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Keyword: prognosticators

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  • Harris narrowly beats Trump in symbolic Guam straw poll

    11/05/2024 10:40:34 AM PST · by thegagline · 30 replies
    The New York Post ^ | 11/05/2024 | Ryan King
    Vice President Kamala Harris edged out former President Donald Trump in the US territory of Guam's quadrennial straw poll. With all precincts reporting, Harris defeated Trump 49.46% to 46.22%. Four years ago, Joe Biden defeated Trump by 14 percentage points. Guam is a US territory and its straw poll results, which have been held every four years since 1980, are non-binding and don't count toward the Electoral College. The island's straw poll result has corresponded to the popular vote winner in every election since 2004.
  • Pollster Frank Luntz reveals the exact moment he believes Kamala lost the election

    10/27/2024 9:12:44 AM PDT · by thegagline · 62 replies
    The Daily Mail ^ | Emma Richter
    During a CNN interview Wednesday, Luntz, also known as 'The Nostradamus of pollsters,' said the Democratic nominee was doing well in the polls until she 'froze' after focusing her attention on Donald Trump. 'She had the best 60 days of any presidential candidate in modern history,' Luntz said. And then the moment she turned anti-Trump and focused on him and said 'don't vote for me, vote against him.' That's when everything froze.' Luntz added that Trump is 'defined' as he is 'not gaining' and 'not losing' in the election, while his opponent is 'less well defined.' And if she continues...
  • TIPP Tracking Poll Day 6: Race Tightens As Harris's Lead Shrinks To One Point Trump Gains Ground In Tight Popular Vote While Holding Firm In Electoral Projections

    10/19/2024 8:21:13 AM PDT · by thegagline · 18 replies
    Tippinsights ^ | 10/19/2024 | Staff
    Vice President Kamala Harris's lead over Donald Trump has shrunk to just one point, with Harris at 48% and Trump close behind at 47%. This data from the sixth release of the 23-day TIPP tracking poll shows that the race is getting tighter. Recognized by The Washington Post in 2020 as the most accurate national presidential poll, TIPP continues to bring you the latest insights on the race. A growing sense of economic dissatisfaction looms large. The TIPP Tracking Poll shows that 53% of Americans feel worse off now compared to their situation pre-COVID. Democrats are the most optimistic, with...