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(CNN — The reaction from Democrats to Donald Trump’s 2024 victory is, to put it mildly, very much unlike their reaction to his 2016 win. Instead of mass protests in the streets, Democrats have been, for the most part, quiet. Indeed, the aftermath of the 2024 election almost looks like it is from a bygone era. This is the first presidential election in at least a decade when pretty much everyone on the losing side has reached the fifth stage of grief: acceptance. Take a look at recent polling from Reuters/Ipsos. When asked whether Trump’s win was legitimate, about 94%...

John McIntyre couldn’t believe it. The publisher of the Real Clear Polling National Average, America’s first presidential poll aggregator, woke on October 31st to see his product denounced in the New York Times. Launched in 2002 and long a mainstay of campaign writers and news consumers alike, the RCP average, he learned, was part of a “torrent” of partisan rubbish being “weaponized” to “deflate Democrats’ enthusiasm” and “undermine faith in the entire system.” “They actually wrote that our problem was we didn’t weight results,” says an incredulous McIntyre. “That we didn’t put a thumb on the scale.” The Times ended...

Pollsters have been getting it “wrong” in the final days of the 2024 presidential race by overlooking a “massive shift” in voter registration since the last election — which could tip the scales in favor of former President Donald Trump on Tuesday, a veteran GOP strategist says. Alex Castellanos, who has worked on campaigns for Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney, told Fox News’ “Special Report” that the polls — which show a razor-thin margin between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris — are disregarding a “wavelet out there of Republican enthusiasm.” “What I think they’re missing is a massive shift...

Polling guru Nate Silver lashed out at other survey junkies in his field for “cheating” in the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election — accusing them of recycling some results to keep the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris close. The FiveThirtyEight founder said irresponsible pollsters were “herding” their numbers, or using past results to affect current ones, to keep Vice President Harris and former President Trump to within a point or two of each other each time. “I kind of trust pollsters less,” Silver said on his podcast, name-checking Emerson College. “They all, every time a pollster...

Vice President Kamala Harris's lead over Donald Trump has shrunk to just one point, with Harris at 48% and Trump close behind at 47%. This data from the sixth release of the 23-day TIPP tracking poll shows that the race is getting tighter. Recognized by The Washington Post in 2020 as the most accurate national presidential poll, TIPP continues to bring you the latest insights on the race. A growing sense of economic dissatisfaction looms large. The TIPP Tracking Poll shows that 53% of Americans feel worse off now compared to their situation pre-COVID. Democrats are the most optimistic, with...

Senate Democrats are worried pollsters are once again undercounting the Trump vote and say Vice President Harris’s slim lead in battleground states, especially Pennsylvania, is cause for serious concern. After getting shocked by Hillary Clinton’s upset loss in 2016 and surprised by former President Trump’s stronger-than-expected performance in 2020, Democratic lawmakers are bracing themselves for another Election Night surprise. ... One Democratic senator who requested anonymity acknowledged that both Clinton and President Biden were doing better in the polls against Trump in 2016 and 2020, respectively, than Harris is performing right now. ... Public polls had Trump trailing Biden by...

Most polls show Vice President Kamala Harris leading in the swing states that will decide the election. But two Southern state pollsters are bucking the trend — and they’ve got former President Donald Trump up big. The polling by InsiderAdvantage and Trafalgar in seven battleground states finds Trump on a path to 296 electoral votes — suggesting that Harris has already lost her momentum. Matt Towery of Georgia-based InsiderAdvantage found Trump ahead in Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina (and down by 0.4% only in Georgia). He noted that both he and Robert Calahy of Trafalgar (which handled Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and...

Leaked audio has emerged from the DeSantis donor strategy meeting in Miami on Thursday. In the clip you can hear below, DeSantis strategists tell high dollar donors making calls for the campaign that:DeSantis’s position is keeping abortion decisions at a state level (following Trump’s position);That the Governor will shift to the middle during a general election;The campaign’s position on abortion can be described as “safe, legal, and rare in Florida” – a stunning deployment of President Bill Clinton’s infamous pro-abortion catchphrase.During the session, the hosts – including DeSantis pollster Ryan Tyson amongst others – can be heard lauding this a...

There's been a lot of talk among Republicans about the effect a big primary field might have on the 2024 presidential nomination race. The short version is that a big field is thought to benefit former President Donald Trump, who, as in 2016, would not have to win a majority of votes to win — a plurality, and not even a big one, would be enough. On the other hand, a small field, especially a one-on-one matchup with another candidate, say Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL), might allow the challenger to defeat Trump. But now, a new poll suggests some of...

