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Keyword: trumppoll

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  • These Models Predicted Trump’s Victory in 2016; Here’s What They Say for 2020

    10/11/2020 1:51:43 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 55 replies
    Epoch Times ^ | 10/10/2020 | BY IVAN PENTCHOUKOV
    Hillary Clinton headed into Election Day in 2016 with a lead in the polls so significant that even the establishment media outlets viewed the Democratic presidential nomineeÂ’s victory as all but certain.At the same time, a number of predictive models, three of which were highlighted by The Epoch Times before the election, against all odds forecasted a victory for the Republican nominee, Donald Trump.Ahead of the 2020 election, two models again point to a Trump victory, despite the polls, while another is forecasting, with a significant question mark, a narrow victory for Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden.S&P 500 In...
  • Gallup Poll Shows How Trump Stacks Up on Critically Important Question, Dems Should Be Very Worried About the Answer

    10/11/2020 2:08:26 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 15 replies
    Red State ^ | 10/11/2020 | Nick Arama
    Earlier I reported on some polls that were indicating good news for President Donald Trump.Among the polls covered was the Zogby poll showing that he has a 51% approval rating. That’s an important metric to hit, as Gallup has observed that historically, “all incumbents with an approval rating of 50% or higher have won reelection, and presidents with approval ratings much lower than 50% have lost.” Zogby Analytics: Trump Approval at 51% (poll released on Oct 9; 833 likely voters; conducted 9/25-27)— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) October 9, 2020 Now there’s another important metric, this time from Gallup itself. During his...
  • Pollster Who Predicted 2016 Win Predicts Another Trump Victory

    10/16/2020 4:43:33 PM PDT · by Its All Over Except ... · 59 replies
    Twitter ^ | 10/16/2020 | Dan Bongino
    Pollster from Trafalgar: I predict Trump will win with...
  • Poll: Joe Biden, Donald Trump Statistically Tied in Pennsylvania

    10/13/2020 12:30:44 PM PDT · by ChicagoConservative27 · 75 replies
    Breitbart ^ | 10/13/2020 | Hannah Bleau
    Joe Biden (D) and President Donald Trump are statistically tied in Pennsylvania, a Trafalgar Group survey released Tuesday revealed. While the former vice president leads Trump 47.4 percent to 45.1 percent, Biden’s 2.3 percent lead is well within the survey’s +/- 2.97 percent margin of error, indicating a statistical tie in the state.
  • Over Half Still Say They Are Likely to Vote Against Trump [actually good news]

    10/13/2020 12:18:24 PM PDT · by nbenyo · 75 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/13/2020 | Rasmussen Reports
    Slightly more than half of voters still say they are more likely to vote against President Trump, a finding that hasn’t changed in a year of regular surveying. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters are more likely to vote for Trump in the 2020 presidential election. Fifty-two percent (52%) are more likely not to.
  • Donald Trump's Disapproval Rating Falls Six Points Over Three Months (Good News!)

    10/01/2020 7:29:47 AM PDT · by Responsibility2nd · 16 replies
    Newsweek ^ | 10-01-2020 | James Wallace
    President Donald Trump's net disapproval rating has slumped by six points since the end of July, but has remained steady over the past month as the coronavirus has continued to spread across the U.S. According to the FiveThirtyEight presidential popularity tracker, 52.9 percent of Americans disapproved of Trump's record in office on average as of Wednesday, while 43.7 percent approved. But back in the end of July, the president's disapproval rating was almost three points higher as 55.8 percent of U.S. adults told pollsters they were unhappy with the commander-in-chief.
  • Poll: Trump edging Biden in Arizona, Florida

    09/24/2020 7:09:40 AM PDT · by rintintin · 32 replies
    The Hill ^ | Sep 24 2020 | The Hill
    Poll: Trump edging Biden in Arizona, Florida
  • Trafalgar Group polls: outliers with uncanny knack for accurately sampling Trump vote

    09/22/2020 8:40:40 AM PDT · by chiller · 37 replies
    Just the News ^ | 9/21/20 | Carrie Sheffield
    Trafalgar Group, a Georgia-based polling firm known for its ability to correctly sample hard-to-reach, conservative Trump voters, shows President Trump with leads in the key battleground states of North Carolina, Florida and Michigan. During the 2016 presidential race — widely predicted wrong by the mainstream polling establishment —the Trafalgar Group was the only pollster within the RealClearPolitics polling aggregator to show candidate Donald Trump defeating rival Hillary Clinton in Michigan. Their polls in 2016 also showed Donald Trump winning Pennsylvania — again, they were nearly alone in projecting Trump's narrow victory there — and thus taking the White House. "Cahaly's...

