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A study that looked into the age-stratified infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 among the non-elderly population has found that the rate was extremely low among young people. “The median IFR was 0.0003 percent at 0–19 years, 0.002 percent at 20–29 years, 0.011 percent at 30–39 years, 0.035 percent at 40–49 years, 0.123 percent at 50–59 years, and 0.506 percent at 60–69 years,” the study conducted across 29 countries stated. “At a global level, pre-vaccination IFR may have been as low as 0.03 percent and 0.07 percent for 0–59 and 0–69-year-old people, respectively.” The study aimed to accurately estimate the...

Ebola’s average mortality rate is 50 per cent.. A top physician says it will be necessary to keep “vaccinating the world for years” in order to prevent a COVID strain as deadly as Ebola from developing. The comments were made earlier today by Frank Ulrich Montgomery, chairman of the global physicians’ society the World Medical Association (WMA). “My great concern is that there could be a variant that is as infectious as Delta and as dangerous as Ebola,” he told the newspapers of the Funke media group. According to Montgomery, “It will be necessary to vaccinate the world for years...

As of this recording, there have been 4.2 million confirmed cases of coronavirus in the US, and 147,000 deaths, for a case-fatality rate of 3.5%. If you were to rank the countries of the world with respect to case fatality rate you’d find the US doing ok – about on par with Germany, and Brazil. Way better than Italy, and worse than New Zealand and Australia, for instance. This is not to say we are containing the virus well, just that among those who get it, the chance of survival is about as good here as those other countries. But...

Facebook has deleted a post in which President Trump had claimed Covid-19 was "less lethal" than the flu. Mr Trump is at the White House after three days of hospital treatment having tested positive for the virus. He wrote the US had "learned to live with" flu season, "just like we are learning to live with Covid, in most populations far less lethal!!!" Twitter hid the same message behind a warning about "spreading misleading and potentially harmful information". Users have to click past the alert to read the tweet. "We remove incorrect information about the severity of Covid-19, and have...

Governments throughout the world and across the US justified extreme, draconian, undemocratic, and unconstitutional (in most US states) "lockdown" and stay-at-home orders on the grounds that the COVID-19 virus was exceptionally fatal.In March, the World Health Organization (WHO) was... Governments throughout the world and across the US justified extreme, draconian, undemocratic, and unconstitutional (in most US states) "lockdown" and stay-at-home orders on the grounds that the COVID-19 virus was exceptionally fatal.In March, the World Health Organization (WHO) was claiming that the fatality rate was a very high 3.4 percent.Yet as time went on, it became increasingly clear that such high...

In early March, President Donald Trump was lambasted for saying on Sean Hannity’s Fox News show that he had a hunch the coronavirus fatality rate, which the World Health Organization pegged then at 3 to 4 percent, was in fact much lower, under 1 percent. Many commentators, myself included pointed out that the beginning of a pandemic medical crisis was not the time to be floating hunches. But, as we always knew was possible, it looks now like the president might well have been right.New data from random antibody tests conducted in New York State suggest that as many as...

Some commenters responding to this daily series providing some information about the Chinese virus have repeated what seems to have become something of a mantra among libertarians who, understandably, dislike the idea of widespread lockdowns, with the loss of freedom and the economic damage that they entail. That mantra is that the Chinese virus is no more infections or no more fatal than flu, and that if we had allowed everyone to acquire immunity by catching the infection and throwing it off all would be well. Look at today’s graph. Though the downtrend in the daily compound growth rate in...

The rate of the number of individuals who died from the flu to the number of individuals who were estimated to have had the flu is .1% (22,552 / 36 million). This is an estimate and the amount used above by the Director General of the WHO.However, the rate of individuals who died from the flu to the number of individuals who were confirmed to have had the flu is around 10% (22,000/ 222,552). This is based on actual data similar to the rate for the coronavirus above.  5. Actual results for the coronavirus are lower than the flu. Based on...

Source: University Of California - Berkeley Date: 2003-06-13 SARS Death Rate Lower In Countries Responding Aggressively To Initial Outbreak Berkeley - Three months after SARS began its spread out of southern China, it is clear that a country's response to the epidemic can have a major impact on the percentage of infected people who die, according to epidemiologists at the University of California, Berkeley. An analysis accepted for August publication in the journal Emerging Infectious Diseases indicates that countries that quickly initiated control measures against SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome) saw a slower spread and a lower fatality rate. "The...

The World Health Organization today sharply raised its estimate of the SARS death rate to 14-15 percent. The disease is much worse for people older than 65, with more than half likely to die. In Washington, U.S. health officials said they were taking steps to contain severe acute respiratory syndrome, including preparing for a larger outbreak in the country. WHO originally estimate the death rate at 6 percent, then up to 10 percent. The latest revision is based on a more detailed analysis of data from Canada, China, Hong Kong, Singapore and Vietnam. Good News for the Young and Healthy...

