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After a campaign that included a candidate switch, a pair of assassination attempts and dramatic twists seemingly every day, the conventional wisdom from months ago ultimately prevails in three polls showing Donald Trump ahead in most swing states. If Kamala Harris can do what Democrats have done in most elections for decades and win Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — the blue-wall states — she’ll likely have the 270 electoral votes she needs to win. If she can’t, Trump will almost certainly be the next president. But there’s plenty of drama possible before results are finalized — which wouldn’t happen until...

Former President Donald Trump is up in Pennsylvania by five percentage points, according to an Echelon Insights survey released just days ahead of the pivotal 2024 presidential election. The survey asked respondents either who they already voted for or plan to vote for in the presidential election. Most, 51 percent, said Trump, followed by 46 percent who said Vice President Kamala Harris — a five-point gap.

WATERTOWN, Wis. — Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump aren’t leaving anything to chance in their final week of campaigning in Wisconsin, where historically close margins have decided four of the last six presidential elections. As sky-high early-voter turnout continues throughout the state, the campaigns look to pad their margins in party strongholds and turn out undecided and low-propensity voters in key counties with targeted events and surrogates to win Wisconsin’s 10 electoral votes. A look ahead at the week’s events indicates both camps will attempt to play to their strengths and mitigate their weaknesses in the...

New Emerson College polling finds former President Donald Trump up in three battleground states — and if the numbers hold, they present peril for Vice President Kamala Harris. The surveys show Trump ahead in North Carolina, one of two Southern battlegrounds, as well as two of the three blue-wall states — Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — central to the Democrats’ strategy. If Trump takes them? He’s got 264 electoral votes, meaning Harris would have to sweep Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Nevada to block him from the 270 threshold needed to win. None of these leads is in landslide territory, but with...

Democrat Senate candidates in key swing states are pleading to Trump voters for support – a bad sign for their own campaigns and a flashing warning sign to Kamala Harris. In Michigan, Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) is openly courting voters who support Trump. In Pennsylvania, Sen. Bob Casey’s (D-PA) campaign released an ad showing Donald Trump signing a bill in the Oval Office, with the narrator touting Casey sided with Trump on his historic trade deal ending NAFTA. And in Wisconsin, leftwing Sen. Tammy Baldwin’s (D-WI) campaign released an ad broadcasting her alignment with Trump on trade policies. Candidates on...

What do Democrat elites think will motivate their base in crucial swing states to turn out for Kamala Harris in November? Drag queens and rapper Cardi B, for starters. Michelle Obama is promising men in dresses and “Wet Ass Pussy” as part of an initiative called “Party at the Polls” — a series of live performances that are set to take place in swing states from now until election day. The goal? To motivate Democrats to cast their vote for Kamala Harris in places where she is losing ground to former President Donald Trump. In Arizona, where Trump maintains a...

A swing-state activist coalition called on Muslim voters Monday to punish Vice President Kamala Harris for “overseeing” the Israel-Hamas war and turn out to back Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein instead. The organization formerly called Abandon Biden released its anti-Harris endorsement on the anniversary of Hamas terrorists massacring an estimated 1,200 people in southern Israel and kidnapping roughly 250 others — and one day after Harris’ campaign released an endorsement of her candidacy from 25 Islamic religious leaders. “A vote is not just a political act; it is, more profoundly, a moral one. With this in mind, the Abandon...

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Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) warned Democrats that former President Donald Trump is far more popular in Pennsylvania than they may think. “Trump is going to be strong [in Pennsylvania], and we have to respect that,” Fetterman said. After being asked at the 2024 Atlantic Festival what people — such as Pennsylvania voters, people he grew up with, and his friends — “see in Donald Trump that makes them want to vote for him,” Fetterman replied that he knows people who are voting for Trump even if they are “appalled by some of these things.”

Early Vote Action Regional Director Bobby Jeffries has just exposed how the Pennsylvania Department of Transportation allowed an unknown and unidentified non-profit group to register illegal-immigrants and felons on taxpayer property. When Jeffries was sent a tip about this activity by a Pennsylvania Department of Transportation employee, he sprung into action and went to the Harrisburg PennDot location to ask for permission to register LEGAL voters at the same facility. The tipster asked to remain anonymous, for fear of losing their livelihood. PennDOT initially agreed to do so. Jeffries recently exposed how General Scott Perry, a sitting member of the...

The press is sweeping yet another important ballot integrity case under the rug this week. Understanding the problems in this most recent Pennsylvania ruling requires a little thinking through it. Here’s the short summary, as it is presented by the theoretically nonpartisan mass media: Republican counties want to be able to refuse to count mail-in ballots that either lack the handwritten dates required by law, or have wrong dates shown on them. The Commonwealth Court ruled, and I quote, that “The refusal to count undated or incorrectly dated but timely mail ballots submitted by otherwise eligible voters because of meaningless...

