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Friday, during Fox News Channel’s “Hannity,” Trafalgar Group pollster Robert Cahaly called out so-called “fake polls” intended to pressure congressional Republicans to back away from the support of President Donald Trump’s agenda. “You know, it was interesting to watch the focus group, Robert, with Van Jones, that I had in the opening monologue,” host Sean Hannity said. “And you know, people are not regretting voting for Donald Trump and then to watch their polls to say, yeah, if the election were held again today, Trump would still wipe the floor with Kamala Harris or probably any other Democrat for that...

Former Clinton advisor and pollster Mark Penn on Wednesday warned on "Fox & Friends" that Democrats' ongoing resistance to President Donald Trump, including their refusal to stand and applaud at any point during the president's address to Congress, is resulting in "record lows" in the polls. MARK PENN: They didn't know how to applaud when you're supposed to applaud. I've participated in many States of the Union and, you know, the Republicans kind of knew when to sit there and when to applaud, when something that was really unifying that they're supposed to applaud, too. And look, what's been happening...

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Every four years, presidential opinion polling reliably causes regime media to misplace their poop. But after the actual polling places close and report, the stenographer journalists generally don’t expose which—if any—of these influential prognosticators should be publicly grilled for fouling up. A current exception proves the rule. On the weekend before Election Day, pollster Ann Selzer unleashed an Iowa survey for the Des Moines Register purporting to show Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 points in a state Harris supposedly had no business winning. The “late shift toward Harris,” declared the Des Moines Register, was happening because of older...

Famed Iowa pollster Ann Selzer spent decades building her credibility, but as the saying goes, she lost it all in a moment. For those who are lucky enough not to know — because not knowing means your life is not consumed by politics — Selzer has been hailed for years as a gold-standard pollster. Not only among Iowa pollsters, but among all pollsters. Her Des Moines Register poll is treated as something sacred. So… You can only imagine (and even if you watched in real time, it is still hard to imagine it happened) the reaction among Democrats and the...

Former adviser and pollster for President Clinton Mark Penn said Sunday on FNC’s “Special Report” that at this point in the election, he would rather be on the side of former President Donald Trump’s team. Host Bret Baier said, “Who do you want to be right now? Who do you want, which side do you want to be this evening looking at what you’re looking at? Penn said, “Well, I’d rather be Trump this evening for the simple reason that there are lots and lots of polls that show it dead even. The only fact we know is that the...

Former President Donald Trump is poised to secure a significant electoral victory, potentially “sweeping battleground states,” according to Rasmussen’s head pollster, who sees the current race favoring Trump in the national popular vote, suggesting a larger “political realignment” is underway, and foreseeing an outcome that could echo — or even exceed — Ronald Reagan’s historic landslide win over Jimmy Carter in 1980.

With a month to go until the only poll that matters, former President Donald Trump has roared back into a substantial lead in our election model. A slew of recent surveys has shown him with leads in key battleground states. And when the data are processed through our DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners model it shows the former president winning in 56.7 percent of the simulations.As ever, the road to the White House appears to run through Pennsylvania, with its 19 electoral college votes. For weeks it has been in 'tossup' territory. Now the model moves it to 'lean Trump' in what could...

As the 2024 election cycle intensifies, political analysts are scrutinizing every detail to forecast the potential outcome. In the latest edition of "Atlas Deep Dive," Andrei Roman, CEO of AtlasIntel, and Pedro Azevedo, the chief specialist for U.S. elections, provided insightful analysis on the current state of the race. AtlasIntel, in case you don’t know, was the most accurate pollster during the 2020 election. So its polling and insight are actually important. Its latest survey gave Trump a 2.9-point lead over Kamala Harris nationally — which would translate to a significant Electoral College victory.So what do they say about the...

<p>Democrats are now saying the quiet part out loud: They want Kamala Harris to keep hiding from the press.</p><p>In a Sunday interview with NBC, Democratic pollster Cornell Belcher shut down PBS’s Amna Nawaz’s pleas for Harris to talk to journalists.</p>

Vice President Harris is nipping at former President Trump’s heels in his home state of Florida, a pollster from Suffolk University says after a new Sunshine State survey. The USA Today/Suffolk University/WSVN-TV poll found Harris just 5 points behind Trump among likely Florida voters, 42 percent to 47 percent, just outside the poll’s margin of error. Florida has a million more registered Republicans than Democrats, and Trump won the state in both 2016 and 2020. “Given those circumstances, I was surprised that Harris is within striking distance, being only 5 points down,” David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political...

