Posted on 06/26/2024 1:34:35 PM PDT by oldskoolwargamer2
Nate Silver's current model of the 2024 Presidential Election has Trump at 66% to win. Nate is pretty good I think, he had the highest odds of anyone in 2016 for Trump.
Nate Silver is the idiot who said 4-5 times, over more than a month, that we’d hit “Peak Trump,” and that Trump would descend into obscurity.
His numbers were ALWAYS wrong.
What was his prediction in 2020, and is he trying to factor in vote fraud for 2024?
This is yet another reference to how unlikely Nate said Trump was:
Note how YouTube deleted Real Clear Politics’ videos that showed anything bad for Nate.
He will change the prediction by August/September, to be in line with democrat propaganda. Now he just wants everyone’s attention.
He had Biden at 90% in 2020. But he also forecast the popular vote at 8% in Biden’s favor, so a pretty big miss there.
If anything he was low on Trump in 2020. Probably because most polls overestimated Biden by 5-10% both nationally and statewide. Florida was the worst miss.
It should be pointed out that his model is primarily a fancy poll aggregator. If the polls are off his numbers will be off.
Don’t buy this red wave crap. The Democrat abortion card is very potent.
Didn’t Nate Silver create FiveThirtyEight?
When was that?
The Republicans just need to replicate Democrats on all issues, then they can win.
The libs worship him so this is entertaining.
Thanks. I don’t pay much attention to polls and predictions.
In 2016 he had Clinton over 70 percent...until the results started coming in.
Indeed! It was the main reason women came out of the woodwork to vote and killed the red wave in 2022. Roe Vs Wade was the catalyst. And it did not help when Senator Linda Graham proposed a time restriction on abortions.
What was his prediction in 2020, and is he trying to factor in vote fraud for 2024?
************
The fraud will happen just like in 2016 & 2020, but Biden is dead meat no matter what they do.
If Biden wasn’t in serious trouble he wouldn’t be debating Trump, he would just hide in his Delaware basement and wait for victory.
Never, forget official RNC policy was no more debates because of liberal bias against Republicans, this was a Trump change that occurred after 2020 within the RNC.
Then the Biden campaign offered up terms they thought would be turned down, but Trump said “Let’s do it.”
The Biden campaign is like Johnny Ringo in the movie Tombstone, thinking he was going to be in a duel with Wyatt Earp(a guy he could take) and ending up with Doc Holliday.(Oh shit!)
Yes. Lindsey Lohan Graham, my senator, thought that the 6 week Fla ban was too extreme and repulsing female voters so he offered the 15 week compromise. Little did he know that the left demands no abortion restrictions up to post birth. There is no compromise. 15 weeks just pissed off the pro life wing of the Republican party. Yes. Graham is a dope. Sorry
Graham just dances to the tune his masters are playing.
We all know that Trump will have more real votes, again. The problem lies in the FACT that RINO’s are working with commie Dims to steal our votes to destroy and “fundamentally change” the USA.
Isn’t that what the republican’ts have been doing for the last 30 years?
The cute video that strung his “Peak Trump” comments is something I now can’t find, but this is one article speaking to some of the occasions:
https://dailycaller.com/2016/05/04/7-times-nate-silver-was-hilariously-wrong-about-donald-trump/
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