HOWARD MEGDAL: What can 2009 tell us about 2012? If we’re talking purely polls, not a lot. After all, last election cycle, I was the one arguing that the Rudy/Hillary matchup simply wasn’t going to happen, no matter what the polls were saying. But while I normally fall into line with the FiveThirtyEight.com view on political questions, I think the takeaway from this set of polling questions isn’t that Mike Huckabee deserves more respect. Rather, it reinforces just how commanding position Sarah Palin is in for the 2012 GOP nomination.