What was his prediction in 2020, and is he trying to factor in vote fraud for 2024?
He had Biden at 90% in 2020. But he also forecast the popular vote at 8% in Biden’s favor, so a pretty big miss there.
If anything he was low on Trump in 2020. Probably because most polls overestimated Biden by 5-10% both nationally and statewide. Florida was the worst miss.
It should be pointed out that his model is primarily a fancy poll aggregator. If the polls are off his numbers will be off.
What was his prediction in 2020, and is he trying to factor in vote fraud for 2024?
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The fraud will happen just like in 2016 & 2020, but Biden is dead meat no matter what they do.
If Biden wasn’t in serious trouble he wouldn’t be debating Trump, he would just hide in his Delaware basement and wait for victory.
Never, forget official RNC policy was no more debates because of liberal bias against Republicans, this was a Trump change that occurred after 2020 within the RNC.
Then the Biden campaign offered up terms they thought would be turned down, but Trump said “Let’s do it.”
The Biden campaign is like Johnny Ringo in the movie Tombstone, thinking he was going to be in a duel with Wyatt Earp(a guy he could take) and ending up with Doc Holliday.(Oh shit!)