WASHINGTON, D.C. — According to sources, President Biden has been awaiting results from the latest polls to see if giving Israel a right to defend itself is a popular thing or if they should just be annihilated or whatever. "The Biden Administration plans to announce harsh condemnation of Hamas or maybe Israel," said Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre, "We're still waiting for pollsters to get back with us on which condemnation is morally just." Sources say Presidential approval numbers have dropped in recent weeks, as Biden has been torn between appeasing his supporters who are pro-Israel, and appeasing his supporters who...

The news of the week concerns a new item that NBC has just begun to insert into their standard polling. You know how pollsters like to ask “which of these is most important to you in this election,” and then they list a bunch of wildly different issues – domestic and international, social, economic, foreign policy, etc. – and ask you to choose or rank them? Well, NBC’s newest twist on that list is to include asking whether one of their top fears is the category, “Threats to Democracy.” Sounds ominous, doesn’t it? Like so many of these catch-all poll...

VIDEO Democrat pollster Fernand Amandi used to maintain a thin veneer of sanity back when he was a radio host on South Florida radio station WIOD in 2016. At the time he smugly mocked any callers who dared to suggest that Donald Trump had even a slight chance of winning the presidential election that year. Well, we all know what happened and after the election it was Amandi himself who was subjected to a barrage of well-deserved mockery from the callers. After a few months of this, he pretty much went off the deep end into Full Mental Jacket territory...

The liberal media is accused of trying to start a rivalry between President Donald Trump and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, which doesn’t actually exist. The two political figures are extremely popular among conservatives and supportive of each other. Trump previously endorsed DeSantis’ run for governor. DeSantis has also said the rivalry is something manufactured by the liberal media. Pollster Richard Baris is setting the record straight by shutting down the idea of a rivalry between them. Baris explained DeSantis “will not run if Donald Trump runs” because DeSantis believes the election was stolen from President Trump. As a result, Trump...

Former Clinton pollster Mark Penn said President Joe Biden's polls are 'dire' Says the president needs to 'pivot' to focusing on issues Americans care about to improve Democrats' standing before the 2022 midterms Penn co-founded a polling firm whose clients included President Bill Clinton, Microsoft founder Bill Gates and British Prime Minister Tony Blair Penn was also a chief strategist and pollster on Hillary Clinton's 2008 presidential campaign An average polling from FiveThirtyEight shows Biden at 41.5% approval NBC poll released Sunday shows only 33% approve of Biden's performance on the economy and 38% blame him for rising inflation

All too often when their work goes awry, election pollsters turn to feeble excuses such as “polls really aren’t predictions. They’re just snapshots in time.” That is nonsense, because no pollster takes on the hard work of conducting election surveys with the expectation that those surveys will be embarrassingly wrong. A refreshing departure from the blame-dodging tendency came the other day, following the outcome of the New Jersey governor’s race in which the incumbent Democrat, Phil Murphy, narrowly defeated Republican Jack Ciattarelli. The result represented another setback for pollsters, whose pre-election surveys collectively estimated Murphy’s lead at nearly 8 percentage...

VIDEOIt's like a pollster protection racket for Frank Luntz. Pay him for his dubious focus group services or he will actively try to derail you. In 2015 Donald Trump refused to pay Luntz and threw him out of his office. Shortly afterwards, as he can see here by his own admission, Luntz actively tried to derail the Trump train by appealing to the Republican establishment leadership to "do something" to stop Trump.

Ouch! Tucker Carlson went after ‘pollster’ Frank Luntz tonight in an epic takedown that exposed Luntz for being a shill for the left. Carlson began by saying that Luntz advises Republicans on “what to say” but is a leftist and an anti-Trumper who is no Republican. Tucker gives example after example of Luntz trying to shape opinion using a poll from a few people he questioned. Luntz tries to say that he knows what Republicans want in cleverly worded interviews. He’s been at this game for decades, so he knows how the game works. The people like Luntz are the...

Luntz was recommended for the position, which aims to “lead America’s public diplomacy outreach, which includes messaging to counter terrorism and violent extremism” by Short, whom President Trump viewed as partly responsible for Pence’s certification of electors on January 6th and saw his White House access revoked in response. The revelations come from a leaked “highly confidential” State Department document, which outlines Short’s rationale for the position was Luntz’s previous work in “PR” and as a “GOP Political Pollster.” “Support the achievement of U.S. foreign policy goals and objectives, advance national interests, and enhance national security by informing and influencing...