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Articles Posted by johncocktoasten

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  • ABC News/Washington COMPost: National race stands at 47-43 Clinton-Trump

    11/07/2016 5:19:39 AM PST · by johncocktoasten · 52 replies
    The Washington Post ^ | 11/7/2016 | Scott Clement and Emily Guskin
    "...Clinton leads among voters who said they plan to vote early by 49 to 41 percent, a group that makes up 14 percent of likely voters. The 51 percent of likely voters who say they will vote on Election Day split 45 percent for Trump and 43 percent for Clinton. But the poll also finds Trump’s support may be concentrated in places where it matters most. Trump receives 51 percent to 41 percent for Clinton in Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina and Ohio in 336 combined interviews in these states over the week ending Saturday. Clinton leads by...
  • Trump: 'Now it's up to the American people to deliver justice'

    11/06/2016 5:19:53 PM PST · by johncocktoasten · 34 replies
    By Ashley Killough CNN STERLING HEIGHTS, Michigan (CNN) -- Donald Trump called on voters Sunday to "deliver justice at the ballot box on November 8," hours after FBI Director James Comey again cleared Hillary Clinton over her use of a private email server. Trump, speaking at a rally in Sterling Heights, Michigan, did not directly mention Comey's announcement. But in calling Clinton "the most corrupt person ever to seek the office of the presidency of the United States," Trump said, "you can't review 650,000 new email in eight days. You can't do it, folks." excerpt
  • ObamaCare: Coverage for Post Evacuative Cleanups?

    08/21/2009 4:57:28 PM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 13 replies · 1,255+ views
    The Cocktoasten Times | 8/21/2009 | John L Cocktoasten
    George and Porgy Schatzenberger of Greenbow, IL are just like your average ordinary American couple. George was laid off from a auto part manufacturer about 7 years ago, and Porgy is a stay at home mom, caring for the couples two hamsters and a pet tropical fish. They enjoy their simple life. Thanks to increased funding for EBT, they are able to have twice weekly steak and lobster cookouts. Just recently, they were able to purchase a new car using the “Cash for Clunkers” program. George and Porgy might outwardly appear to be sedentary people. After all, George is carrying...
  • Back to Basics on ObamaCare

    08/21/2009 6:34:45 AM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 14 replies · 1,046+ views
    John L Cocktoasten | 8/21/2009 | johncocktoasten
    George and Porgy Schatzenberger of Greenbow, IL are just like your average ordinary American couple. George was laid off from a auto part manufacturer about 7 years ago, and Porgy is a stay at home mom, caring for the couples two hamsters and a pet tropical fish. They enjoy their simple life. Thanks to increased funding for EBT, they are able to have twice weekly steak and lobster cookouts. Just recently, they were able to purchase a new car using the “Cash for Clunkers” program. George and Porgy might outwardly appear to be sedentary people. After all, George is carrying...
  • Woman gives birth on pavement 'after being refused ambulance' (ObamaCare preview courtesy of NHS)

    08/18/2009 8:33:58 AM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 45 replies · 1,575+ views
    UK Daily Mail ^ | 8/17/2009
    A young mother gave birth on a pavement outside a hospital after she was told to make her own way there. Mother-of-three Carmen Blake called her midwife to ask for an ambulance when she went into labour unexpectedly with her fourth child. But the 27-year-old claims she was refused an ambulance and told to walk the 100m from her house in Leicester to the city's nearby Royal Infirmary. Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1207151/Woman-gives-birth-pavement-refused-ambulance.html#ixzz0OY6FVORP.... Today a spokeswoman for the University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust said: 'We are disappointed that Ms Blake was not happy with the advice and care she received and...
  • Social Security To Be Saved Through ObamaCare?

    08/12/2009 8:04:33 AM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 17 replies · 632+ views
    vanity | 8/12/2009 | johncocktoasten
    What insurance company would be allowed to sell a Life Only Annuity and at the same time, run the HMO that the Annuitant depends on for life sustaining care? The answer is none. Because the insurable risk, the risk of outliving income, is borne by the insurance company. Insurers would be in the position of reducing the level of their own risk by reducing the level of care given to Annuitants thru their HMO. This doesn’t happen in the United States, except in the circumstance of Veterans. Veterans receive their Annuity/Pension from the government, and receive their medical care from...
  • Recovery.gov-$3.5 million spent on 4 lbs of frozen sliced Ham (via Drudge)

    07/20/2009 4:41:32 AM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 13 replies · 954+ views
    DrudgeReport.com ^ | 7/20/2009 | recovery.gov
    Research request, need to know political donations made by Clougherty Packing LLC of Los Angeles, CA.
  • What must one do to get the Death Penalty in Georgia? Nichols to receive only life sentence

    12/12/2008 5:16:44 PM PST · by johncocktoasten · 11 replies · 564+ views
    wsbtv ^ | 12/12/2008 | johncocktoasten
    Title says it all
  • Colorado Early Vote Update (great news!!)