    09/10/2020 3:29:48 PM PDT · by Eleutheria5 · 28 replies
    Ovation Eddie ^ | 11/9/20 | MSNBC
    Florida Hispanics like Trump; Venezuelans, Cubans, even Puerto Ricans. Democrats' hair on fire.
  • Trump Approval Rating Rises Despite Controversial Atlantic Article, Poll Shows

    09/10/2020 9:13:29 PM PDT · by Helicondelta · 68 replies ^ | 9/8/20
    President Donald Trump's approval rating does not appear to have been impacted by controversy in the wake of a recent Atlantic article claiming he had repeatedly made disparaging remarks about U.S. military members. Trump's job approval rating hit 47 percent in a Hill-HarrisX poll released Tuesday, his highest rating in the poll since June. The poll was conducted online among 2,832 registered voters from September 5 to 8. It has a margin of error of 1.84 percent. Republicans approved of Trump by an 81 percent majority, while 19 percent disapproved. Democrats had nearly opposite ratings, with 82 percent disapproving and...
  • POLL SHOCK: “Two-thirds of all respondents [in Miami-Dade, Florida] who chose to conduct their interviews in Spanish NOW support Trump” — Cuban-Americans Know Socialism Kills Nations

    09/08/2020 7:57:29 AM PDT · by wrrock · 29 replies
    TG ^ | 9/8/2020 | Evan
    Miami Cubans are okay with Trump being president for the next 20 years just to defeat communist Joe Biden. “Two-thirds of all respondents [in Miami-Dade, Florida] who chose to conduct their interviews in Spanish support Trump." Biden's lead over Trump in Miami-Dade is 17 points. For perspective, Hillary Clinton had a 30-point lead in Miami-Dade and still lost the state. See The Details....
  • Dead heat: Trump erases Biden’s 8-point lead in Pennsylvania

    09/04/2020 12:55:59 PM PDT · by entropy12 · 51 replies
    washingtonexaminer ^ | September 03, 2020 08:57 AM | P Bedard
    Former Vice President Joe Biden, who calls himself “a kid from Scranton,” has lost his wide lead over President Trump in his native Pennsylvania, where the 2020 presidential race is a dead heat. The latest Rasmussen Reports poll showed that both are tied at 46%. And, significantly, said the poll analysis, among the 82% of voters who said that they are “certain” how they will vote, Trump holds a 51%-49% advantage. Rasmussen is the second poll in two days to show the race in Pennsylvania, a key battleground state, has become a tie. The Monmouth University Poll said Wednesday that...
  • Donald Trump is heading for second presidential victory, poll shows

    08/30/2020 9:14:20 AM PDT · by Its All Over Except ... · 55 replies
    Express ^ | 8/30/20 | David Maddox
    In the latest monthly Democracy Institute (DI)/Sunday Express poll President Trump has 48 per cent of the popular support over the former vice president's 45 per cent. In the key swing states the gap is even bigger, with 49 per cent for Trump to 42 per cent for Biden giving the President a seven-point lead. ... Polling by the institute has previously accurately predicted both the 2016 US election result and Brexit. ... According to the poll, law and order is the top political issue with 37 per cent putting it as the most important, followed by 27 per cent...
  • Trump pops to 52%: ‘Best job approval rating on record,’ up with blacks, even Democrats (Zogby)

    08/26/2020 1:08:17 PM PDT · by 11th_VA · 146 replies
    Washington Examiner ^ | August 26, 2020 08:27 AM | By Paul Bedard August 26, 2020
    dwellers shocked by the Black Lives Matter protest violence raging in some cities, President Trump’s approval rating has hit a new high, according to a survey heavy with minority voters. The latest Zogby Analytics poll just shared with Secrets had Trump’s approval at 52%. “The president has recorded his best job approval rating on record,” said pollster Jonathan Zogby. What’s more, his approval rating among minorities was solid and, in the case of African Americans, shockingly high. Zogby said 36% of blacks approve of the president, as do 37% of Hispanics and 35% of Asians. Approval among independent voters is...
  • Trump's job approval rating jumps 5 percentage points, ahead of GOP convention

    08/24/2020 11:42:37 AM PDT · by Red Badger · 17 replies ^ | Updated: August 24, 2020 - 2:30pm | By Daniel Payne
    The increase is compared to a Just the News poll in July President Trump's job approval rating has increased by 5 percentage points from last month, according to a new Just the News Daily Poll with Scott Rasmussen. The new number was released the same day that the Republican Party starts in four-day nominating convention. Just the News Daily Poll With Scott Rasmussen Among registered voters in the poll, 45% say they approve of Trump's job in office, compared to 40 percent in a Just the News poll last month. A full 29% of respondents said they "strongly approve" of...
  • 'Fact check: True': Trump’s approval rating surges during Biden’s convention.....

