Free Republic

After 2016, it’s hard to have a lot of faith in the polls, so the question is, how do we assess the state of the race? In 2016, most state polls were as bad as national polls, and cherrypicking specific polls isn’t a great option either, as it lends itself to confirmation bias. So, in many ways, the best thing we can use to judge the state of the race is to analyze early-voting statistics. According to Gallup 62 percent of Democrat and 28 percent of Republican voters plan to vote early this year when they otherwise have been only...

Earlier in the day, in a defeat for Republicans, the court declined to take another look, on a fast track, at the issue of late arriving mail ballots in Pennsylvania. The Supreme Court late Wednesday declined to block lower court rulings that allow six extra days for accepting ballots sent by mail in North Carolina. The justices left the later deadline in place, a victory for Democrats in a presidential battleground state. Earlier in the day, in a defeat for Republicans, the court declined to take another look, on a fast track, at the issue of late arriving mail ballots...

Trump Pence Make America Great Again 2020 PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP DELIVERS REMARKS AT A MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN VICTORY RALLY IN FAYETTEVILLE, NC Join President Donald J. Trump in Fayetteville, NC on Thursday, October 29th at 6:30 PM EDT! Get your tickets here. Details about the event below: Thursday, October 29th at 6:30 PM EDT Fayetteville Regional Airport 400 Airport Road Fayetteville, NC 28306 Doors Open: 3:00 PM (EDT) Event Begins: 6:30 PM (EDT) Get your tickets here. GET YOUR TICKETS All attendees will be given a temperature check, masks which they are instructed to wear, and access to...

North Carolina GOP again asks Supreme Court to block mail ballot extension North Carolina Republicans on Wednesday filed a second request to the Supreme Court asking justices to block a six-day mail ballot due date extension in the key battleground state. The latest effort seeks the reversal of North Carolina’s top state court, while a similar petition filed last week by President Trump’s reelection campaign and state GOP members is aimed at blocking lower federal court rulings that relaxed the received-by deadline for mail ballots. Both requests are now pending before the Supreme Court, which after the arrival Tuesday of...

Republicans gained a net of over 14K votes yesterday in NC early voting. Republicans shaved another 1 % point off the Democrats lead, which is now roughly 301K votes. The black share of the NC electorate in EV fell from 20.31% to 20.06%. Democrats---1,423,590 (39.20%) (+67K votes) Republican--1,122,985 (30.52%) (+82K votes) Unafill.----1,068,317 (29.42%) (+69K votes) Translation: As noted on previous posts, in 2016 Democrats finished early voting with a 310K vote lead over Republicans and LOST the state by 3.8 points. Republicans are on track to cut the Dem EV lead to the low 200sK. Obama won NC in 2008...

New early voting data showed Democrats failing to hit their mark in several battleground states, giving Trump campaign officials more reasons for optimism Tuesday as President Trump rallied voters in key Midwestern states and Democrat Joseph R. Biden made a play for traditionally red Georgia. In Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Arizona, Democrats are falling short of their target of 70% of early votes cast either in-person or by mail. That’s the lead they hoped to build up to stave off an expected higher Republican turnout on Election Day.“The Democrats have not opened up a large enough lead in...

CHARLOTTE, N.C. (FOX 46 CHARLOTTE)- Charlotte could be facing a big blow to the banking industry. Wells Fargo is expected to announce major layoffs across the board on Tuesday. Thousands across the entire company could get the pink slip and bank insiders tell WJZY that many of those cuts will happen in the Queen City. More than 27,000 people in the Charlotte area work for Wells Fargo. It’s the city’s second largest employer. In July, the bank’s chief executive said it may need to cut expenses by more than $10 billion as it restructures away from a retail bank.

Raleigh, N.C. — Judge Amy Coney Barrett is expected to be sworn in as a U.S. Supreme Court justice shortly after the U.S. Senate confirms her nomination on Monday night, and a North Carolina case could be among the first before the court with her as a member. Absentee ballots have been the focus of a fierce legal fight in North Carolina for weeks, following the State Board of Elections' decision to try to settle some lawsuits by changing the rules for voting by mail. While courts have dealt with the problem of fixing ballots that were mailed without the...

North Carolina Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Cal Cunningham has been kicked out of his family’s home in Raleigh, North Carolina, according to reports. Cunningham, a U.S. Army Reserve lieutenant colonel, was kicked out of his home following revelations that he cheated on his wife with at least one mistress, according to NationalFile.com and the Washington Free Beacon.