    11/04/2008 8:56:57 AM PST · by johncocktoasten · 16 replies · 3,714+ views
    NRO ^ | 11/4/2008 | Jim Gerharty
    Republicans Kept Pace in Colorado's Early Voting These results from early voting in Colorado are fascinating. Out of 1,704,280 "early votes" cast, over 50% of registered voters, the percentage breakdown was: Dem 33.44% (569,875) Rep 32.64% (556,241) Ind. 24.71% (421,124) The print edition of this story shows a graphic with the following information: Voting by absentee ballot: Total 1,339,065 Rep. 441,841 Dem. 441,203 Ind. 311,196 Voting by early voting: Total 365,215 Dem. 128,672 Rep. 114,400 If I remember correctly, Republicans traditionally have an advantage in early voting in Colorado, so this isn't unalloyed good news. But I generally concur with...
  • Nevada Early Vote Stats Reveal Obama Underperforms Party ID

    11/03/2008 5:32:52 PM PST · by johncocktoasten · 25 replies · 2,200+ views
    The Cocktoasten Times ^ | 11/03/2008 | John L Cocktoasten
    First a few facts about Nevada Voter Registration and the Electorate: In 2004, Republicans had a registered voter advantage of 4500 voters in Nevada over Democrats. The raw numbers, 429808 Dems 434239 Reps, out of a total of 107101 registered, active voters. At the close of registrations, Democrats have a 100,500 registered voter advantage in Nevada. Raw numbers 531223 Dems 430432 Reps out of a total of 1207423 Registered Active Voters. With early voting finished, 561,625 Nevadans cast early ballots, 46.51% of the registered active voter pool. Most of the voters in Nevada are concentrated in Washoe and Clark Counties,...
  • Why McCain Will Win

    11/01/2008 3:12:37 PM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 102 replies · 3,349+ views
    The Cocktoasten Times | 11/1/08 | John L Cocktoasten
    My FRiends all you need to know about this election is as follows: You can't win an election by losing 20% of your own base and losing independents. Forget about Gallup or Rasmussen tracking polls and their special sauce weighting for party ID. Rasmussen says today that Obama receives support from only 75% of Democrats and is losing independents by a slight margin, but incredibly, defying laws of math and physics still leads McCain by 4% overall. Friends, that simply is not possible. If you are looking for a poll showing a McCain lead before election day, you can forget...
  • UPDATED COLORADO EARLY VOTE NUMBERS AS OF 4:19PM 10/31 (GIRD YOURSELF RICH LOWRY)

    10/31/2008 2:13:20 PM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 153 replies · 5,818+ views
    Colorado Secretary of State ^ | 10/31/2008 | johncocktoasten
    As of 4:19PM 10/31/2008 Ballots Returned by Mail or Early Vote BY PARTY ID ONLY. Statewide Dems 488,575 37.6% Reps 465,869 35.9% Ind 336,511 25.9% There are several third party ballots that make up the difference, but the percentages are calculated based on the inclusion of third party ballots in the total. 61% of requested mail in ballots have been returned at this point. Some key counties and their return breakdowns: Boulder (Univ. of Colorado)- 78394 out of 121503 mail in ballots returned (64.5%) Denver- 101510 out of 194631 mail in ballots returned (52.1%) Arapahoe County (Denver Burbs)- 109756 out...
  • Sarah Palin to appear in Dubuque, IA 11/3 (IA Not in Play Alert)

    10/31/2008 5:34:55 AM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 16 replies · 1,000+ views
    johnmccain.com ^ | 10/31/2008 | johnmccain.com
    Sarah Palin to appear in Iowa on the day before the election.
  • Some REAL numbers from Virginia (and why McCain will win)

    10/27/2008 12:56:19 PM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 29 replies · 2,500+ views
    johncocktoasten ^ | 10/28/2008 | johncocktoasten
    Some real numerical analysis from the Commonwealth of Virginia, tells a slightly different tales from the one portrayed in the national media, and their criminal accomplices the pollsters. The narrative being spun around the country by the astroturfing propaganda machine on steroids Obama campaign is that there is a ton of huge new voter registration and new voters that will carry Obama to a prolific landslide victory. But the actual historical numbers tell a different story, but a story that is becoming increasingly common this cycle. The statistics support this election being very normal and conventional. Below are the actual...
  • Colorado Vote Stats look Promising for McCain

