Free Republic

Finally people are starting to wake up...

To my Conservative Friends: Unlike 4 years ago when I was the one bringing you the sorry news that we needed a miracle to avoid the election of the biggest empty suit that has ever sat in the oval office (see the 2008 article here), I come bearing gifts and good news!!! I have been saying for over a year now that Romney will beat the Messiah by 5 points (52-47) and carry a comfortable electoral majority in the range of 279-308.  In fact, this is the way I see the electoral college breaking down on election night:

I am so appalled by this late shift in method that I will not cite another Gallup poll in a column between now & Election Day.— Jay Cost (@JayCostTWS) October 10, 2012

1. After two election cycles in the political wilderness, conservatives appear to be rallying in advance of the 2010 midterm election. In new Gallup numbers released this morning, 42 percent of Americans describe themselves as conservative while 35 percent say they are moderates and 20 percent call themselves liberals. The 42 percent of self-described conservatives would be a record high for Gallup, which has been asking the question since 1992, if the trend continued through the final six months of the year. (The data for the first six months of 2010 was culled from eight national surveys conducted by Gallup.)...

Gallup Polls: Younger Americans More Strongly Pro-Life on Abortion Washington, DC -- The Gallup polling agency released an analysis today of its polling data going back to 1975 and it found that younger Americans are currently more strongly pro-life than middle-aged Americans. The polling results give the pro-life movement hope that public opinion will continue moving in the pro-life direction. http://www.LifeNews.com/nat6111.html

March 20, 2007 Giuliani Top Choice Among Both Moderate, Conservative Republicans Gingrich, Romney do better among conservatives than moderates by Jeffrey M. Jones GALLUP NEWS SERVICEPRINCETON, NJ -- With the 2008 Republican presidential field beginning to come into shape, there are still questions and apparent opportunities for a favorite "conservative" candidate to emerge. The three leading announced contenders -- Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, and Mitt Romney -- have taken stances in the past that are out of step, if not unpopular, with conservative voters, although all have taken recent steps to try to reassure conservatives. The key question is...

PRINCETON, New Jersey, March 9, 2006 (LifeSiteNews.com) – Over half of America’s teenagers believe homosexuality comes from a person’s environment and upbringing, and is not something a person is born with, according to a new Gallup Youth survey. The poll looked at the responses from 546 teenagers, ages 13-17. When asked if being gay is due to outside factors, such as up bringing and environment, or if it is something a person is born with, 59 percent of teenagers said homosexuality comes from outside factors. Just 41 percent said they think people are born gay. On this question, girls scored...

NEW YORK A new Gallup poll shows that the public values “values” less than November exit polls suggested, but another survey from the same outfit released today shows a historic surge in Republican party affiliation. In Gallup's latest poll this month, those identifying themselves as Republicans jumped to 37% of the public, with Democrats now clearly trailing with 32%. Democrats have long held more party members than Republicans. During the Clinton years, the bulge was about 5% to 6%. As recently as late-October of this year the Democratic edge was 37% to 34%. Gallup noted today: “Post-election shifts in partisanship...

Check out the accuracy of Gallup polls since 1936, they have been close most years and even a little low. That means to me that Bush wins. Gallup has bush up 51 to 46. That tells me that Bush wins by 53 to 45. 2000 Bush 48.0 47.9 +0.1 Gore 46.0 48.4 -2.4 Nader 4.0 2.7 +1.3 1996 Clinton 52.0 49.2 +2.8 Dole 41.0 40.7 -0.3 Perot 7.0 8.4 -1.4 1992 Clinton 49.0 43.3 +5.7 Bush 37.0 37.7 -0.7 Perot 14.0 19.0 -5.0 1988 Bush 56.0 53.9 +2.1 Dukakis 44.0 46.1 -2.1 1984 Reagan 59.0 59.2 -0.2 Mondale 41.0 40.8...