Posted on 10/24/2024 8:46:05 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
New Emerson College polling finds former President Donald Trump up in three battleground states — and if the numbers hold, they present peril for Vice President Kamala Harris.
The surveys show Trump ahead in North Carolina, one of two Southern battlegrounds, as well as two of the three blue-wall states — Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — central to the Democrats’ strategy.
If Trump takes them? He’s got 264 electoral votes, meaning Harris would have to sweep Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Nevada to block him from the 270 threshold needed to win.
None of these leads is in landslide territory, but with voters already casting ballots, polling leads toward the end of the race bear more weight than the aspirational surveys of earlier times.
In the Tar Heel State, Trump is up 50% to 48% among 950 likely voters polled Oct. 21 and 22, and the race for 16 electoral votes there is framed by a gender gap seen in so many other surveys.
“There is a clear gender divide, with men favoring Trump more strongly than women for Harris,” said Spencer Kimball, Emerson College Polling executive director. “In North Carolina, men back Trump by 13 points, while women support Harris by seven points.”
And economic issues appear poised to make a difference in the state, with two out of five voters pinpointing finances as the key factor in their vote.
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
Anyone ever ask HER! if she will commit to certifying a Trump win and an orderly transfer of power?
I think he has a chance of winning New York.
Gotta figure that most of the ‘Rat vote rigging apparatuses are set up in the swing states — they aren’t positioned to protect their home base.
I would not mind seeing him doing very well in (or even capturing) MN, NH, NM, and OR.
She would just give us another inane word salad non-answer.
Amen. I could never see him winning MN or OR, but definitely some of the others are possible.
SHE REFUSES TO ANSWER
It’s tight in NM, which is a huge change.
Crime is beyond out of control in NM because of the border.
RFK has especially helped. (He was polling at 8%.) There’s a huge libertarian element in NM and he captures that spirit. He’s been very active in NM.
I prayed three times today, each time just before voting.
LOL
All I want to see on election night is for NJ or NY - “Too close to call”. If I see that it will be glorious!
Cone on, man :)
I live here...it is more left of left of left than ever before...6 to 1 in NYC
Upstate can’t make up for that...where it MIGHT be 60 to 40.
He is losing by 12 or 13 percent and that’s GREAT compared to last time...where he lost by 23 percent.
I’ll be EXTREMELY HAPPY if he wins with 270 EVs!!
That’s all I want :)
Oh noes! I was looking forward to the media yammering on endlessly about Trump’s narrow path to victory compared to Kamala’s multiple paths.
I just voted in blue MD there is a huge Latino population many were there and wearing red. The abortion question isn’t popular with Latinos.
They wont..Commies NEVER give up power..I think if Trump does win, the left will do a Jan 6th type event..and they will just refuse to leave..saying “We cant let Hitler take over the White House” that is why they keep on calling Trump Hitler, so they have an excuse as to why he cant take power
Real Clear Politics now has Trump leading in EVERY battleground state, not just up in 3.
And those percentages are based on older data, as well as the latest data, where Harris had the lead previously. This means the Battleground States section on RCP is an amalgamation of previous polls. The latest polls have Trump further ahead than the RCP average.
later
I would like to see Trump clinch 270 before Pennsylvania has a chance to “delay reporting of votes until we get a number we like”. In short, I’d like to see him win WITHOUT Penn.
Trump takes NY.
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