Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

TIPP Tracking Poll Day 6: Race Tightens As Harris's Lead Shrinks To One Point Trump Gains Ground In Tight Popular Vote While Holding Firm In Electoral Projections
Tippinsights ^ | 10/19/2024 | Staff

Posted on 10/19/2024 8:21:13 AM PDT by thegagline

Vice President Kamala Harris's lead over Donald Trump has shrunk to just one point, with Harris at 48% and Trump close behind at 47%. This data from the sixth release of the 23-day TIPP tracking poll shows that the race is getting tighter. Recognized by The Washington Post in 2020 as the most accurate national presidential poll, TIPP continues to bring you the latest insights on the race.

A growing sense of economic dissatisfaction looms large. The TIPP Tracking Poll shows that 53% of Americans feel worse off now compared to their situation pre-COVID. Democrats are the most optimistic, with 51% saying they’re better off, but 68% of Republicans report being worse off. Independents largely mirror the national mood, with 55% feeling the pain. This dissatisfaction is a headwind for Harris, which Trump could exploit.

A deep dissatisfaction with the country’s direction poses a serious challenge for the incumbents. The TIPP Poll shows that 66% of Americans are unhappy with the nation's path. Republicans (62%) and Independents (43%) express the highest levels of dissatisfaction, while even 40% of Democrats are discontent. With just 25 days left, this sentiment represents a significant hurdle for the incumbents.

*** 2016 Presidential Election: As noted by Fox News, the IBD/TIPP Poll was one of only two polls to predict President Trump's victory in 2016t, ours was the only national poll to show Trump ahead in a four-way race heading into Election Day 2016.

(Excerpt) Read more at tippinsights.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls; pollsters; prognosticators
NB: In 2020, the final TIPP Insights Poll had Biden at 51% and Trump at 46%.

The 2020 election results: Biden 51.3%; Trump 46.9%.

1 posted on 10/19/2024 8:21:13 AM PDT by thegagline
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: thegagline

* Trump 59.7 %

* Harris 40.1 %

https://polymarket.com/elections


2 posted on 10/19/2024 8:25:07 AM PDT by Varsity Flight ( "War by 🙏 the prophesies set before you." I Timothy 1:18. Nazarite warriors. 10.5.6.5 These Days)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: thegagline

So TIPP knew exactly how much fraud was coming....


3 posted on 10/19/2024 8:25:58 AM PDT by JBW1949 (I'm really PC.....Patriotically Correct)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: thegagline

So TIPP knew exactly how much fraud was coming....


4 posted on 10/19/2024 8:25:59 AM PDT by JBW1949 (I'm really PC.....Patriotically Correct)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: thegagline

I saw this morning that Rasmussen Reports not only has Trump up 2 in Nevada but Sam Brown up 2 over Democrat Rosen.


5 posted on 10/19/2024 8:35:38 AM PDT by willk (Local news media. Just as big an enemy to this country as national media)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: willk

I hope you are right. He was so happy and enthusiastic standing next to Mr. Trump when he proclaimed he would be the border Senator.


6 posted on 10/19/2024 8:41:28 AM PDT by Kudsman (Swamp the swamp. Vote right NOW. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Kudsman

“I hope you are right. He was so happy and enthusiastic standing next to Mr. Trump when he proclaimed he would be the border Senator.”

I really hope so too. I see these disturbing Rosen ads all the time in Reno which would lead you to believe that she has the support of veterans. Talk about stolen valor. This is worse. She also is constantly lying in her ads saying Brown would cut Social Security, sign federal ban on baby killing etc.


7 posted on 10/19/2024 8:46:35 AM PDT by willk (Local news media. Just as big an enemy to this country as national media)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: willk

Texas starts early voting this Monday and I will be one of the many in line casting my vote for President Trump. As much as I wanna believe the polls which are bipolar right now I want to believe so very much that Trump is under polling and has a huge lead. But we have to be realistic half of America despise this man and will come out in huge numbers to vote against him because the media has incited so much hatred against him and half of the American people who love this nation. I honestly don’t think we will know who won until two weeks after the election. And to be honest with you I am scared shitless the closer we get to election day. There are so many shenanigans happening right now in Georgia and Pennsylvania plus you have corrupt judges ruling and siding with the evil rats as they bring court cases against having a fair election. We must must I can’t emphasize this enough …we MUST turnout the early vote in droves to swamp the cheat!


8 posted on 10/19/2024 8:49:28 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Varsity Flight

BTTT


9 posted on 10/19/2024 8:50:29 AM PDT by nopardons
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: RoseofTexas
Texas starts early voting this Monday and I will be one of the many in line casting my vote for President Trump

So what happens if the Dims flip the switch this year and sabotage all of the early and mail in voting and come out on election day?

