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Even in Republican Arizona, Barack Obama has a healthy lead over Sarah Palin. With the state swinging away from Democrats, having Palin on the ballot come general election time next year is Obama's best hope of winning the Grand Canyon State, according to a new poll. Democrats have taken Arizona in only one presidential race since 1952. Continue Reading The survey by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling found Obama topping Palin 49 percent to 41 percent in the state. That's significantly better than he fares against other candidates — Obama trails Mitt Romney by 6 points, Mike Huckabee by 4 points,...

I’m highly skeptical — this is a state the GOP’s won in every election since 1964 — but their sample doesn’t seem obviously skewed to me. The partisan breakdown is 48R/38D/14I; the sample in the state’s 2008 exit poll on election day was 42R/36D/22I. If anything, PPP skewed too heavily towards Republicans. The ideological sample is similarly in line. For PPP, it’s 43 percent conservative, 44 percent moderate, and 13 percent liberal. In 2008 on election day, the exit poll had it 35 percent conservative, 50 percent moderate, and 15 percent liberal. Again, PPP’s numbers tilt against Obama. And their...

Monday nights of The Daily Show often serve as a recap of stories that broke later in the previous week, that sometimes have a “clearinghouse” effect that makes the episode feel less newsworthy. Occasionally however, there are great news moments — combined with very clever and insightful writing — that create comedy magic. Like tonight, when Jon Stewart took Sarah Palin’s “WTF” assessment of Obama’s State of the Union speech and came up with the only logical conclusion: Sarah Palin is a Russian Agent! Video at link