SARS outbreak in UK 'inevitable' FRANK URQUHART AND PAUL GALLAGHER AN OUTBREAK of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is inevitable in Britain and will stretch NHS resources to breaking point, the country's leading microbiology expert warned yesterday. Professor Hugh Pennington, of Aberdeen University, said health officials would be forced to implement emergency plans drawn up to deal with a bio-terrorism attack to tackle the impending crisis. "It will get about and will be with us for the foreseeable future," Prof Pennington told The Scotsman. "We have to prepare for it to come." He added that even a small outbreak of...

he death rate from SARS may be significantly higher than health officials had thought, up to 55 percent in people 60 and older, and up to 13.2 percent in younger people, the first major epidemiological study of the disease suggests.Mortality rates are bound to change somewhat as an epidemic continues. But unless the numbers fall drastically, SARS would be among infectious diseases with the highest death rates. Until now, fatality rates reported by the World Health Organization had ranged from 2 percent, when the epidemic was first detected in March, to 7.2 percent.The new findings come from a statistical analysis...

LAST week, the World Health Organisation (WHO) said that Sars could become a global epidemic if it 'maintains its present pathogenicity and transmissibility'. It hedged that predictions were problematic 'until we understand what is going on in China', but those statements nevertheless sent more jolts of fear into an already nervous world. Pathogenicity, or the power of an organism to produce disease, is thought of as follows: If newly-infected Sars patients infect, on average, fewer than one person each, fewer and fewer people will be infected with each round of infection. If this 'basic reproductive number' is less than one,...

Although SARS does not appear to be as contagious as the 1918 Spanish flu, its mortality rate is higher. The current pandemic shows that in the future, new infectious diseases will increasingly be a global problem. Modern air transportation can spread a disease all over the world within a very brief period of time. In other words, as was the case with food-borne epidemics, antibiotic-resistant bacteria, insect-borne diseases such as the West Nile virus and AIDS, an outbreak anywhere in the world is soon a threat everywhere. As we experienced with the Hong Kong bird flu in 1997, when more...

The Truth About SARS It's deadly, infectious and not going away. What we've learned about the virus and how scared we should be By MICHAEL D. LEMONICK AND ALICE PARK So far, the U.S. has been lucky. It has been nearly six months since the SARS outbreak emerged and more than six weeks since the illness spread from its birthplace in southern China to put the world on alert. Yet with more than 4,800 cases in at least 26 countries to date, a disease that has rocked Asian markets, ruined the tourist trade of an entire region, nearly bankrupted airlines...

'They tell us to practise sensible hygiene, but hygiene and children just don't mix'Worry about Sars makes this a difficult time to be a neurotic mother in Canada's largest city By Karen Zagor 27 April 2003 When I dropped my three-year-old off at nursery school on Friday morning, one of the other little darlings in the group was coughing. "Sars," I thought. "Get that kid out of here." What I really wanted to do was to grab my child, throw her in the back of the car and drive to my in-laws' cottage on a remote, northern lake. But life...

<p>The fatality rate for severe acute respiratory syndrome, or SARS, has been widely reported as 4 percent. But many experts take issue with the way the CDC is calculating the death rate -- and say that the infection may be much more, or less, deadly.</p>

World Health Organization experts were being sent to a crowded province in China where SARS is spreading fast, while new research published Wednesday suggests the illness is much more deadly than other respiratory diseases. As the global death toll from SARS approached 500, Russia considered imposing harsh restrictions along its border with China, where experts say the disease has yet to peak. Chinese officials arrested alleged Internet rumor mongers and revoked the licenses of doctors who refused to treat the infection. In Washington, U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Tommy Thompson said China and the United States would work...

Sars 'among most deadly viruses' British scientists say Sars is much more deadly than many other respiratory diseases particularly for older patients. The finding in The Lancet shows that Sars is killing one in five of Hong Kong patients in hospital. That includes 55% of infected patients over 60. In younger patients, the death rate could be as low as 6.8%. Roy Anderson, epidemiologist at London's Imperial College, said: "That's sadly still very high for a respiratory infection. In other common respiratory infections it is much less than 1% in the vulnerable elderly." But international scientists and agencies point to...

A plague on our planet... for ever (Filed: 07/05/2003) The Sars epidemic is just the first of many health scares waiting for us in a highly mobile, densely populated 21st century, say scientists. It is vital that we learn all we can about managing such outbreaks as well as fighting them with technology. Roger Highfield reports Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome is only the beginning. We are set to see many more epidemics sweep across the planet in the coming decades, turning the 21st century into the era of the quarantine and face mask. At risk: one reason deadly pathogens will...