Zogby Analytics:
Trump Approval at 51%
(poll released on Oct 9; 833 likely voters; conducted 9/25-27) pic.twitter.com/cvTLFBlvH3
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) October 9, 2020
Posted on 10/11/2020 2:08:26 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Earlier I reported on some polls that were indicating good news for President Donald Trump.
Among the polls covered was the Zogby poll showing that he has a 51% approval rating. That’s an important metric to hit, as Gallup has observed that historically, “all incumbents with an approval rating of 50% or higher have won reelection, and presidents with approval ratings much lower than 50% have lost.”
Zogby Analytics:
Trump Approval at 51%
(poll released on Oct 9; 833 likely voters; conducted 9/25-27) pic.twitter.com/cvTLFBlvH3
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) October 9, 2020
Now there’s another important metric, this time from Gallup itself.
During his presidential campaign in 1980, Ronald Reagan asked Americans, “Are you better off today than you were four years ago?” Since then, this question has served as a key standard that sitting presidents running for reelection have been held to.
So Gallup asked Americans between September 14-28 if they were better off now than they were four years ago and 56% said they were, even in the midst of a pandemic. The number was actually even higher in January before the virus at 61 percent.
% of Americans who say they are better off now than they were 4 years ago
Sept 2020: 56 percent
Dec 2012: 45 percent
Oct 2004: 47 percent
Oct 1992: 38 percent
July 1984: 44 percent
https://t.co/CmUJ6rOG3E pic.twitter.com/LadV3G1GdI— Rob Henderson (@robkhenderson) October 8, 2020
Not only is that a significant positive sign for Trump, if you look at the numbers of the presidents in the prior year, he’s higher than the presidents who were incumbents and won in those years – 1984, 1992, 2004 and 2012. He’s 12 points higher than Reagan who won in a landslide in 1984 and 11 points higher than Obama in 2012 in that number. That should terrify the Democrats, especially when combined with Trump’s approval number.
The poll also asked, regardless of who they support, who did they think was going to win? A majority of Americans said Trump, by a lot, from 56 to 40 precent.
President @realDonaldTrump on the Gallup poll showing 56% of Americans say they are better off than they were four years ago! pic.twitter.com/pVE2JL2Z1Q
— Team Trump (Text VOTE to 88022) (@TeamTrump) October 9, 2020
The poll also found that while MSM polls were saying that Biden was leading, that more Americans agreed with Trump’s policy position than with that of Biden, 49 to 46 percent.
With the 51% approval and the 56% better off poll, it’s hard to see how the MSM polls claiming Biden is leading by could be true.
It’s not adding up well for Biden. The Rats will try everything they can to steal the election.
Bottom line: Trump Prevails!
Looking at the enthusiasm gap with McCain in 2008, it would have been more like 73% without Palin.
I know the image says the number came from a Wash Post/ABC poll, but do you have a source link? When was this 29-point deficit supposedly measured? Thanks
Enthusiasm Gap?
Q. “Are you strongly or very enthusiastic about your choice of candidate?”
Trump voters = 83%
Biden voters = 49%
National popular vote
National popular vote (Image: Democracy Institute/Sunday Express)
Q. “Is your vote for Trump/Biden a positive vote for your candidate or a negative vote against his opponent?”
Trump voters: positive vote = 86%; negative vote = 14%
Biden voters: positive vote = 41%; negative vote = 59%
Why is the Zogby poll never cited? Zogby is a big time lib. Does anyone know his track record?
Thanks.
Thanks for that. Good stuff. I have found many older examples of Trump beating Biden pretty badly in enthusiasm - which is compounded by the fact that the party out of power (Presidential) is usually more motivated. Just haven’t found that poll yet, but part of the problem may be I used up my “free” articles.
The majority of people support Trump’s moves on immigration, the economy, trade, foreign policy.
Trump’s been endorsed by law enforcement all over the country. Trump has a growing amount of support among Hispanics and blacks. He’s also got really good numbers for in-party support, among the highest of any president. He got tremendous turnout for him in an uncontested primary season. There are hundreds of pro-Trump rallies across the country.
That’s why I don’t believe the “polls” being pushed by the Media/Dem Party.
Emerald Robinson
Latin cross
Retweeted
Classical Theist
this guys gonna tell you about good winning instincts
Image
Quote Tweet
Nate Silver
· 10 Oct
Ehh. More likely he's panicking, is suffering from some lingering effects of COVID, is surrounded by people giving him bad advice, has never had particularly good instincts for winning general elections, and doesn't really have any plan from day to day. twitter.com/gabrielsherman…
5:00 am · 10 Oct 2020·Twitter for iPhone
45
https://mobile.twitter.com/ClassicalTheis/status/1314777856581554176
Bingo! I told people at the time (& still tell people ;^), "Sarah Palin is better qualified to be President, than ANY of the other candidates for president or VP!" Obama was an empty chair, Biden a rabid dog, and McCain a train wreck...
Without Palin I know a bunch of conservatives who were voting 3rd party on 08. I know one Goldwater conservative who held and still holds McCain in utter disdain and without Palin he wouldn’t even consider talking about voting for McCain. McCain even with Palin was a hard pill to swallow. McCain was a total backstabbing establishment ahole first class.
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