Free Republic 3rd Qtr 2025 Fundraising Target: $81,000 Receipts & Pledges to-date: $20,264
25%  
Woo hoo!! And we're now over 25%!! Thank you all very much!! God bless.

Keyword: recountballot

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • Minnesota Recount Live, Day 7: One numbers junkie's prediction — Franken over Coleman by 27 votes

    11/25/2008 1:05:16 PM PST · by tomymind · 23 replies · 1,889+ views
    Things may not be going as well as Al Franken hoped in the recount, but don't tell that to Nate Silver. The numbers junkie behind FiveThirtyEight.com predicts that Franken will win the recount — once all challenges are resolved — by 27 votes. (Related: Franken losing ground to Coleman on DFL turf How'd he come up with that number? It's little complex — OK, that's an understatement — but Silver basically did a regression analysis using recounted precincts where there were few or no challenged ballots (Franken has done well there) and projected it across the rest of the state....