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After a misfire in New Jersey, pollster offers a remarkable apology for error
The Hill ^ | 11/12/2021 | W. JOSEPH CAMPBELL

Posted on 11/12/2021 10:40:51 AM PST by ChicagoConservative27

All too often when their work goes awry, election pollsters turn to feeble excuses such as “polls really aren’t predictions. They’re just snapshots in time.” That is nonsense, because no pollster takes on the hard work of conducting election surveys with the expectation that those surveys will be embarrassingly wrong.

A refreshing departure from the blame-dodging tendency came the other day, following the outcome of the New Jersey governor’s race in which the incumbent Democrat, Phil Murphy, narrowly defeated Republican Jack Ciattarelli. The result represented another setback for pollsters, whose pre-election surveys collectively estimated Murphy’s lead at nearly 8 percentage points, according to RealClear Politics. The Monmouth University poll pegged Murphy’s advantage at 11 points.

Murphy won by fewer than 3 points.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: apology; newjersey; pollster; remarkable
OOPS.
1 posted on 11/12/2021 10:40:51 AM PST by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27

The Dems were depending on the polls for their projected margin of fraud.


2 posted on 11/12/2021 10:42:56 AM PST by MercyFlush (DANGER: You are being conditioned to view your freedom as selfish)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

They still won or cheated or whatever.


3 posted on 11/12/2021 10:43:43 AM PST by Luke21
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To: ChicagoConservative27

It’s not polling, it’s gaslighting. And they are only ever sorry because the gaslighting didn’t obtain the desired outcome, never because they “got it wrong”.

By the way, Russia! Russia! Russia!


4 posted on 11/12/2021 10:44:12 AM PST by coloradan (They're not the mainstream media, they're the gaslight media. It's what they do. )
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To: ChicagoConservative27

No one responds to poll questions honestly.

NO ONE.


5 posted on 11/12/2021 10:49:48 AM PST by L,TOWM (An upraised middle finger is my virtue signal.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

The pollsters forgot the truckload of democrat ballots.

In the future they will ask the criminal machine how many fixed ballots will be delivered. They wont know until the voting is done but it will be just enough to give the Democrats a narrow victory


6 posted on 11/12/2021 10:57:28 AM PST by dirtymac ( Now Is The Time For All Good Men To ComeTo The Aid Of Their Country! NOW)
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To: L,TOWM

So disappointed that Jack did not fight. This shows me he would have been a bad governor and would of made no real difference in NJ. All they need to do was audit the mai in ballots. Wonder if he was offered a deal to simply go away?


7 posted on 11/12/2021 10:58:42 AM PST by RBW in PA
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To: RBW in PA

Has he officially conceded?—I keep reading he “will concede” but I haven’t seen that he has actually done so.

If you have a link that he “has conceded” please post it.


8 posted on 11/12/2021 11:02:01 AM PST by cgbg (A kleptocracy--if they can keep it. Think of it as the Cantillon Effect in action.)
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To: RBW in PA

Until such time as the people dump the overly left wing Legislature in NJ a Republican Gov would not be able to do much.


9 posted on 11/12/2021 11:03:33 AM PST by billyboy15
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To: RBW in PA

So disappointed that Jack did not fight. This shows me he would have been a bad governor and would of made no real difference in NJ. All they need to do was audit the mai in ballots. Wonder if he was offered a deal to simply go away?


Just think if we ran a good candidate that everyone would have wanted to be governor instead of this throw away “me too” candidate who got the nod because it was “his turn”

Our side played to lose, and we lost, why were we expecting anything else?


10 posted on 11/12/2021 11:03:48 AM PST by Trump.Deplorable
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To: billyboy15

They did lose some seats


11 posted on 11/12/2021 11:04:11 AM PST by Trump.Deplorable
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To: billyboy15

Our side did bagged the senate president steve sweeney

https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/politics/steve-sweeney-edward-durr-nj-senate-loss/3393805/

nobody was expecting this

the guy running against him spent less then 5 grand on his campaign and was a truck driver for a furniture firm


12 posted on 11/12/2021 11:06:25 AM PST by Trump.Deplorable
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To: ChicagoConservative27

ITS NOY OVER. RECOUNTS SHOULD ACVOMPZNY COURT CHARGES


13 posted on 11/12/2021 11:24:58 AM PST by ZULU (HOOVER, FREEH, MUELLER, COMEY, WRAY, SUCCESSION OF STATISTS)
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To: cgbg

https://nypost.com/2021/11/12/jack-ciattarelli-concedes-in-nj-governors-race/


14 posted on 11/12/2021 11:41:47 AM PST by rockabyebaby (THE BEST IS YET TO COME - (PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP)
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To: dirtymac

Backwards


15 posted on 11/12/2021 11:43:32 AM PST by TexasGator (UF)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

So this idiot got another idiot elected President.....I wonder if he will admit it was on purpose or blame”poor polling”!!!


16 posted on 11/12/2021 1:48:33 PM PST by ontap
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