Data Analyst Professor Bela Stantic says based on rigorous data analysis of millions of social media posts, he believes US President Donald Trump will win the US election, despite national polls suggesting Joe Biden will become president. "On September 18, I collected over four million tweets with 20 million likes and I did analysis and based on that analysis I concluded Trump is ahead and he will win with 270-280 seats. "Trump has 161 seats which are very firm and 19 which is sure, which brings him to 180. He, according to my analysis - which was on September 20...

Trump Now Beating Biden 49-46% in Florida, 48-47% in North Carolina says Rasmussen Polls

In separate polls this week in states critical to whether or not President Donald Trump is reelected, Rasmussen Report's Polling found President Trump has now pulled ahead of Biden in the key swing states of both Florida and North Carolina. North Carolina: Trump 48%, Biden 47%In a new, Thursday, October 22nd Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey of North Carolina's "Likely Voters", Trump is now beating Biden 48% to 47%. 92% of voters in the Tar Heel State have already made up their minds whom they’re going to vote for. Trump leads 50% to 48% among this group. In 2016,...

NC early voting 1,206,995 Ds (40.82%) 879,222 Rs (29.74%) Democrat advantage of 327K in EV For the third straight day of early voting, Rs out-voted Ds in NC, this time by roughly 13,000 votes.Rs LOST the early vote in 2016 by 310K but WON the state of NC by 3.8 points. Rs currently trail in early voting by roughly 327K, with 10 more days of EV to go. Monday is the key day, because traditionally on this Sunday "souls to the polls" is . in force. But with the China Virus lockdowns, it's questionable whether this will have the same...

To Republican consultant Dee Stewart, the best barometer of this year’s election outcomes is in the numbers — not in polls but in voter registrations. “Everyone knows the statewide elections in North Carolina will be decided by a razor thin margin,” Stewart said. “I believe the secret weapon of increased voter registration will provide the margin of victory for Republicans. Through last week, North Carolina has seen a net gain of nearly 150,000 GOP registrations this year compared with 96,000 Democratic registrations, according to the State Board of Elections. The net gain in Unaffiliated voters was even higher — more...

RALEIGH, N.C. — President Donald Trump's campaign is trying to energize its base in North Carolina as the election nears and a state critical to his re-election bid remains up for grabs. Trump and Vice President Mike Pence are staging separate rallies in eastern North Carolina this weekend, urging rural voters to get to the polls. On Friday, Trump's younger son courted religious conservatives with a speech strong on God and freedom at an evangelical church in Raleigh. "We love faith in America. We love faith in our country," Eric Trump told a cheering crowd at RFA Church. "Make no...

Good news all around.... because we all know these polls have special dem sauce added to them. Copied info from Realclearpolitics(middle of front page).

KANNAPOLIS, N.C. (WBTV) – A man was arrested in Kannapolis with a van full of guns and explosives with plans to carry out an act of terrorism, including trying to assassinate Joe Biden. An order filed in federal court earlier this month outlines the plans by a man identified as Alexander Hillel Treisman, who also used the alias Alexander S. Theiss. Treisman is originally from the state of Washington, Kannapolis Police have said. In the order, a federal magistrate judge outlined the reasons why Treisman should continue to be held in jail on child pornography charges. Although, Treisman currently faces...

There are 149,596 more Republicans and 95,524 fewer Democrats on the North Carolina voting rolls in 2020 when compared to 2016. But there is one other big change among registered voters: there are now 415,210 more who are unaffiliated. The North Carolina Republican Party credits the surge in their registered voters to registration events and outreach since 2017. The North Carolina Republican Party credits the surge in their registered voters to registration events and outreach since 2017. But Western Carolina University political science professor Christopher Cooper says the second largest block of North Carolina registered voters is unaffiliated. “From the...

Here is the Biden / Harris 2020 rally in North Carolina yesterday. https://rumble.com/vasoej-you-can-count-the-number-of-attendees-at-kamalas-rallies-on-two-hands.html?mref=23gga&mrefc=2  Here is a photo of the Trump / Pence 2020 rally in North Carolina yesterday.        

It took 7 days, but Republicans finally cast more early votes (2,000) yesterday than Democrats. That, my friends, is excellent news. The current early vote (mail-ins + in-person) numbers are: Democrats= 1,038,752 (42.62%) Republicans= 691,174 (28.36%) Dem Lead: 347,578 Again, in 2016 when Trump won NC by 3.8 percentage points, at the end of early voting, the Democrats had a lead of 310,000 votes. The Republicans cut 4 points off of the Democrats lead yesterday, and are likely favored to win most (if not every) of the remaining early voting days. (continued below)