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Polymarket - Presidential Election - Trump 62.4% - Kamala 37.6%
Polymarket ^ | 17 October 2024

Posted on 10/17/2024 7:18:32 AM PDT by zeestephen

This is NOT a voter poll - This is a Gambler Money poll - Individual state betting - Pennsylvania: Trump 59% - Kamala 41% - Michigan: Trump 56% - Kamala 44% - Wisconsin: Trump 56% - Kamala 44% - Nevada: Trump 50% - Kamala 50%

(Excerpt) Read more at polymarket.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: gambling; polymarket
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1 posted on 10/17/2024 7:18:32 AM PDT by zeestephen
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To: zeestephen

I trust gambling sites more than polls.

Real stakes.


2 posted on 10/17/2024 7:20:30 AM PDT by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: zeestephen

These numbers are not of any value. IIRC, the betting markets were at 90%+ for Hillary in 2016 on Election Day.


3 posted on 10/17/2024 7:20:36 AM PDT by Future Snake Eater (Plans are worthless, but planning is everything. - Dwight Eisenhower, 1957)
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To: dp0622

I trust gambling sites more than polls.

Real stakes.

<><>

Me, too.


4 posted on 10/17/2024 7:24:02 AM PDT by laplata (They want each crisis to take the greatest toll possible.)
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To: zeestephen

When someone says, “it’s not about the money”, it’s about the money.

This is great news.


5 posted on 10/17/2024 7:26:31 AM PDT by GOPJ (If the government won't protect the vote, border or citizens, why have that government?-nullandvoid)
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To: zeestephen

Trump takes NY. Only down by 15.


6 posted on 10/17/2024 7:28:08 AM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: zeestephen

If only that were to be the tally on 11/6/2024. ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿ˜Š๐Ÿ‘


7 posted on 10/17/2024 7:28:31 AM PDT by rktman (Destroy America from within ? Check! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this๐Ÿ’ฉ? ๐Ÿšซ๐Ÿ’‰! ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‘!)
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To: Future Snake Eater

Yes, they even paid out bets on Hillary before Election Day.


8 posted on 10/17/2024 7:28:43 AM PDT by philippa
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To: zeestephen

Good, but remember: the bookies were so sure that Mrs. Bill Clinton would win in 2016 that they paid off early.

(I wonder if the gamblers had to pay back the money that was dispensed before the election.)


9 posted on 10/17/2024 7:29:40 AM PDT by libertylover (Our biggest problem, by far, is that almost all of big media is AGENDA-DRIVEN, not-truth driven.)
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To: rktman

Last go around the vote difference was approx 33,000 votes in NV. How many “new” voters have arrived here in the last 4 years? Of course not counting illegal alien voters. ๐Ÿ˜ณ๐Ÿ˜Š๐Ÿ‘


10 posted on 10/17/2024 7:31:42 AM PDT by rktman (Destroy America from within ? Check! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this๐Ÿ’ฉ? ๐Ÿšซ๐Ÿ’‰! ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‘!)
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To: zeestephen

I forgot to post this...

National Election - total betting - $2.03 billion


11 posted on 10/17/2024 7:32:58 AM PDT by zeestephen (Trump "Lost" By 43,000 Votes - Spread Across Three States - GA, WI, AZ)
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To: Future Snake Eater

“These numbers are not of any value. IIRC, the betting markets were at 90%+ for Hillary in 2016 on Election Day.”

Fair enough, but Commie-La ‘24 doesn’t exactly remind me of Trump ‘16. Back then, Trump was consistently 7-10 points behind Hillary in pretty much every poll, across the board. It’s a very brave contrarian gambler who’ll put up real money in the face of that. And yet many of us knew that there was real enthusiasm for Trump that wasn’t necessarily going to be reflected in polls. Are there legions of secretly enthused Kamala voters waiting in the wings to sweep her to victory? I doubt it. If she wins, it’ll be because they found enough phony ballots at 2:00 am after election day.


12 posted on 10/17/2024 7:36:59 AM PDT by irishjuggler
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To: zeestephen

43% chance of GOP sweeping White House, Senate and House...hm.


13 posted on 10/17/2024 7:39:29 AM PDT by far sider
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To: far sider

Yeah, this is a critical time for Kamala. After last night, there’s going to be a lot of infighting and angst.

If it gets to bad, donors will abandon her and the DNC will focus on down ballots


14 posted on 10/17/2024 7:41:49 AM PDT by struggle
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To: zeestephen

Where is Kamala’s joy now? Lots can still happen (and no doubt will) before Guy Fawkes Night.


15 posted on 10/17/2024 7:43:18 AM PDT by PghBaldy (12/14/12 - 930am -rampage begins... 12/15/12 - 1030am - Obama team scouts photo-op locations.)
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To: Future Snake Eater
Re: "These numbers are not of any value...Markets were at 90%+ for Hillary in 2016."

True, however...

No one - anywhere - predicted Trump would win Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, in 2016.

16 posted on 10/17/2024 7:43:22 AM PDT by zeestephen (Trump "Lost" By 43,000 Votes - Spread Across Three States - GA, WI, AZ)
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To: zeestephen

If Kamalamadingdong’s percent odds number in the Gambler Money poll keeps falling it’s eventually going to fall below her numerical IQ.


17 posted on 10/17/2024 7:46:57 AM PDT by Carl Vehse
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To: struggle

Doom spiral for her.


18 posted on 10/17/2024 7:51:15 AM PDT by maro (MAGA!)
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To: zeestephen
Michigan: Trump 56% - Kamala 44%

MI is so corrupt. MI would need to be very too big to rig.

19 posted on 10/17/2024 7:53:25 AM PDT by FreeReign
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To: Future Snake Eater

a lot of gambling money was lost back then


20 posted on 10/17/2024 7:54:36 AM PDT by xp38
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