    08/22/2020 8:25:48 AM PDT · by caww · 74 replies
    washingtonexaminer ^ | 8/21/2020 | PaulBedard
    This wasn’t supposed to happen. During this week’s Democratic National Convention, which was supposed to launch Joe Biden and Kamala Harris's ticket into the fall election with good feelings and high poll numbers, President Trump’s approval rating surged...... The Rasmussen Reports daily average for Trump, which is spread over three days, hit 51% this week — and has stayed there. In a reaction to Rasmussen’s poll, which was looked at over 250,000 times, a commenter wrote, “It’s not uncommon for candidates to receive a bump after a national political convention. It’s just that usually the convention is their own and...
  • New CNN poll showing 10-point momentum for Trump appears driven by people of color in swing states

    08/18/2020 7:55:51 AM PDT · by Red Badger · 33 replies
    Just the News ^ | Updated: August 17, 2020 - 6:14pm | By Carrie Sheffield
    CNN polling found 26% of 'people of color' approved of Trump in June, compared to 37% in August. A CNN poll released Sunday shows President Trump has narrowed Democratic rival Joe Biden's lead by 10 points since June, in part by what appears to be growing support for Trump among "people of color" in swing states. The new poll shows the Biden-Harris ticket leading the Trump-Pence ticket 50% to 46%, compared to early June when the numbers were 55% to 41%. Over the same period, the CNN poll found that 26% of "people of color" in battleground states approved of...
  • Polls are wrong, Trump will beat Biden: Billionaire fund manager Gundlach

    08/12/2020 2:07:26 PM PDT · by Olog-hai · 29 replies
    Fox Business ^ | 08/12/2020 | Jonathan Garber
    Billionaire bond fund manager Jeffrey Gundlach believes the polls are wrong and that President Trump will win a second term in the White House. “Will Joe Biden beat Donald Trump in November? I don’t think so,” Gundlach, CEO and chief investment officer of Los Angeles-based DoubleLine Capital, which has $148 billion in assets under management, said in a webcast on Tuesday evening, according to Bloomberg. He added that a “highly toxic political environment” makes the polls “very, very squishy.” A RealClear Politics average of national polls showed Biden, who was vice president in former President Barack Obama’s administration, leading by...
  • This Is Big! Trump Holds a 36% Approval Rating with Black Voters in the Latest Rasmussen Monthly Approval Summary

    08/09/2020 2:21:25 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 50 replies
    Gateway Pundit ^ | 08/09/2020 | Jim Hoft
    This should put Democrats in a panic. While Joe Biden continues to drop racist insults against prominent blacks President Trump continues to make inroads with black voters. Seen at the Beverly Hills rally for @realDonaldTrump today- “Black Lives MAGA” @AriDavidUSA — Jim Hoft (@gatewaypundit) August 8, 2020 President Trump holds a monthly approval rating of 36% with black voters. This was Trump’s monthly average with the black community. JULY 2020 – FULL MONTH JOB APPROVAL SUMMARYNational Likely Voter (LV) Job Approval of @POTUS – 47%Men LV App – 49%Women LV App – 44%GOP LV App – 79%Dem LV...
  • National Polls: Biden’s Lead over Trump Shrinks to 3 Points

    08/09/2020 10:11:09 PM PDT · by SmokingJoe · 43 replies
    Breitbart ^ | August 9 2020 | Michael Patrick Leahy
    Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s lead over President Trump in the national popular vote has shrunk to just three points, according to the two most recent polls released by major polling firms. The Hill-HarrisX poll released on Wednesday gave Biden a 43 percent to 40 percent lead in the national popular vote, while the Rasmussen Reports poll released on the same day gave Biden a 48 percent to 45 percent lead. Biden’s lead is slightly beyond the margin of error in both polls. The Hill HarrisX poll, “was conducted online within the United States from August 2-5, 2020 among...