Top Democrat pollsters and strategists are beginning to realize the Biden administration is failing on nearly every challenge before the nation, including Afghanistan, increasing wages, border security, and coronavirus.Pollster Paul Maslin told Politico Joe Biden’s presidency has turned into chaos with few if any redeeming features.“There’s no good news here. This is all on his watch,” said Maslin, who worked Jimmy Carter and Howard Dean. “You can argue what he’s doing or not doing, but it’s almost irrelevant. If things are chaotic and wrong, it ain’t going to help him.”Another Democrat strategist also told the outlet Biden was supposed to...

National surveys of the 2020 presidential contest were the least accurate in 40 years, while the state polls were the worst in at least two decades...But unlike 2016, when pollsters could pinpoint factors like the education divide as reasons they underestimated Donald Trump and offer specific recommendations to fix the problem, the authors of the new American Association for Public Opinion Research report couldn't put their finger on the exact problem they face now.

You’ve probably noticed a barrage of approval rating polls being released in the past month or so, and nearly all of them show Joe Biden as a president for the ages. We’ve seen such high numbers as 60% approval in some surveys. Perhaps Biden is just that much of a unifier, despite pushing the most radical, divisive agenda in modern history? Or perhaps there’s something else going on with these polls.Yeah, it’s the latter.D+31 sample. https://t.co/kAfgbwrFYg— Varad Mehta (@varadmehta) April 17, 2021Random thought, but if your sample is coming out to a raw D+31 sample, perhaps there’s something wrong with...

Fox News is simply stating facts: • The election is over. • Trump lost. If you want to stop watching, fine. But don’t mock others for wanting a “safe space” ever again. Too many people want media to affirm their views, not inform them.

Considering these five facts about the election, it's no wonder Biden failed to achieve a landslide victory — and one might say it's curious that he'd achieve victory at all. If I told you an incumbent president had 52 percent approval on Election Day and ended up winning 10 million more votes than during his first election, would you predict victory? What if 56 percent of voters felt they were better off since the president had entered office? What if you knew that the incumbent had a nearly 30 percent enthusiasm edge over his opponent, or that when asked for...

The media do not get to determine who the president is. The people do. When all lawful votes have been counted, recounts finished, and allegations of fraud addressed, we will know who the winner is— Josh Hawley (@HawleyMO) November 7, 2020 1. The media do not declare who’s president-elect. There’s a constitutional and statutory process. Gore litigated for 37 days. Clearly the media want this ended today.— Mark R. Levin (@marklevinshow) November 7, 2020 2. And this is also intended to pressure the Supreme Court justices and other courts where there is pending litigation and will be litigation. We...

U.S.—After grossly miscalculating the election results in almost every possible way, pollsters are insisting that their polls were indeed 100% correct except that everyone just voted wrong. "We stand by our polling 100%," said Ned Boop, who is a very smart pollster who wears fancy-looking glasses. "Our methodology and results were entirely correct and we're also very intelligent. It's just that all the stupid people we polled voted incorrectly like dumb-heads." CNN is also backing the findings of their pollsters who predicted the complete opposite of almost every single thing that actually happened on Election Day. "We believe our pollsters...

Tuesday's election will not only be a contest between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Blue and White leader Benny Gantz but also between their American pollsters. John McLaughlin stood beside Netanyahu in a video he posted on Friday explaining why Otzma Yehudit would not cross the 3.25% electoral threshold. In explaining why he was so sure, Netanyahu pointed at McLaughlin and said that he was the pollster for US president Donald Trump. Blue and White's American strategist Joel Benenson also made the news this past week, when Netanyahu accused him of being behind a false report in Politico accusing Israel...

I sympathize with POTUS and campaign manager Brad Parscale in being angry that their own internal polls somehow ended up in the media’s hands. But why do they assume the leak came from the pollsters rather than from someone inside Trump’s campaign who had access to the data? How tightly restricted is access to it? Neither the Times nor ABC said anything in their stories about who their sources were.Are the pollsters being fired because of the leak or are they being fired because the numbers were bad?The obvious solution: Replace them with Rasmussen Reports and let Trump spend...

As he should be. The economy is booming, wages are up, unemployment is down, and America is respected once again, specifically by China, Russia, and Iran. Life is great in America, contrary to what the fake news media says. According to the poll, Trump’s approval rating is at 51%, despite the fact that over 90% of the media coverage of the President is viciously hostile and bias. His numbers among millennial’s, women, and suburban voters are trending up steadily as well. These numbers should make the Democrats and the mainstream media very nervous. However, these numbers are they are likely...

Well, the American voters know that the spoken words of prediction from the American media, pollsters and pundits ain't really worth a plug nickel, these days, at best. Shucks, maybe we should begin judging the outcome of elections by sizing up and rating the political rallies that abound across the entire country. Common sense would reveal that if we measured the attendance & performance at Republican Political Rallies against the Democrat Political Rallies, we could come up with what the future will hold or deliver to we, the American people. Nah...we can't do that, The Trump political rallies are massive...