    10/26/2008 7:40:42 PM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 28 replies · 1,490+ views
    Vanity Self ^ | 10/25/2008 | Johncocktoasten
    Early Vote Tallies in Colorado hold promise for McCain Nationwide, most polls show John McCain outperforming his Party ID in the Range of 2-4%. This fact is primarily due to a slight edge with independents along with more strength among Republicans than Obama enjoys with Democrats. The early vote stats, along with the active registered voters stats in Colorado are very revealing. 1. Inspite of Democrats having a 26,000 vote edge in the number of Mail In Ballots requested (580240-D to 554485-R) Republicans lead by 2500 in the number of ballots actually returned thus far (184475-D to 186956-R). Democrats lead...
  • Colorado Early Voting Shows a Close Race (don't buy the DBM Bravo Sierra!!)

    10/24/2008 1:20:40 PM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 52 replies · 1,420+ views
    5280.com ^ | 10/23/08 | Jeralyn Merritt
    Thursday, October 23, 2008 Colorado Early Voting Shows a Close Race Despite the polls showing Senator Barack Obama with a significant lead over John McCain in Colorado, 9News reports that the early numbers for the first two days of voting show the race may be close. According to early voting statistics posted by Colorado’s Secretary of State on Tuesday, 96,104 mail-in ballots were returned by Democrats. Republicans turned in 99,306. When looking at the number of voters who showed up at early voting centers, 9,173 were Democrats and 6,309 were Republicans.
  • Breaking: New poll shows Russell over Murtha, 48-35 (PA is well within reach)

    10/24/2008 10:00:01 AM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 49 replies · 1,895+ views
    http//michellemalkin.com ^ | 10/24/2008 | michelle malkin
    About Contact Archives RSS Columns Photos About Contact Archives RSS Columns Photos Michelle Malkin Breaking: New poll shows Russell over Murtha, 48-35 By Michelle Malkin • October 23, 2008 02:58 PM A Pennsylvania source has just leaked me brand spanking new poll data showing GOP upstart Bill Russell leading John Murtha among over 800 probable voters by 48-35. This comes on top of the Susquehanna poll showing Murtha ahead of Russell by 4 points, within the margin of error. The new poll is from Dane and Associates, which surveyed over 800 probable voters, randomly selected to reflect the district makeup,...
  • A Six Percent Partisan Advantage For Democrats Nationwide Sounds Right (not so fast there!)

    10/24/2008 8:05:23 AM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 13 replies · 1,073+ views
    National Review Online ^ | 10/24/2008 | Jim Gerharty
    Jim, I read your blog posting on the Party ID and that you felt D+6 was a reasonable weighting. I wish to challenge that assertion. If you review elections for the past 20 years Democrats have never had a Party ID advantage over 4%. And the 4% Margin came in 1996. http://www.pollster.com/blogs/party_id_the_case_for_weights.php Also, I would contend that in the poll analysis across the media, including the derelicts at Real Clear Politics, there is a garbage in/garbage out effect. RCP is using blatantly bogus polls to inflate Obama margins, to further the narrative that the election isn't close. In my review...
  • Vanity: AP/GFK poll analysis yield intriguing results (O-44 M-43)LV

    10/22/2008 2:24:41 PM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 22 replies · 1,094+ views
    Indulge me for a minute with some quick analysis of this exciting poll issued today. First McCain is shown trailing by 1% on the headline, but if you dive in the actual count where strength of support is gauged, McCain/Palin draws a Likely Voter count of 294 Likely Voters against Obama/Biden Likely Voter Count of 277. This would actually show an edge to McCain 51.5% to 48.5% of responding likely Voters. Second piece of good news is that Obama has twice the percentage of voters that "Could Change their Mind" 4% to 2%. Third piece of information that helps is...
  • America is facing media's "Battle of the Bulge"

    10/21/2008 6:52:01 PM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 10 replies · 600+ views
    john l cocktoasten | 10/21/2008 | johncocktoasten
    "It is often darkest just before dawn." -Sojourner Truth My FRiends, I am issuing a call to arms. Ping, forward and share with those you love and care about. Tonight, we find ourselves in the midst of a pitched battle. The victor of this battle will control the direction of American government. Note that I do not say that they control the destiny of the American people, for those that govern and the form our government takes, is derived from the consent of the governed. This is a natural law, and failure by the government to perform will deliver the...