New surveys from Emerson College Polling/The Hill show a toss-up election between former President Donald Trump Vice President Kamala Harris in swing states. The Republican presidential nominee is up in Wisconsin (49 percent to 48 percent), Arizona (50 percent to 47 percent), and North Carolina (49 percent to 48 percent). Harris, meanwhile, is ahead in Georgia (49 percent to 48 percent), Michigan (50 percent to 47 percent), and Nevada (49 percent to 48 percent). The race in Pennsylvania is tied at 48 percent. SWING STATE POLLS with @thehill2024 Presidential ElectionAZ: Trump 50%, Harris 47%GA: Harris 49%, Trump 48%MI: Harris 50%,...

Former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden in six swing states, an Emerson/DemNextGen poll found Monday, further fueling fears among Democrats about Biden’s political viability. Trump leads in every swing state by at least three points, except in Michigan, where he leads by one: Pennsylvania – Trump: 48% (+5) Biden: 43% Wisconsin – Trump: 47% (+3) Biden: 44% Michigan – Trump: 45% (+1) Biden: 44% Nevada – Trump: 47% (+6) Biden: 41% Arizona – Trump: 46% (+4) Biden: 42% Georgia – Trump: 47% (+5) Biden: 42% Biden trails Trump in ever key swing state, per new Emerson/DemNextGen poll conducted...

New Emerson College Polling/The Hill state polls find former President Donald Trump with a slight edge on President Joe Biden in Arizona (47% to 43%), Georgia (45% to 41%), Wisconsin (47% to 44%) Nevada (46% to 43%), Pennsylvania (47% to 45%), and Michigan (46% to 45%), while Biden splits with Trump in Minnesota (45% to 45%).

Former President Donald Trump is edging out President Joe Biden in the key swing state of Pennsylvania, a recent Marist Poll found. The survey, taken June 3-6, 2024, following the Manhattan jury’s controversial guilty verdict in Trump’s business records trial, shows Trump edging Biden out by two points in the Keystone State. The former president garners 47 percent support to Biden’s 45 percent. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. comes in a distant third place with three percent support, while one percent go for Green Party candidate Jill Stein, one percent go for Cornel West, and less than one percent...

In recent years we have literally seen millions of Americans relocate from blue states to red states. In some cases, there is simply a desire to be around other like-minded people. In other cases, specific political policies that have been enacted in certain states have motivated large numbers of people to relocate. This was particularly true during the pandemic. Of course there are also many that are just trying to escape the crime, drugs, homelessness and violence that are plaguing so many major cities in blue states. For those that are trying to raise a family, finding a safe environment...

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis believes Democrats don't stand a chance in the Sunshine State going forward. This comes as reports indicate registered GOP voters now outpace Democrats by nearly 900,000. "You're talking about a million plus voter registration shift," DeSantis told Fox News' Maria Bartiromo, claiming older numbers indicated Republicans were behind their Democratic adversaries by nearly 300,000 registered voters in 2018. "Part of that, I think, is a response locally where people are more likely to switch from Democrat to Republican in Florida, nonparty to Republican than vice-versa. That's been an important component of it, but I do think...

Efforts are underway by Republican lawmakers to draft legislation aimed at removing Joe Biden from the ballots in key swing states Georgia, Arizona, and Pennsylvania. According to Breitbart, state representatives Aaron Bernstine from Pennsylvania, Charlice Byrd from Georgia, and Cory McGarr from Arizona are spearheading these proposed legislative efforts. Their objective is a direct response to the unconstitutional ruling in Colorado that invoked the United States Constitution’s “Insurrection Clause” to prohibit Trump from appearing on the state’s ballot. According to Breitbart, these brave GOP lawmakers are positioning themselves against the “lawfare” tactics used by Democrats to target Trump. They argue...

The New York Times over the weekend explained that Ohio Republican Sen.-elect J.D. Vance’s win in the midterm election was a “reminder” that the Buckeye State is “no longer a swing state,” which will cause Democrat Sen. Sherrod Brown to have a tough reelection in 2024. Brown, who turned 70 this month, is the only Democrat to win a statewide election in the last decade in Ohio. However, Vance’s win posed an even harder reelection battle for his 2024 reelection bid, especially after the Republican governor won by roughly 25 points.

The Pennsylvania state Senate passed legislation on Wednesday prohibiting ballot drop boxes and private funds used to manage elections. By a narrow margin of 29-20, the chamber advanced Senate Bill 1200 to eliminate the use of drive-through ballot returns. The revised election code will “require an elector choosing to return a ballot to a county board of elections, return it to an employee.” However, the employee whom the voter chooses must be “located in the county seat of the county board of elections.” Moreover, if a constituent cannot submit the ballot personally, the board of elections will grant an absentee...