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A non-media poll by Mason Dixon of central Florida Voters (I-4 Corridor) finds Donald Trump leading overall: 46% Trump to 42% for Clinton. More interestingly, and many would say more importantly, Donald Trump is leading Hillary Clinton by 14 points with independent voters: Trump 44%, Clinton 30% This tracks with the previous outline we shared discussing voter registration, voter intent, voter engagement, and voter analysis within Florida. All of the previous factors, without media spin, show Donald Trump positioned to crush Hillary Clinton in Florida. The Mason Dixon poll is especially valuable when you consider the strategic demographics of the...

Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton currently holds a slight lead over Republican Donald Trump among Florida voters. Statewide, 45% support Clinton, 42% back Trump, 6% say they will vote for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and 7% are undecided.

When National Journal buries a lede, man, they really bury it. A new poll from Mason-Dixon in Missouri of 625 likely voters shows what everyone already suspected --- that Todd Akin had blown a nine-point lead in Missouri's US Senate race and now trails by five, 49/44, to Claire McCaskill. But what many didn't expect was that the crash-and-burn of Akin would not damage Mitt Romney at all. In the 9th paragraph out of ten, we find out that Romney leads Barack Obama in the critical swing state, and it's not all that close: McCaskill's lead is a testament to...

Mason-Dixon Polling & Research / NBC News 10/22-23/08; Likely voters, MoE +/- 4% Mode: Live Telephone Interviews (As broadcast on Meet the Press) Iowa Obama 51, McCain 40 Georgia McCain 49, Obama 43 Missouri McCain 46, Obama 45

A round of new polls by Mason-Dixon and the Denver Post, the Las Vegas Review-Journal, and the Salt Lake Tribune will give everyone something to chew on. ... On the plus side for McCain, he’s surprisingly up by four points in New Mexico (45%-41%) and seven points in Nevada (46%-39%). On the minus side for him, he’s ahead only by six points in his home state of Arizona (47%-41%), and he’s trailing Obama by three in Colorado (46%-43%), although a new Quinnipiac poll out today has McCain up one in this state (47%-46%).

WASHINGTON — Democrats are slightly ahead of Republican incumbents in three election battleground states that will help determine control of the Senate, a series of polls released Sunday showed. In Montana, Democrat Jon Tester had the support of 47 percent of registered voters, while incumbent Republican Sen. Conrad Burns had the support of 40 percent. In Ohio, Democrat Rep. Sherrod Brown had 45 percent of registered voters, while incumbent Republican Sen. Mike DeWine had 43 percent. In Tennessee, Democratic Rep. Harold Ford Jr. had 43 percent, and former Chattanooga Mayor Bob Corker, the Republican Senate nominee, had 42 percent. Democrats...

NEW YORK - Incumbent Republican Senator George Allen and Democratic challenger Jim Webb are tied in the latest MSNBC/McClatchy poll conducted by Mason-Dixon. Each candidate received the support of 43 percent of likely voters in Virginia with 2 percent supporting a third candidate and 12 percent undecided. The results represent a rapid change in support for Allen, who was once not only thought to be a safe bet for re-election but perhaps a candidate for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination. If Allen were to lose, the chances of Democrats gaining control of the senate would be increased. The Democrats need...

Republican Sen. John Ensign retains a lead of more than 20 percentage points over his Democratic challenger, Jack Carter, according to a new Review-Journal poll. The poll, conducted last week by Washington, D.C.-based Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., found Ensign supported by 58 percent of those surveyed and Carter by 35 percent. The 23-point lead for Ensign is a good sign for the incumbent, who has consistently performed strongly in the Review-Journal's polling, although some other surveys have found him to be more vulnerable. A Mason-Dixon poll last month gave Ensign 54 percent of the vote; one in April put...

LAS VEGAS (AP) - Republican incumbent Jon Porter had a 47 percent to 37 percent lead over Democratic challenger Tessa Hafen in the race for Nevada's 3rd Congressional District seat, according to a new statewide poll. Meanwhile, the race for the House seat being vacated by Rep. Jim Gibbons remained too close to call Monday between Republican Secretary of State Dean Heller and Democratic university Regent Jill Derby. Heller drew 45 percent support from the 400 registered voters interviewed, while Derby drew 42 percent. The sampling error margin was plus or minus 5 percentage points, making the Heller-Derby race too...

THe Mason Dixon poll, conducted on behalf of Minnesota Public Radio and the St. Paul Pioneer Press, is similar to other independent polls released on the race last week. Both candidates are polling well among their core supporters but Klobuchar also has strong support from independent voters. St. Paul, Minn. — The poll interviewed 625 registered voters in Minnesota between September 18 and September 20. The poll found that a little more than half of those polled -- 52 percent -- support Democrat Amy Klobuchar. Thirty-seven percent support Republican Mark Kennedy. Independence Party member Robert Fitzgerald and Green Party member...