One of the major problems I have with early and mail-in voting is that it is very very difficult to determine if my vote was actually received and counted (actual physical evidence and traceable). I understand the same could be said of actual election day ballots as well but the DIMs will cheat anyway possible so do not be surprised if they try something like this if they believe they are going to lose bad due to the early and mail-in voting.

10 posted on 10/19/2024 8:57:07 AM PDT by frogjerk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: frogjerk

The democrats use early voting very effectively.

They cross early voters off their lists and start working on the sometimes voters.


11 posted on 10/19/2024 9:14:02 AM PDT by unclebankster (Globalism is the last refuge of a scoundrel.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: frogjerk

Don’t think for one minute they are just gonna lie down and play possum. They probably already have the cheating in motion as we type but the only 2 things I can rely on is …1) go out and vote and 2) pray that God will intervene against these evil POS demonic demons who will try everything in their power to rig this election. I’m counting on God to come through for us because we have no other power to depend on but God himself. So by faith I’m gonna go vote and by faith I’m gonna believe that God has this election in the palm of his hand and will protect the integrity of this election. That’s all I can do… I am not a rich person, I don’t have political pull, I am not famous, and I’m not a billionaire all I can do is cast my vote and pray.🙏🏻


12 posted on 10/19/2024 9:19:17 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: RoseofTexas

“As much as I wanna believe the polls which are bipolar right now I want to believe so very much that Trump is under polling and has a huge lead.”

They were really bipolar in August and September. They seem to be steading so far this month in Trump’s favor. RCP averages of battle ground polls have been amazingly accurate in 2016 and 2020. Trump is up slightly in every battle ground state average. Would be nice to be 2-3% ahead by election day to make up for any cheat. All we need is for every Trump supporter to vote.

https://earlyvoteaction.com/
https://truethevote.org/donate
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/?utm_soure=website
https://www.gop.com/


13 posted on 10/19/2024 9:38:49 AM PDT by willk (Local news media. Just as big an enemy to this country as national media)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: thegagline

Yeah, Rs are ahead in NC in early voting despite being 30% behind at this time in 2020. Furthermore, Ds have more high propensity locations EVing than Rs, so they won’t have as many votes election day.

If this is systemic then fraud isn’t going to be a factor. There’s a good chance Trump wins NC early.


14 posted on 10/19/2024 9:48:55 AM PDT by struggle
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: willk

Very true. But how many times has the Republicans been leading and then all of a sudden other cities dump their fraudulent votes and completely evaporate their lead? You see I don’t trust the rats they’ve got something up their sleeves… I can sense it…. I can feel it they’re not going down with the kackles ship they’re gonna fight tooth and nail to win no matter what the costs! But you’re right it would be awesome if trump would be ahead by five points on election day. But unfortunately we’re going to have to wait and see what surprises these bastards have in store for us!


15 posted on 10/19/2024 9:59:58 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: thegagline

I don’t understand how she has any lead. Even if somebody doesn’t like Trump, why support Harris? The Biden administration has been a disaster from day one and she has even admitted she wouldn’t change anything. That’s one thing that really scares me now about this country. There are people genuinely stupid enough to want this idiot for President.


16 posted on 10/19/2024 10:25:48 AM PDT by Tammy60
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RoseofTexas

“all I can do is cast my vote and pray.🙏🏻”

BTTT


17 posted on 10/19/2024 10:32:36 AM PDT by SharpRightTurn (“Giving money & power to government is like giving whiskey & car keys to teenage boys” P.J. O’Rourke)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Tammy60

They can’t cheat if it isn’t close.


18 posted on 10/19/2024 10:32:49 AM PDT by willk (Local news media. Just as big an enemy to this country as national media)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Tammy60

“Even if somebody doesn’t like Trump, why support Harris?”

The mentality is thus:

Because at least she isn’t Hitler.

She will protect democracy.

She will lower taxes for hardworking families and lower prices while Trump will dramatically raise their taxes by nearly $4k per year.

She is a wonderful lady who worked hard for everything she has all her life while Trump just had everything handed to him.

Etc.

Those are the types of things blanketing the airwaves on many media outlets without any competing message. A huge number of voters are indeed influenced entirely by these media marketing and messaging campaigns, even if only subconsciously, by having it constantly fed into them. Most people don’t follow politics closely so they are passively influenced by things like this.

The base has left our candidates twisting in the wind for several election cycles in a row, being hit with the onslaught without any way of fighting back. We may indeed win this election, but we have made it far more difficult on ourselves than it had to be.


19 posted on 10/19/2024 1:59:28 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson