TO: Campaign LeadershipFROM: Matthew Dowd, BC’04 Chief StrategistRE: The most recent Washington Post-ABC News PollDATE: 7/27/04ABC News/Washington Post PollJuly 22-25, 2004. N=1,202 adults, 974 RVs.At the start of the Democratic National Convention, President Bush and John Kerry are locked in a tight race. President Bush now holds a 1-point lead over John Kerry among registered voters, 49% to 48%. The closeness of the race is confirmed by the recent FOX News poll, which showed the race tied at 44%. While history suggests that Kerry should still receive a "bounce" of up to 15 points from his convention, it is clear that his selection of...