The controversy surrounding U.S. Sen. George Allen’s campaign trail remarks in August has helped turn his re-election race into a close contest, according to a poll conducted for The Roanoke Times and other Virginia newspapers. Allen, the Republican incumbent, leads Democrat Jim Webb by just 4 percentage points — 46 to 42 — in a survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. Allen’s lead has diminished by 12 points since a Mason-Dixon poll conducted in July, even though Webb was barely seen on the campaign trail for much of the summer. The erosion of Allen’s lead is largely because of...

More Nevadans know Jack Carter today than four months ago, but the president's son turned Democratic Senate candidate is still far from giving the Republican incumbent a competitive run. According to a new Review-Journal poll, if the general election were held today, Sen. John Ensign would attract 54 percent of the state's votes. Almost a quarter, 23 percent, of Democrats would vote for him, as would half of Clark County, a Democratic stronghold. Thirty-three percent of voters statewide said they'd vote for Carter, and 13 percent were undecided. "We've got work to do, but I'm pleased with the direction it's...

RICHMOND -- U.S. Sen. George Allen holds a comfortable lead in his race for re-election and boasts a solid job approval rating, according to a poll commissioned by The Roanoke Times and other Virginia newspapers. The Republican senator leads Democratic challenger James Webb by 16 percentage points in a statewide survey conducted last week by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. But one-fifth of the voters remain undecided, and Allen still lacks majority support in his bid for a second term, according to the poll. Allen has the support of 48 percent of the voters surveyed and leads Webb by wide margins...

A statewide poll shows 76 percent of respondents support a proposed state constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage. The Mason-Dixon poll for the Chattanooga Times Free Press found strong support among 642 Tennessee voters who were interviewed in a telephone survey between July 17th and 19th. Fifteen percent said they'd vote against it and nine percent were undecided. The poll has an error margin of plus or minus four percent. Support for the amendment was strongest among men and residents of East Tennessee, where 81 percent of respondents said they would vote for it. The question will appear on the November...

TAMPA - Attorney General Charlie Crist may be running away with the Republican nomination in the governor's race, a new poll for The Tampa Tribune and WFLA, News Channel 8, shows. Crist leads Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher 55 percent to 24 percent among likely Republican voters surveyed last week by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. The race for the Democratic nomination remains wide open, however,with a majority of the Democrats surveyed undecided on whether to support U.S. Rep. Jim Davis, of Tampa, or state Sen. Rod Smith, of Alachua. Of those who chose a candidate, Davis led 29 percent to...

John Jacob, a political neophyte, has ridden anxieties over immigration into striking distance of unseating Rep. Chris Cannon in the 3rd Congressional District race, according to a Salt Lake Tribune poll. The survey of 400 likely voters, conducted Monday through Thursday, found Eagle Mountain businessman Jacob and five-term congressman Cannon in a dead heat with 44 percent of voters favoring Cannon to 41 percent for Jacob, leaving enough voters on the fence to throw the race either way. Among those who insist they are "definite" about turning out Tuesday to vote, Jacob holds a slight edge: 45 percent to 44...

...In the poll, voters give Jeb Bush a record high rating for his performance as governor. But they disagree with one of his top educational priorities: By a slim majority, they want to maintain class size limits passed in a 2002 referendum, which Bush wants to revise. Voters agree with the governor by a plurality, however, on another of his educational goals - reinstating the statewide private school tuition voucher program, which was struck down by the state Supreme Court. ...The poll, done by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. for the Tribune and News Channel 8, tapped the opinions of...

TAMPA - A new poll shows U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson maintaining a lead of 16 percentage points over potential challenger Katherine Harris, a lead unchanged despite problems that have plagued Harris' campaign. At the same time, voters are seeing Nelson's performance in office in a more positive light. His job approval ratings have gone well over 50 percent, an unprecedented level in this poll. Pollster Brad Coker said that's probably because Nelson has avoided a high profile on divisive national issues recently, concentrating instead on state issues, and because he's coming out of the shadow of former Sen. Bob Graham....

HELENA — Both Republican U.S. Sen. Conrad Burns and Rep. Denny Rehberg lead trial matchups against potential Democratic opponents for the 2006 election and, as incumbents, are far better known among the voters, a new Lee Newspapers poll shows.The telephone survey, taken May 23-25 of 625 likely Montana voters by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. If the 2006 Senate election were held today, Burns would defeat state Auditor John Morrison, a Democrat, by a 49 to 34 percent margin, with 17 percent undecided. Burns leads among men by...

Republican Rep. Jim Gibbons has both the highest name recognition and the best chance to be Nevada's next governor, according to a poll of statewide voters. Gibbons trounces potential Republican primary opponents and beats both likely Democratic candidates by double digits, according to the survey of 625 Nevada voters commissioned by the Review-Journal and reviewjournal.com. Voters were polled May 12-14 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., based in Washington, D.C. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. For the Republican and Democratic subgroup questions, the margin is 6 percentage points. On the high...