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  • The AI Layoff Trap

    04/13/2026 5:47:47 PM PDT · by ProtectOurFreedom · 48 replies
    Economics > Theoretical Economics ^ | March 21, 2026 | Brett Hemenway Falk, Gerry Tsoukalas
    If AI displaces human workers faster than the economy can reabsorb them, it risks eroding the very consumer demand firms depend on. We show that knowing this is not enough for firms to stop it. In a competitive task-based model, demand externalities trap rational firms in an automation arms race, displacing workers well beyond what is collectively optimal. The resulting loss harms both workers and firm owners. More competition and "better" AI amplify the excess; wage adjustments and free entry cannot eliminate it. Neither can capital income taxes, worker equity participation, universal basic income, upskilling, or Coasian bargaining. Only a...