He had Biden at 90% in 2020. But he also forecast the popular vote at 8% in Biden’s favor, so a pretty big miss there.
If anything he was low on Trump in 2020. Probably because most polls overestimated Biden by 5-10% both nationally and statewide. Florida was the worst miss.
It should be pointed out that his model is primarily a fancy poll aggregator. If the polls are off his numbers will be off.
Thanks. I don’t pay much attention to polls and predictions.
In 2020 - excluding California and New York state...
Trump won the Popular Vote in the other 48 states and the District of Columbia by 37,000 votes.