Yes, they even paid out bets on Hillary before Election Day.
Good, but remember: the bookies were so sure that Mrs. Bill Clinton would win in 2016 that they paid off early.
(I wonder if the gamblers had to pay back the money that was dispensed before the election.)
Last go around the vote difference was approx 33,000 votes in NV. How many “new” voters have arrived here in the last 4 years? Of course not counting illegal alien voters. ๐ณ๐๐
I forgot to post this...
National Election - total betting - $2.03 billion
“These numbers are not of any value. IIRC, the betting markets were at 90%+ for Hillary in 2016 on Election Day.”
Fair enough, but Commie-La ‘24 doesn’t exactly remind me of Trump ‘16. Back then, Trump was consistently 7-10 points behind Hillary in pretty much every poll, across the board. It’s a very brave contrarian gambler who’ll put up real money in the face of that. And yet many of us knew that there was real enthusiasm for Trump that wasn’t necessarily going to be reflected in polls. Are there legions of secretly enthused Kamala voters waiting in the wings to sweep her to victory? I doubt it. If she wins, it’ll be because they found enough phony ballots at 2:00 am after election day.
43% chance of GOP sweeping White House, Senate and House...hm.
Yeah, this is a critical time for Kamala. After last night, there’s going to be a lot of infighting and angst.
If it gets to bad, donors will abandon her and the DNC will focus on down ballots
Where is Kamala’s joy now? Lots can still happen (and no doubt will) before Guy Fawkes Night.
True, however...
No one - anywhere - predicted Trump would win Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, in 2016.
If Kamalamadingdong’s percent odds number in the Gambler Money poll keeps falling it’s eventually going to fall below her numerical IQ.
Doom spiral for her.
MI is so corrupt. MI would need to be very too big to rig.
a lot of gambling money was lost back then
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