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Tropical Storm Earl Discussion Number 12 Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on August 16, 2004 this morning...a U.S. Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft was unable to find a closed circulation in Earl. This is also the case with a recent Quikscat pass. So Earl has degenerated into an open tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea. The wave is moving west-northwestward at about 22 kt. Surface winds over the central Caribbean Sea associated with the wave are in the 25 to 35 kt range.

Tropical Storm Earl Discussion Number 10 Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on August 15, 2004 if not for the government of Venezuela this probably would have been the last advisory on Earl...at least for now. The reconnaissance aircraft scheduled to investigate Earl this evening was denied access to venezuelan airspace. Had they been able to get to the storm...I doubt they would have found a closed circulation...as the Quikscat ambiguities at 22z look more like an open wave. However...there is enough doubt to keep advisories going until the next aircraft arrives tomorrow morning...and indications are that that mission will...

Tropical Storm Earl Forms Near the Lesser AntillesTROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM AST SAT AUG 14 2004 ...EARL CONTINUING QUICKLY TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...THE GRENADINES...TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES...AND ST. LUCIA.  INTERESTS AROUND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.8 WEST OR ABOUT  300 MILES... 480 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH ...39 KM/HR...AND THIS...

Say Hello to Earl